Makes sense. Would you prefer to negotiate with the partner who authorized bombing you during the negotiations, or the country which has never bombed you before?
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Why is this thread full of ultras?
Half of us expect China to be the world's savior and are mad as hell they're not trying to be. The other half will bend over backwards to frame everything China does in a good light and make excuses for bad geopolitical decisions.
This is hexbearian dialectics.
There's a contingency of ultras around who don't really post or comment until China is mentioned and then they come out to dogpile.
China bad gang got riled up lol
I love watching Drumpf push all of the US's enemies together. Undermining decades of careful imperial planning, all so he can swing his dick around and feel like a big man.
If it wasn't also increasing the chances of nuclear war, it would be funny as hell.
Not just the US's enemies, but allies as well. Japan and AmeriKorea have opened up to China for the first time in decades.
china won't do jack shit to improve anyone's lives in iran or anything to stop the genocide and neutralize the threat of israel. pezeshkian is saying please help us and xi will be like hmm how about a loan and we keep buying your oil for way cheaper than it should be? china has good domestic policy for sure but im completely disillusioned with their foreign policy. fuck them.
China's foreign policy is entirely centred around keeping China's 1.4+ billion people safe. It is intensely conservative, yes, which is infinitely disappointing, but it is not up to China to stop the genocide and risk all out war with the world's preeminent superpower. It feels like people on here have a confused view of China's place in the world, hoping for it to be the second USSR in terms of foreign aid for revolutionary projects, and then turn totally the other way when they realise that this is not happening, acting like China has somehow betrayed it's required revolutionary outlook and deserves extra condemnation.
China's foreign policy is entirely centred around keeping China's 1.4+ billion people safe.
I wonder how much of that's driven by the memory of the USSR's interventionist policies and its collapse following e.g. its failure in Afghanistan.
1000%. Post-1991 China's been laser focused on not repeating the mistakes of the Soviet Union. Xi Jingping is particularly obsessed with this; excerpts from a speech he gave back in 2013 on this very topic:
The most striking part of Xi Jinping’s “new southern tour speech” is his revisiting the topic of the Soviet Union’s collapse. He said, “Why did the Soviet Union disintegrate? Why did the Soviet Communist Party collapse? An important reason was that their ideals and beliefs had been shaken. In the end, ‘the ruler’s flag over the city tower’ changed overnight. It’s a profound lesson for us! To dismiss the history of the Soviet Union and the Soviet Communist Party, to dismiss Lenin and Stalin, and to dismiss everything else is to engage in historic nihilism, and it confuses our thoughts and undermines the Party’s organizations on all levels.”
“Why must we stand firm on the Party’s leadership over the military?” Xi continued, “because that’s the lesson from the collapse of the Soviet Union. In the Soviet Union where the military was depoliticized, separated from the Party and nationalized, the party was disarmed. A few people tried to save the Soviet Union; they seized Gorbachev, but within days it was turned around again, because they didn’t have the instruments to exert power. Yeltsin gave a speech standing on a tank, but the military made no response, keeping so-called ‘neutrality.’ Finally, Gorbachev announced the disbandment of the Soviet Communist Party in a blithe statement. A big Party was gone just like that. Proportionally, the Soviet Communist Party had more members than we do, but nobody was man enough to stand up and resist.”
“Nobody was man enough”! How vividly this captures Xi Jinping’s anxiety over the fall of the Soviet Communist Party and the collapse of the Soviet Union!
In his inauguration speech on September 19, 2004, when he succeeded Jiang Zemin to become the Chairman of the Central Military Committee, Hu Jintao also railed against Gorbachev as “the chief culprit of Eastern Europe’s transformation and a traitor of socialism.” “Because of the openness and pluralism he championed,” Hu said, “Gorbachev caused confusion among the Soviet Communist Party and the people of the Soviet Union. The Party and the Union fell apart under the impact of ‘westernization’ and ‘bourgeois liberalism’ that he implemented.”
Per https://chinachange.org/2013/01/26/beijing-observation-xi-jinping-the-man-by-gao-yu/
China is not the USSR. The Chinese economy is fully integrated into the global economy - a very powerful position that the USSR did not have.
Just look at how China used the rare earth cards to get Trump back to the negotiation table. Do not underestimate China’s ability to assert its interests on the international stage. It can threaten the stop of goods flowing and the entire world will fold. It can stop the genocide if it chooses to.
And that’s why the US likes China to play the role it is right now, because in this calculation, China will not use its powerful position to disrupt US interests, so long as it doesn’t infringe the Chinese interests itself.
And that’s why the US likes China to play the role it is right now,
lmao
Yeah what. The US likes a very specific thing about China, that it doesn't confront them in direct conflict. China, on the other hand, overtaking the US on every stage across the world, which the US fucking hates and is preparing for war to stop.
There is also just a form of geopolitical natural selection at work. There were surely political elements in the PRC that made it more stable against Western imperialism that helped it avoid a USSR-style dissolution, and they continued past the dissolution of the USSR. And they would be drawing from the material base of society as well, an engine that continued to today.
There is struggle in China, in the CPC, between the government and capitalists, between capitalists. Factions rise and fall. Despite this rotation it has only strengthened via its general charted course.
Why should China dive into helping Iran when the last time they were about to have really good relations the Iranian government threw it all away for the slightest concession from America? Iran is not run by principled socialists, they're a bunch of libs and theocrats who happen to be on the right side of history re: isntreal, China and Iran are right to improve relations now, but they're also right to be cautious and doing it in a measured way. Fool me twice, you can't get fooled again, as would say.
US: Bombs the shit out of Iranian nuclear facilities
Reformists: We should have renewed dialogue with the US
Unless Iran gets rid of these traitorous reformist snakes, they cannot be viewed as a reliable partner. Imagine selling weapons to Iran only for them to not use it or even worse, destroy them because the current Iranian administration is some shitty government run by reformists who think they can get concessions by sucking up to the West.
China is wise to keep its distance from Iran.
6 months ago I would've called you a fool, but after they got bombed by the US and still let the IAEA back for inspections is when I realized their leadership is cooked
because me, a western leftist, expect others to do the work that is mine. Chinese people should throw their lives to stop my country from erasing other countries, not me that lives in the aggressor country and benefits from it.
china won't do jack shit to improve anyone's lives in iran
Not necessarily true; if China decides to just sidestep the the sanctions stupidity placed on Iran then they can actively help make the lives of Iranians much better. Militarily? I'm not sure China is interested in helping from a military angle (although here's to hoping they sell Iran some serious power, but I know this hope is in vain), but at least if they can help Iran's economy then that would be really important.
China is not going to be the second USSR because its economic model is inherently neoliberal, and one that adheres to the market principles set by the IMF, despite what many Western leftists want to believe in otherwise.
This is what market socialism actually means, and what many Western commentators misunderstand about the Chinese model. In fact, the government has repeatedly stated that it vows to be the defender of the free trade order, and that it is the US that violates the international rules it sets itself.
You have narratives from both sides that attempt to paint China as “imperialist” or “anti-Western imperialist”, and neither of them is correct. China is the biggest beneficiary of the neoliberal free trade order, with the global industrial capacity being deliberately concentrated into China, at the expense of the rest of the world since it rendered the rest of the Global South vulnerable to the onslaught of Western finance capitalism.
The US is happy to de-industrialize itself, and China is happy to keep the system going and benefiting from it for as long as it can. As long as the IMF ideological indoctrination continues to hold, China’s actions will be constrained by the framework set by the US-dominated institutions.
The problem now is that the long term de-industrialization in the US has caused the rise of populism, and erupted in the form of Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump’s movements in the mid-2010s, following the 2008 global financial crisis that truly ended what remains of class mobility in the country and fully disillusioned their own working class of the “American dream”. Everyone who is not establishment knows that the system is broken. This is itself the contradiction of the American neoliberal capitalist system.
Forced to respond to the rise of populism, American capital is now attempting to forge a new international order that would allow its own finance capital to remain hegemonic while at the same time pacifying the dissent of its own working class. A new form of fascism, if you will. It is a huge bet full of risks and contradictions in and on itself, but this is the only way for American capitalism to survive and perpetuate itself.
On the other hand, China wants the status quo to remain, and the continued de-industrialization in the US is good for China. Yet another contradiction at the global scale that will continue to build the geopolitical tension, until something breaks.
And the work had already begun with the first Trump term, with its initial foray into a trade war with China since 2018 (the same play dealing with Japan in the 1980s). Biden ramped up the trade war and completed the subjugation and disciplining of the European economy through Ukraine War and the Build Back Better policies (the long-term effort of neutralizing the euro as a major challenger to the dollar since the fall of the USSR, during which the plunder and monetization of post-Soviet industrial capital finally enabled Europe to form its own currency zone).
Trump II is now continuing the effort by playing up the global tariffs, with Europe out of the game and Japan is still too slow to recover its growth, most likely with the intention of setting off a mercantilistic fight throughout the world, allowing China to flood its cheap goods across the world while it hides itself behind the tariffs. This will weaken the domestic industries in many economies of the world, which will then set the stage for global supply chain to be reshaped, as they are plundered by IMF/bailouts by foreign capital.
Europe will likely be forced to purchase American goods and invest hundreds of billions in the US. Again, another layer of contradiction that relies on the Europeans playing ball - the last time Europe was being squeezed to pay its war debt beyond its ability to American creditors post-WWI, they ended up squeezing the defeated Germany which directly caused the rise of Hitler and Nazism. A very dangerous game to play here.
This is just a long winded way of saying that if you want China to act to the benefit of the Global South, the neoliberal ideology must first be purged in China.
The problem is that even after the Ukraine war started, despite many Global South countries wanting to jump on the de-dollarization train, China has been extremely reluctant to do so precisely because of what I described above - it benefits greatly through dollar hegemony, and this is the result of its economic framework being constrained by neoliberal theories. It does not have an alternative framework like the USSR did. This emboldens the US to continue to challenge China and the rest of the world, because its calculation is that China will still prefer to keep the status quo than to radically change the rules of the world.
The PRC's economic model is not inherently neoliberal. What is this nonsense?
China is not going to be the second USSR because its economic model is inherently neoliberal
really wish you would stop using this wildly inappropriate term for China, it's like your definition of neoliberal comes from an alternate universe
Everyone reading this thread should fucking read Losurdo's Class Struggle. China's proletarian party is working in the long term interests of the proletariat by allowing bourgeois management of the economy and slowly learning from and then replacing it. But applying the Unity of Action principle means also letting specific models succes and fail of their own accords after attempting to apply them well. And right now, the economic model is working and being slightly shifted where needed, but achieving the long term goals. If China were to give all this up, and attack and then be destroyed by the imperialist west to stop the current atrocities (as much as I care about it too), the genocides that would follow would be even larger and worse. I'm not starry eyed enough to think China would actually win a global war right now, because the enemy is genuinely very powerful.
Stalin wanted to win in Spain but knew that destroying themselves there would prevent their survival in the coming war. It's a fundamentally future and empirically oriented position, and that feels horrible and harsh at any given moment of inability.
they probably will improve peoples lives in iran the same way they are doing in africa and the such, cheap loans with gracious terms, supplying solar energy etc
do not forget that the simple fact that China provides cheap and quality commodities is already a way of improving the people lives. really the only reason the countryside people in my country has access to stuff like mobile phones is because China makes them very accessible.
Sadly, a lot of people try to engage in mind reading the leadership of the PRC and claim that they will definitely dismantle colonialism from inside, despite the fact that their current economic (i.e. 'material') interests lie in perpetuating it. For some reason, people forget about the base and the superstructure stuff when it comes to the PRC. And they also generally seem to forget about the consequences of the presence of the profit motive in an economy in this case for some reason.
The PRC being dominant instead of NATO would be an improvement over the current state of affairs, but people are way too blindly optimistic in this regard.
EDIT: Actually, going to use this opportunity and address one of the arguments for the privatisation of the PRC's economy (and the corresponding damage done to workers' rights in the PRC):
The PRC has been increasing living standards very quickly for more than a billion people. If you think that the PRC's economy is capitalist/not socialist, you must conclude that capitalism is the best economic system there is. Therefore, this criticism of the PRC is incorrect.
There are a few issues with that:
- Seeing that one system is achieving the results that look good on the surface, and concluding from that that that must mean it's the system that you liked beforehand is silly in a way that should be obvious. It's just some wishful thinking - making a conclusion based on what one wants to see, rather than on how things are. Also, the PRC, the USSR, etc. had more impressive improvements made under planned economies, and the current PRC can't replicate some of their achievements, so what the PRC has now is not even managing to be the 'best' system that we have seen.
- The fact that the current PRC has more people than the states that maintain/maintained planned economies isn't really relevant, unless one wants to argue that, when a state implements a policy, it picks some number of people for the policy to affect, and the policy then can't affect any more people, rather than for policies to affect groups of people regardless of how numerous those groups are.
- The way the PRC managed to get ahead after the privatisation, is by attracting some of the colonial spoils from the imperial core. It has become a semi-peripheral state, and is currently both a victim of colonialism, but also maintains relations of unequal exchange with other countries that are beneficial to the PRC. Colonial exploitation is, in the end, the only way for states that maintain economies with the profit motive to 'win' economically. Being the beneficiary of relations of unequal exchange are much better predictors of great economic power of a state than an economy being privatised.
pezeshkian is saying please help us
Is this before or after Pezeshkian saying please help us to the USians and Euros?
That's part of why the EU is initiating "Snapback" sanctions on Iran. It makes it very difficult to sell any military equipment to Iran, as China would risk sanctions.
This is fairly normal diplomat speak. But I will be more optimistic if agreements for tangible things emerge.
are SAM batteries involved or not