Futurology Today

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Africa is the big loser in the current system, as the Mercator map makes it look far smaller than it really is. Europe and Russia would look far smaller (their true size) in a corrected map. Brazil is also a beneficiary with a corrected map; it looks far bigger in reality than the Mercator map represents it.

The campaign seems to be going places. The World Bank says it is phasing out the use of the Mercator map, and various UN bodies are looking at doing the same.

African Union joins calls to end use of Mercator map that shrinks continent’s size

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"is designed with a focus on companionship, according to EngineAI. Equipped with a large language model, it supports intelligent interaction and includes high-fidelity speakers and dual high-definition cameras for voice conversation and gesture recognition."

EngineAI's SA02 is much like a dozen or more 2025 humanoid robots currently being developed around the world. It's mastered moving around with agility, and you can talk to it via an LLM AI. Can it do much more? We'll see. Most 2025 humanoid robots are still taking baby steps when it comes to being useful workers, that can do simple tasks like folding laundry.

But has EngineAI spotted a gap in the market by focusing on companionship? Hundreds of thousands of people already have AI boyfriends and girlfriends. This will provide the identical AI, while also giving those AI friends real 3D bodies. Question - if you're truly in love with your AI boy/girlfriend, would you spend the extra money to give them a body?

Video of the robot

EngineAI to launch SA02, a $5,500 humanoid robot aimed at young people

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It's worth remembering that 20 years ago in 2005, renewables were just 1% of global electricity capacity. Interesting that coal will finally start declining, but gas hasn't yet. Even though coal power use will increase in the US, its decline in China & the EU is bigger, so coal declines overall.

The IEA forecast renewables to be 50% of global capacity by 2030, but they have always underestimated and been too conservative with predictions, so that may happen sooner. There are still huge economies-of-scale price decreases ahead for renewables. By 2030-35 as renewables approaches 80% will anybody be building new power plants of any other type?

IEA: Renewables will be world’s top power source ‘by 2026’

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"The project promotes a soil management strategy(opens in new window) that includes prebiotics (compounds that nourish beneficial microbes), probiotics (live beneficial microorganisms) and postbiotics (beneficial microbial by-products). “These practices contribute to sustainable agriculture by promoting a healthy soil microbiome, reducing reliance on chemical fertilisers and pesticides, and enhancing plant resilience to environmental stresses,"

The EU is made up of so many countries with proportional representation, it is one of the few areas in the world where, via coalitions, the Green Party regularly get in power. This has very real effects on EU policy and direction. E.g. It's why the EU is so quickly transitioning away from fossil fuels to renewables. But there are numerous other Green Party initiatives. These often go under-reported, but they'll eventually change the world, and this strikes me as one of them.

Transforming sustainable agriculture through microbial innovation

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WeRide starts 24/7 robotaxi testing in Beijing (www.autonomousvehicleinternational.com)
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The dream that LLM AIs might lead to AGI seems finally to be over. The idea's supporters said that with enough training and computation, independent reasoning would arise in LLMs. It never has. This week, OpenAI, the company that seeks a $500 billion stock market valuation, finally burst the bubble. It's long-awaited Chat-GPT 5, touted as 'near AGI', still makes all the basic errors in math and logic that an average 10-year-old wouldn't. Even Chain-of-Thought Reasoning, hoped by some to be an intermediary step, is a failure, too.

But LLM AIs aren't useless - in fact, the opposite. They've delivered Level 4 self-driving, are advancing general-purpose robotics, and excel at a wide variety of brain-work, even without AGI. That is enough to make them economically transformative.

But the US stock market seems bored with that. Instead, investors wanted to chase the possibility of a 'unicorn' - getting in early on a company that would achieve AGI, dominate like the other Big Tech giants, and earn trillions. That isn't going to happen any time soon.

China's economic system seems better at being pragmatic about AI. Most of their efforts seem geared towards useful real-world uses for AI, and much less about AGI. AGI will no doubt happen one day - who knows when? It will probably need fundamental breakthroughs developed by humans. Meanwhile, the real 2020s AI revolution is integrating AI into everyday life, not AGI.

A familiar 2020s story seems to be playing out here. The Chinese system of state capitalism seems to have grasped what matters when it comes to meaningful economic success, while the western system, driven by the super-rich becoming ever richer, seems bloated, inefficient, and unable to allocate capital & investment to what matters for society.

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Here's a link to the paper - PDF 22 Pages

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H5N1 Bird Flu hasn't gone away; in fact, the opposite. It's constantly spreading and becoming endemic in more and more animal populations. In North America, notably in the national dairy herd. All this increases the chances that a day comes when a mutation gives us a variant with 2 deadly characteristics. 1. Easily transmissible in humans & 2. A high mortality rate in humans.

mRNA technology is a bright spot in preventing future horror movie scenarios. It gives us the means to quickly develop a vaccine if a highly infectious and deadly variant arises. Amazingly, the US has just decided to dump that lifeline, and is jettisoning all funding for mRNA technology.

mRNA technology will continue to be developed in the rest of the world. Like more and more science and technology areas, China will probably become the leader. If the horror movie day comes, and a highly infectious and deadly human variant of H5N1 arises, Americans better hope their leaders are good at begging and pleading for help from the rest of the world in desperate circumstances, because they're going to need it.

US halt $500m in mRNA vaccine research, RFK says

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I sometimes wonder if the future implications of neuromorphic computing are under-reported and discussed.

Neuromorphic chips have the potential to be true human/computer interfaces, in the way silicon chips just can't be. AI trained on neuromorphic computers may be more human-like, and very different from AI trained on silicon chips. If AI was to be integrated with a human brain, they would seem the most obvious candidate.

Finally, there's their fuel efficiency. That seems really futuristic compared to today's talk, from some AI leaders, of coal-fired AI data centers the size of Manhattan.

The world's largest neurocomputer simulates a monkey's brain

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