Futurology

This isn't going to shave much weight off of EV's. Typically the engine weight is only 2-5% of the total weight. But it may have a much larger effect on battery efficiency and range.

Internal combustion engine cars are now in their decline phase. We won't see any more technological innovation from them. From now on all the tech innovation is going to be in EVs, which will keep getting better and better than the old gas cars.

Core-sheath composite electric cables with highly conductive self-assembled carbon nanotube wires and flexible macroscale insulating polymers for lightweight, metal-free motors

Interesting that they are going the subscription route and not selling these outright. It works because the comparison with the cost of a human looks so favorable. I'd expect to see this with humanoid robots too as they take over more and more human jobs.

XRobotics’ countertop robots are cooking up 25,000 pizzas a month

People in Britain have historically been quite averse to ID systems; the country is one of the few in Europe without national ID cards. Something that is standard in many other European countries.

Will they take to Worldcoin? It seems to combine everything that is rapidly going out of fashion. It's touting itself as a solution to AI slop, the same problem its founder is creating. It's crypto-backed, words that mean 'red flag' and 'scam artist' to many people. Finally, it's all about putting all your trust in American Big Tech. An idea in steep decline globally, and at home in America.

Still, the investor billions are still flowing. Palantir, with similar ambitions, is now valued at $328 billion, 220 times more than its earnings.

Financial Times Article

The recent brouhaha about Apple saying AGI is not so imminent after all, disguises a more significant reality. Even without AGI, current AI is continuing along a revolutionary path that will utterly transform society.

Figure Robotics illustrates this. Its Helix humanoid robots are getting nearer and nearer human human-level dexterity in carrying out some common factory tasks.

We won't need AGI to develop humanoid robots capable of doing most unskilled and semi-skilled work.

Are the people obsessing over AGI, missing the revolution happening on their doorstep?

Scaling Helix: a New State of the Art in Humanoid Logistics

Researchers tested Large Reasoning Models on various puzzles. As the puzzles got more difficult the AIs failed more, until at a certain point they all failed completely.

Even without the ability to reason, current AI will still be revolutionary. It can get us to Level 4 self-driving, and outperform doctors, and many other professionals in their work. It should make humanoid robots capable of much physical work.

Still, this research suggests the current approach to AI will not lead to AGI, no matter how much training and scaling you try. That's a problem for the people throwing hundreds of billions of dollars at this approach, hoping it will pay off with a new AGI Tech Unicorn to rival Google or Meta in revenues.

Apple study finds "a fundamental scaling limitation" in reasoning models' thinking abilities

Interesting that UBI is now such a mainstream topic, and this trend will only grow from now on.

Despite what Mr. Sacks might say, the day is still coming when robots & AI will be able to do most work, and be so cheap as employees, humans won't be able to compete against them in a free market economy.

What won't change either is that our existing financial order - stocks, 410ks, property prices, taxes that pay for a military - is predicated on humans being the ones that earn the money.

Mr Sacks is part of a political force driven by blue-collar discontent with globalization. He might be against UBI, but the day is coming when his base may be clamoring for it.

Trump's AI czar says UBI-style cash payments are 'not going to happen'

The US President and his formerly favorite South African have had a major falling out. The WH says it may pull all of SpaceX's contracts, the South African says 'go ahead', and he's decommissioning the Dragon crew vehicle, the US's only safe method of getting to and from the ISS.

Meanwhile, half of NASA's efforts are heading for the chop too.

"L'État, c'est moi." ("I am the state.") Louis XIV, the 'Sun King' said about his absolute monarchy. The problem with having just one person in charge is that everyone suffers when they behave idiotically. Sadly, the once mighty US Space Program looks like being a casualty of that. Surely, this paves the way for China to be the world's preeminent space power.

Three big, basic facts about Mars will render it forever out of reach for permanent human settlement. Read more about them on Substack.

Diamond prices are down 60% since a 2011 high, and they are still falling. It's not all down to lab-grown diamonds, demand is down too, especially in China.

No one can lab-grow gold yet, so its rarity and scarcity protect its value, but that will end too. It's just a question of when. China launched an asteroid touch-down mission this week, which will make it the 4th country/region to do so, after Europe, the US & Japan.

How soon will it be feasible to mine asteroids? Who knows, but a breakthrough in space propulsion might mean the prospect happens quickly when it does. It's possible gold has twenty years or less of being high value left.

The $80 Billion Diamond Market Crash Leaves De Beers Reeling

One of the most persistent biases in commentary on AI is many people's assumption that Silicon Valley VC-funded efforts are its main driver. But all the evidence points to something bigger than them - Open-Source.

Alibaba, the Chinese company that developed QwenLong-L1 isn't making their AI open-source out of the goodness of their heart. They get the benefit of lots of free workers improving it, and they also get to undermine their competitors. Many of the open-source AI are Chinese. It's possible China may be coordinating their efforts on a national scale, as a tit-for-tat retaliation measure responding to the US trying to weaken Chinese AI.

The global effect is the decentralized dispersion of AI technology with no one company or country dominating it - in the long run that will be its biggest outcome.

QwenLong-L1 solves long-context reasoning challenge that stumps current LLMs

Canada is heating up at twice the global average thanks to climate change. The fire seasons of 2023 and 2024 were the worst two years for wildfires in Canadian history - now 2025 looks set to beat their record.

Canadian wildfire smoke carries PM2.5 particles that can travel far into the U.S., worsening air quality in the Midwest, Northeast, and Great Lakes regions. These fine particles penetrate lungs and bloodstream, causing inflammation, lung damage, and higher infection risks. Children, the elderly, pregnant individuals, and those with heart or lung conditions are most vulnerable. Long-term exposure can worsen asthma, heart disease, and increase premature death risk.

Tough luck for Americans that they're living in the age of 'drill baby, drill' when the fossil fuel industry comes first, not them. As Lord Farquaad would say "Some of you may die, but it's a sacrifice I am willing to make".

Article - More than 90 wildfires are out of control in Canada

The rocket is quoted as having a cargo capacity of ten tonnes. How much do they think each launch will cost? If it's $1 million, then that is $100 per kg. Is there anyone willing to pay that much money for same day delivery?

There are four other Chinese companies who say they are close to launching reusable rockets too, and expect to launch in 2025/26 - iSpace, LandSpace, Deep Blue Aerospace, Galactic Energy - though the last is only talking about a reusable booster.

Also interesting - the publicly disclosed funding for this company is less than $100 million. I'm assuming they had more they did not disclose. If they managed to do this for $100 million, that seems very impressive.

China completes first sea-based vertical landing of reusable rocket

The startup's wikipedia page

China's Taobao working with startup on deliveries by reusable rocket