Lugh

joined 1 year ago
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submitted 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) by Lugh to c/avs
[–] Lugh -3 points 1 month ago

I've been familiar with his ideas for years, even though intellectually I could see they were true, emotionally I always felt they were science-fiction. Now this is starting to look like science-fact.

[–] Lugh 20 points 1 month ago (7 children)

Like Covid, it seems humans have to wait until disaster is right on their doorstep, before they pull themselves together to do something about it.

[–] Lugh -4 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (6 children)

For anyone familiar with the ideas behind what Ray Kurzweil called 'The Singularity', this looks awfully like it's first baby steps.

For those that don't know, the idea is that when AI gets the ability to improve itself, it will begin to become exponentially more powerful. As each step will make it even better, at designing the next generation of chips to make it more powerful.

[–] Lugh 4 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

The model family is "a new suite of state-of-the-art multimodal models trained solely with next-token prediction," BAAI writes. "By tokenizing images, text, and videos into a discrete space, we train a single transformer from scratch on a mixture of multimodal sequences".

Every single time it looks like closed Big Tech AI systems might steal a lead, open source is never far behind snapping at their heels. Now it seems it's the same story with multi-modal AI.

[–] Lugh 2 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

I wonder what number of these will be robo-taxis in the next 18 months? Uber recently partnered with BYD to introduce 100,000 robo-taxis in Abu Dhabi and Singapore. When it gets to those kind of numbers in the US the wider public will really start to notice the driving job losses. Some day the shoe is going to drop, and people will realize all human driving jobs are on the way out forever.

[–] Lugh 3 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Is the UK contemplating tariffs on Chinese EVs?, if not that will be one of the few advantages of Brexit, as the EU has just agreed to mandate them.

[–] Lugh 2 points 1 month ago

I'm using it more and more and find it very useful. I do a lot of writing for work, AI voice transcription and AI grammar checks are invaluable, not to mention having an AI voice read my writing back as a form of copy editing.

Also great for visual stuff, and for providing sound for videos.

However the hallucination problem is a real roadblock. I would never want to trust the current models of AI with an important decision.

[–] Lugh 3 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (2 children)

Most western countries have at least half of their economies ruled by free market principles - civil servants ,the military, healthcare in most countries, etc, etc being non-market parts the economy.

The logic of AI and robotics that can do most jobs for pennies on the hour, is that the free market part of the economy will just devour itself from within. It needs humans with incomes to survive, yet by its own internal logic it will destroy those incomes.

[–] Lugh 30 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Oh the ladies on "The View" already love her. She'll have no problems with them.

The View and the Real Housewives franchise are guilty TV pleasures I normally hate admitting to in public.

[–] Lugh 4 points 1 month ago

When I think about this issue, I sometimes think about future scenarios on a scale of 1 - 10, with 10 being 'most confidence to predict will occur' and 1 being 'least able to definitively predict'.

I give UBI a 4 on that scale. It may well occur, but there are different ways of achieving the same goal, so who knows.

One of the few facts I rank at 10, is that the day is coming when AI and robotics will be able to do most work, even the jobs uninvented, but for pennies on the hour.

The logical follow-on is that the day will also have to come, when society realizes that this is happening, understands it, and begins to prepare for its new reality. This is going to seem scary for many people; they will just see the destructive aspects of it, as the old ways of running the world crumble.

This is how I look at what this research is talking about - signs of this awakening becoming more widespread. We badly need politicians who start telling us about what the world is going to be like afterwards, and painting a hopeful vision about it.

[–] Lugh 0 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

I don't think Sabine Hossenfelder gets everything right, (she should stay away from talking about consciousness), but I love it when she goes on these eviscerating rants about some other physicists. She's right, much of the field, like economics, is dominated by people who can only say one "correct" version of things to keep their jobs.

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