Lugh

joined 2 years ago
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The paradox of Europe's space efforts is that it has the money and technical expertise to be number 1, but is always playing runner-up, and is now third behind the US and China. ESA - Europe's equivalent of NASA & China's CNSA, has 23 member states - most of which have their own national space agencies too.

This fragmentation and diffusion has always been a huge problem, now ESA has another. NASA is abandoning it's biggest joint NASA/ESA project. The ill-fated SLS/Gateway/Artemis Moon landing program is up for the axe in the latest NASA budget. Taking its place (and money) will be plans to pivot to Mars, led by - you guessed it - a certain South African's space company.

Will ESA do something decisive as it readjusts? If past performance is any guide, don't hold your breath. Then again, maybe this time might be different.

 

This article gives details on the many shortcomings that make the 'golden dome' idea unworkable. These objections have been around since Ronald Reagan proposed the idea in the 1980's, and they are even more true today. The 'golden dome' proposal deals with ICBM-type missiles, but they are already out of date. The 'golden dome' proposal has even less chance against hypersonic missiles that travel at Mach 20.

Ask yourself a question - The $175 billion 'golden dome' idea requires 36,000 satellites. Is there a certain South African at the center of the US government who might be pushing this idea, because he's the man who'll get a lot of that $175 billion to supply & launch them?

 

"The new analysis for Carbon Brief shows that China’s emissions were down 1.6% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2025 and by 1% in the latest 12 months."

It's possible that this is a blip, and a rise could continue. China is still using plenty of fossil fuels and recently deployed a fleet of autonomous electric mining trucks at the Yimin open-pit coal mine in Inner Mongolia. Also, China is still behind on the 2030 C02 emissions targets it pledged under the Paris Agreement.

Still, renewables growth keeps making massive gains in China. In the first quarter of 2025, China installed a total of 74.33 GW of new wind and solar capacity, bringing the cumulative installed capacity for these two sources to 1,482 GW. That is greater than the total US electricity capacity from all sources, which is at 1,324 GW.

 

Guess what AI workers never need? High wages, health care, pension contributions, breaks or vacations.

Once corporations start seeing AI and humans as interchangeable workers - no surprises for which type they'll be trying to get rid of as soon as possible.

I hope we're going to see massive deflation in drug prices from all the cost savings, and bumper profits this will give them.

Why Moderna Merged Its Tech and HR Departments

archive.ph version of WSJ article

 

"According to the New York Federal Reserve, labor conditions for recent college graduates have “deteriorated noticeably” in the past few months, and the unemployment rate now stands at an unusually high 5.8 percent. Even newly minted M.B.A.s from elite programs are struggling to find work."

The NYFR says it doesn't know what is causing the decline, but many wonder if it's AI. In particular as AI is so good at doing the entry-level tasks college grads would be employed to do.

Humans are terrible about dealing with disaster, until the very last minute (Covid in March 2020 was a good illustration of this). However, they are often surprisingly good at 'keeping calm, and carrying on' when they are forced to act. March 2020 also illustrates this.

So far AI/robotics and job replacement is a topic our political class (and their inept economic advisors) have ignored - but for how much longer?

 

The 'Big 7' prop up the U.S. stock market, accounting for a third of its value. Their sky-high valuations rely on a 'growth' narrative—if that fades, their stocks could crash.

Google deliberately worsened search results to keep users viewing more ads, as recent research revealed. A WSJ investigation found Meta knowingly lets criminal advertisers flourish, fearing a stock drop if it cracks down.

Now, AI firms are the market's new darlings. Under similar pressure to deceive, what happens when they wield the most powerful tech ever?

[–] Lugh 3 points 3 months ago (1 children)

I wonder when someone is going to figure how to speed up domestication via gene editing. There's a huge untapped market for exotic pets that could be house trained.

[–] Lugh 3 points 3 months ago

He won’t be able to just take control of the Fed without Congress,

Perhaps, but they've abdicated responsibility on everything else so far. I understand that people have hope the normal times will resume, but autocracy has a trajectory. So far, almost nothing has stopped it in the US.

[–] Lugh 2 points 3 months ago (3 children)

The amount of precise manipulation needed to do something as simple as repair the feeder mechanism on a welder,

If robots can build cars, I'd guess they can manage that.

[–] Lugh 5 points 3 months ago (18 children)

They day will come when robots can do all the maintenance they need on each other.

[–] Lugh 22 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (2 children)

The EU’s Digital Services Act (DSA) makes Big Tech (like Meta, Google) reveal how they track users, moderate content, and handle disinformation. Most of these companies hate the law and are lobbying against it in Brussels—but except for Twitter (now X), they’re at least trying to follow it for EU users.

Meanwhile, US politics may push Big Tech to resist these rules more aggressively, especially since they have strong influence over the current US government.

AI will be the next big tech divide: The US will likely have little regulation, while the EU will take a much stronger approach to regulating. Growing tensions—over trade, military threats, and tech policies—are driving the US and EU apart, and this split will continue for at least four more years.

[–] Lugh 2 points 3 months ago (1 children)

The article says the difference is that the human drivers are "on call" self-employed contractors. Therefore not a 'cost' when not being used.

[–] Lugh 5 points 3 months ago (4 children)

The Russian propaganda seems much more effective with the right-wing people. Is that an AI thing, or are they more susceptible for other reasons?

[–] Lugh 4 points 3 months ago (2 children)

I'm sick of hearing Musk's plans for it, those will never pan out. But humans are probably destined to leave Earth and spread out someday - that I still think will happen, and is worth considering.

[–] Lugh 3 points 3 months ago

I was wondering would they have over-heating problems, but the energy is so small it can probably be dissipated elsewhere.

[–] Lugh 7 points 3 months ago

As places are limited, they need to focus on those with talent and ability.

[–] Lugh 15 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (2 children)

If you google Hitler's paintings you can see why he was rejected. They're flat, rigid and lacking in creativity - perhaps not surprising for a fascist megalomaniac. I'm curious to see what the AI will learn here. Lots of ai-generated imagery is technically good, but can it really be said to have creativity?

[–] Lugh 4 points 3 months ago (3 children)

As radioactive decay can't be stopped, I'm assuming this emits power continuously. Whatever this is used for won't have any On/Off buttons.

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