Lugh

joined 2 years ago
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Level 4 self-driving means a vehicle can drive on a pre-mapped route without human intervention. For example, once they had mapped a bus route, they could drive it. Lots of businesses have driving jobs that are analogous to bus routes. For example, from a regional warehouse to local retail branches. For taxi firms, it could be from a city's main airport to the Top 100 most popular drop-off points in a city.

Neolix orders have grown 10x year over year, and they’ve already deployed over 10,000 vehicles. When will it be 100k, a million & then 10 million vehicles? At $22,000, these are a steal, and needless to say, vastly cheaper than a human-driven option.

This is yet another sign that the future of robots/AI taking jobs, that we used to talk of as still in the distance, is actually bearing down on us fast.

Neolix raises $600M to continue scaling autonomous RoboVan fleet

Website with pricing details

 

Plastic microparticles are everywhere in the environment and in everyone's body. Inevitably, the petrochemical industry will find people to tell us this is harmless, or perhaps even good for us, but the evidence points the other way.

So far, biodegradable alternatives have shortcomings, but this solution appears to have fixed them. A third of global plastics are made in China & 6.5 per cent of all global oil use currently goes to supply China with petrochemicals. Since 2021, 90% of the increase in Chinese oil imports has been used by chemical feedstocks, not fuels.

Quite apart from environmental concerns, oil imports are China's top national security risk. They are the only way outside actors (the US) can leverage a chokehold over its economy.

Speedily electrifying with renewables has been one way they've been reducing that dependence; now they have another. Swap bamboo (something they have in vast abundance) for even more oil imports.

High-strength, multi-mode processable bamboo molecular bioplastic enabled by solvent-shaping regulation

 

Personalized mRNA cancer vaccines (targeting tumour antigens) can sensitise tumours to Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). This makes them more receptive to the latest immunotherapy breakthroughs in treating cancers.

Personalized mRNA cancer vaccines are still very expensive. What this research has found, is that existing mRNA vaccines for unrelated things like Covid, have some of the same effect. The effect was significant and happened with lung and skin cancers. The researchers theorise it may broadly work for all cancers treated with immunotherapy.

Sadly, we still haven't cured misinformation with the same success rate. In some countries, people trapped in disinformation media bubbles won't benefit from these new lower rates of cancer.

SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccines sensitize tumours to immune checkpoint blockade

[–] Lugh 10 points 1 week ago (2 children)

This expands the range of 'Work From Home' to include physical labor. Humanoid robots aren't far off the point (2030s?) where they can do most unskilled labor. With telepresence, they can take those jobs sooner.

This also brings something else closer. The looming crisis over what our governing economic model will be when human labor can no longer compete for wages with AI & robots.

 

If this were an unknown start-up, this headline could justifiably be accused of being clickbait. But Ming Yang is one of the world's biggest wind turbine makers. Furthermore, they've already tested this 'double-turbine' design with a 17MW prototype. So if they claim 'half the cost', then it's believable.

It makes sense, too. How much is one extra turbine going to add to the overall cost of a project? Not much, but it's doubling the output.

This illustrates a trend with renewables that other energy sources can't compete with. Technology keeps dramatically improving renewables all the time.

China’s Ming Yang promises monster two-headed, low cost 50 MW floating wind turbine

 

Hope might seem like an intangible thing to measure, but we can certainly measure the lack of it. Rising suicides and opioid deaths are just one facet of that.

Many people in the Western world see their part of the world as declining and getting more dystopian. Hope seems to be in decline. Odd, as if society were reconfigured, there's the possibility of abundance ahead with robots and AI doing most of the work.

Maybe it's a case of the darkest hour is just before the dawn?

Hope and the Life Course: Results From a Longitudinal Study of 25,000 Adults

 

NOETIX's Bumi Robot isn't as impressive as humanoid robots by industry leaders like Boston Dynamics and Unitree, but its price is. If a Chinese company can sell humanoids at this price, then it will be able to do the same in 2030 & 2035 when they are much more advanced.

People often wonder how the future economy will function when AI & robots are capable of most jobs. What if that future economy also has most of us owning several robots, too?

[–] Lugh 2 points 1 week ago

Anyone who has ever read neurologist Oliver Sacks' classic essay collection 'The Man Who Mistook His Wife for a Hat' might wonder about the downsides of having a protein nanowire brain extension. The lesson from the book is that small changes to the brain can have enormous consequences for consciousness and our experience of reality.

Who knows? Perhaps it might be like a permanent magic mushroom trip where you can see and talk to interdimensional machine elves, and that would be an upside for some people.

[–] Lugh 5 points 2 weeks ago

Yes, and there is also the possibility that it could be upon us quite suddenly. It may just take one fundamental breakthrough to make the leap from what we have currently to AGI, and once that breakthrough is achieved, AGI could arrive quite quickly. It may not be a linear process of improvement, where we reach the summit in many years.

[–] Lugh 2 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Manna need to get quieter drones. People who live beside their base of operation don't like the noise & disturbance.

[–] Lugh 3 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Also, if you're reasonably smart and self-motivated the 21st century world abounds with the materials to let you learn much of what you would in college. Not specialized learning maybe, but for generalized learning, yes.

https://www.openculture.com/freeonlinecourses

[–] Lugh 6 points 1 month ago (2 children)

An Irish drone delivery company Manna has been getting lots of complaints, apparently its not much fun living beside its base of operations.

https://www.rte.ie/news/business/2025/0820/1529313-drone-planning-dublin/

[–] Lugh 2 points 1 month ago (7 children)

Won't there be insurance for this?

If companies like FedEx can bear the cost of liabilities for huge numbers of human drivers, doesn't that suggest the burden will be far less for robo-vehicle car companies?

[–] Lugh 6 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Caveat - China Daily is owned and operated by the Chinese government/CCP. But the article is interesting in itself, and its official endorsement is interesting, too.

[–] Lugh 10 points 1 month ago (3 children)

I'm still surprised at the rate LLMs make simple mistakes. I was recently using ChatGPT to research biographical details about James Joyce's life, and it gave me several basic facts (places he lived & was educated at) at variance with what is clearly stated in the Wikipedia article about him.

[–] Lugh 2 points 1 month ago

I wonder will the US & EU bifurcate on AI adoption for government and administration, with the EU opting for open-source?

US models don't seem interested in complying with EU law like the AI Act or GDPR.

If so, 5 or 10 years down the line this could lead to very fundamental differences in how the two territories are governed. There may all sorts of unexpected effects arising from this.

[–] Lugh 5 points 2 months ago

The person making this claim, Miles Brundage, has a distinguished background in AI policy research, including being head of Policy Research at OpenAI from 2018 to 24. Which is all the more reason to ask skeptical questions about claims like this.

What economists agree with this claim? (Where are citations/sources to back this claim?)

How will it come about politically? (Some countries are so polarised, they seem they'd prefer a civil war to anything as left-wing as UBI).

What would inflation be like if everyone had $10K UBI? (Would eggs be $1,000 a dozen?)

All the same, I'm glad he's at least brave enough to seriously face what most won't. It's just such a shame, as economists won't face this, we're left to deal with source-light discussion that doesn't rise much above anecdotes and opinions.

Former OpenAI researcher says a $10,000 monthly UBI will be 'feasible' with AI-enabled growth

[–] Lugh 16 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (2 children)

its eligibility criteria to those with Italian parents or grandparents.

That's the existing criteria for Irish passports. I'd guess the number of Americans with one grandparent born in Ireland or Italy must run to 10s of millions.

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