Lugh

joined 2 years ago
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H5N1 Bird Flu hasn't gone away; in fact, the opposite. It's constantly spreading and becoming endemic in more and more animal populations. In North America, notably in the national dairy herd. All this increases the chances that a day comes when a mutation gives us a variant with 2 deadly characteristics. 1. Easily transmissible in humans & 2. A high mortality rate in humans.

mRNA technology is a bright spot in preventing future horror movie scenarios. It gives us the means to quickly develop a vaccine if a highly infectious and deadly variant arises. Amazingly, the US has just decided to dump that lifeline, and is jettisoning all funding for mRNA technology.

mRNA technology will continue to be developed in the rest of the world. Like more and more science and technology areas, China will probably become the leader. If the horror movie day comes, and a highly infectious and deadly human variant of H5N1 arises, Americans better hope their leaders are good at begging and pleading for help from the rest of the world in desperate circumstances, because they're going to need it.

US halt $500m in mRNA vaccine research, RFK says

 

I sometimes wonder if the future implications of neuromorphic computing are under-reported and discussed.

Neuromorphic chips have the potential to be true human/computer interfaces, in the way silicon chips just can't be. AI trained on neuromorphic computers may be more human-like, and very different from AI trained on silicon chips. If AI was to be integrated with a human brain, they would seem the most obvious candidate.

Finally, there's their fuel efficiency. That seems really futuristic compared to today's talk, from some AI leaders, of coal-fired AI data centers the size of Manhattan.

The world's largest neurocomputer simulates a monkey's brain

 

"We study subliminal learning, a surprising phenomenon where language models transmit behavioral traits via semantically unrelated data. In our main experiments, a "teacher" model with some trait T (such as liking owls or being misaligned) generates a dataset consisting solely of number sequences. Remarkably, a "student" model trained on this dataset learns T. This occurs even when the data is filtered to remove references to T."

This effect is only observed when an AI model trains one that is nearly identical, so it doesn't work across unrelated models. However, that is enough of a problem. The current stage of AI development is for AI Agents - billions of copies of an original, all trained to be slightly different with specialized skills.

Some people might worry most about the AI going rogue, but I worry far more about people. Say you're the kind of person who might want to end democracy, and institute a fascist state with you at the top of the pile - now you have a new tool to help you. Bonus points if you managed to stop any regulation or oversight that prevents you from carrying out such plans. Remind you of anywhere?

Original Research Paper - Subliminal Learning: Language models transmit behavioral traits via hidden signals in data

Commentary Article - We Just Discovered a Trojan Horse in AI

 

It's still early days, and the test was only on 53 people, but a new drug called Trontinemab almost completely eliminated the brain plaques indicative of Alzheimer's in 91% of them. Wider trials on 1,800 people will take place later this year. Fingers crossed. Alzheimer's is dreaded by many people; a cure or near-cure would have a major impact.

Roche’s New Alzheimer’s Drug Trontinemab Nearly Eliminates Brain Plaques

 

Form Energy in the US is also developing this technology, though they haven't deployed to the grid yet.

As electricity grids get nearer to being 100% renewables, they need to account for <5% of times both solar & wind don't meet peak electricity demand. Lithium-Ion batteries, which only store electricity for a few hours, aren't much use here, but Iron-Air batteries will be.

They can store days worth of electricity, and not only that, they are stable and non-flammable. The only chemical reaction taking place is iron oxidizing (rusting).

Ore Energy connects world’s first grid-connected iron-air battery in Delft

 

"We're not planting our flag and leaving. We’re going to stay, learn, and then go to Mars. There’s critical real estate on the Moon. We want to claim that real estate for ourselves and our partners, which is going to be critical to being successful in that mission."

Sean Duffy interviewed this morning on NASA+.

The Outer Space Treaty, which 117 countries, including the US, are signatories to, prohibits Earth nations from claiming lunar territory. The trouble with saying you can break any international law you want, by say, invading Greenland, or claiming the Moon, is that then anyone else can. By say, invading Taiwan, or claiming the Moon, also.

What do you do then, especially when they (China) get all the good bits of the lunar South pole first? Chinese plans for their International Lunar Research Station are far more advanced than anything NASA has. There's every likelihood they'll be the ones able to claim best the lunar real estate first.

 

Interesting article McKinsey’s thesis is that foundation models (think vision‑language‑action brainpower) let robots recognize objects, follow spoken commands, and behave flexibly. Imitation learning and behavioral cloning let them watch humans and learn movements without explicit programming.

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submitted 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) by Lugh to c/futurology
 

Chinese startup Z.ai (formerly Zhipu) just released GLM-4.5, an open-source agentic AI model family that undercuts DeepSeek's pricing while nearing the performance of leading models across reasoning, coding, and autonomous tasks.

Alibaba's Tongyi Lab just launched Wan2.2, a new open-source video model that brings advanced cinematic capabilities and high-quality motion for both text-to-video and image-to-video generations.

This is an interesting commentary on how China & the US are approaching AI development very differently. China and the US are Running a Different AI Race End of the day, business strategies are market-driven

[–] Lugh 17 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (2 children)

With upcoming space telescopes in the 2030s, there should be a few capable of analyzing exoplanet atmospheres. Exciting to think we may be soon able to deduce the presence of carbon-based life in another planetary system.

[–] Lugh 2 points 7 months ago (2 children)

Yeah, I wonder how far they can extend the magnetic fields that power them? Even if it is relatively short range, they look really cheap to make, so you could have thousands of them with sensors to scan localized areas.

[–] Lugh 2 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (2 children)

I get that capacitators are only good for seconds at a time, but given their other advantages, I wonder why people don't build batteries with them, where hundreds or thousands of cells are individual capacitators that get used in sequence.

[–] Lugh 4 points 7 months ago

Another team has done the same in Denmark. I wonder how soon we will see these at consumer level for residential buildings?

https://www.euronews.com/next/2025/03/26/solar-panel-windows-that-could-turn-whole-buildings-into-power-plants-smash-electricity-re

[–] Lugh 2 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago)

This is better than nothing. Though a lot of the threats that are building, like conflict with Russia, seem like they will need more.

[–] Lugh 2 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Yes, their interpretation of Swiss Re is open to debate. That said, I suspect self-driving cars are already safer per kilometer than human driven cars.

Also, they'll only keep getting better, while human abilities plateau.

https://www.euronews.com/next/2024/06/20/self-driving-cars-are-generally-safer-than-human-driven-ones-research-shows

[–] Lugh 10 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (1 children)

Lariocidin is produced by a type of bacteria called Paenibacillus, which the researchers retrieved from a soil sample collected from a Hamilton backyard.

It's amazing how random this discovery was. Makes you wonder at all the rest that is still undiscovered in nature.

[–] Lugh 2 points 7 months ago (3 children)

In fairness to Waymo, Swiss Re (who are unlikely to be easily fooled) also back up these claims.

https://futuretransport-news.com/waymo-and-swiss-re-analyse-safety-benefits-of-autonomous-vehicles/

[–] Lugh 2 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago)

1X is in Norway. Norwegians are notoriously solitary and hate small talk. Of all people it would be interesting to see how they react to domestic humanoid robots. Perhaps they will like them more than most.

[–] Lugh 2 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago)

Wrong. The World Bank says 13% of Indians live in extreme poverty & 97% of the population have wired electricity. Also, surely the way to be richer and more developed is investing in high tech growth industries like advanced space tech?

[–] Lugh 1 points 7 months ago

Its the ISRO (Indian Space Research Organisation) who've said this, and they've a pretty good track record of achieving stated goals.

[–] Lugh 2 points 7 months ago

It is interesting that they have successfully tested the magnetic micro-algae in tightly confined and viscous environments. Those are the same conditions they would find in living tissue and blood vessels.

Still, this is just a proof-of-concept. I wonder if any useful treatments for illness ever come from it.

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