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[-] Lugh 8 points 1 day ago

This is based on findings from a pilot study that looked at logistics from the Port of Los Angeles to wider Southern California.

It's a reminder that the barriers to switching to 100% renewable energy aren't technological, but ultimately political. We're choosing to go at the speed we're at to end fossil fuel use. If we choose to eradicate them faster, then we could.

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submitted 1 day ago by Lugh to c/futurology
[-] Lugh 10 points 2 days ago

This sounds like marketing hype. Giving AI reasoning is a problem researchers have been failing to solve since Marvin Minsky in the 1960s, and there is still no fundamental breakthrough on the horizon. Even DeepMind's latest effort is tame; it just suggests getting AI to check itself more accurately against external sources.

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[-] Lugh 6 points 5 days ago

World oil demand still hasn't peaked. Almost 80% of the growth in demand is coming from China. However, it's leading the world in the transition to EVs. 35% of new car sales there are now EVs. We know "peak oil" will be soon, will it be 2024?

[-] Lugh 14 points 5 days ago

There are so many counter-narratives in the media about the energy transition, that sometimes its true progress takes you by surprise. Getting rid of one-third of fossil fuel capacity in only two years is impressive.

I hope these 2035 goals are achievable. One in four new car sales in the EU are now EVs. That transition might be quicker than some expected. I hope the renewable energy needed to power all those cars is being factored into plans.

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[-] Lugh 1 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago)

Figure says they are building the world's first commercially viable autonomous humanoid robot, but I wonder if UBTech will get there before them. In most Western countries we've allowed our manufacturing capacity to be hollowed out; China has formidable advantages when it comes to building and deploying these robots in their millions.

Figure's and UBTech's robots look like they are already capable of useful work. Based on these demos it looks like they could do a wide variety of simple unskilled work - stacking supermarket shelves, cleaning, warehouse work, etc

I wonder how soon people will be able to buy one of these.

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[-] Lugh 186 points 3 weeks ago

Good news for pigs. I'll be delighted to see factory farming disappear and be replaced by tech like this.

[-] Lugh 70 points 1 month ago

The Chinese automaker BYD reminds me of the famous phrase attributed to the sci-fi writer William Gibson - "The future is already here – it's just not evenly distributed."

Future EV cars will be cheap to own and run. Self-driving tech will lower insurance costs. You can charge them with your home solar setup if you want. They'll last far longer with lower maintenance costs thanks to simple electric engines with few moving parts. As their construction gets more roboticized it will lower their costs further. The batteries that make up a huge chunk of their current costs are falling in price too. CATL, the world’s largest EV battery maker, is set to cut costs in half by mid 2024.

Some people still think gasoline and ICE cars have a long life ahead of them, and don't realize the industries behind both are dead men walking.

[-] Lugh 40 points 1 month ago

Some people are skeptical this technology can ever work, but it appears CASIC's Phase 1 testing in a 2km tunnel has given them the confidence to proceed to Phase 2 testing in a 60km long tunnel.

Chinese railway engineering leads the world so I have a hunch that if any nation can pull this off, then it's China. However, lots of questions remain. A back-of-the-envelope calculation says that to achieve those speeds in the 2km test tunnel deceleration would have been about 3G. That's the same as a rocket at lift-off and not many people's idea of comfort.

[-] Lugh 50 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago)

Worth pointing out that covering parking lots with solar became the law this year in France. A study there says that if half France's parking lots were covered in solar panels their output would exceed all of France's nuclear power stations.

https://cleantechnica.com/2023/02/09/new-law-50-solar-power-over-parking-lots-in-france/

[-] Lugh 44 points 6 months ago

I wonder when this is going to seriously affect world oil demand? People used to think "Peak Oil" would be when supply was constrained, it turns out it will be when demand is constrained.

[-] Lugh 197 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago)

I think fediverse people are wildly overestimating how much 99% of Reddit users care about this. The mod team on r/futurology (I'm one of them) set up a fediverse site just over a month ago (here you go - https://futurology.today/ ) It's been modestly successful so far, but the vast majority of subscribers seem to be coming from elsewhere in the fediverse, not migrants from Reddit.

This is despite the fact we've permanently stickied a post to the top of the sub. r/futurology has over 19 million subscribers, and yet the fediverse is only attracting a tiny trickle of them. I doubt most people on Reddit even know what the word fediverse means.

[-] Lugh 44 points 6 months ago

Google's search page has got noticeably worse in recent years, for a long list of reasons - here's another indication it's going to get even worse. I find myself using Duckduckgo more and more - it has its problems, but they are not as bad.

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Lugh

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