Lugh

joined 1 year ago
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[–] Lugh 4 points 1 year ago

Interesting paper, but I doubt its central proposition has much likelihood of success. We're headed for super-intelligent AGI whether some people like it or not.

[–] Lugh 4 points 1 year ago (2 children)

For a country that we often hear wants to win at dominating AI, this seems like a classic case of shooting yourself in the foot.

[–] Lugh 26 points 1 year ago (12 children)

Some people might scoff at the 2027/28 timeline, but I doubt this is vaporware. Toyota is the world's biggest car maker, so their claims have some credibility.

Toyota's breakthrough is with mass-producing these types of batteries, they still face challenges in real world use - "Problems include the extreme sensitivity of the batteries to moisture and oxygen, as well as the mechanical pressure needed to hold them together to prevent the formation of dendrites, the metal filaments that can cause short circuits."

[–] Lugh 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

Although it doesn't get much attention in western media, China shows every sign of having the first lunar base in the 2030's. NASA's plans are hobbled by the politics of the SLS, and hopes SpaceX or Blue Origin will come up with an alternative. In particular many hopes are pinned on SpaceX's StarShip, but the challenges it needs to overcome to get people & materials to the moon are formidable. China's plans are detailed, organized and tied to concrete goals.

[–] Lugh 5 points 1 year ago

Cruise were involved in the study, they had to be, it was their cars being studied.

But the actual research was carried out by the Virginia Tech Transportation Institute (VTTI) & University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute.

https://www.vtti.vt.edu/

https://www.umtri.umich.edu/

[–] Lugh 3 points 1 year ago (3 children)

This isn't the first research that has shown 2023 robotaxi AI is already safer than human drivers, but it is the most comprehensive. There are two takeaways.

First, AI is continuously improving. 2024 & 2025 robotaxi will be even more safer than humans.

Second, at some point, human driving will come to be seen as a safety liability the way drunk driving and not wearing seat belts are now. The question is how soon will that happen? Will there be a day when human driving is banned or restricted on most roads? It wouldn't surprise me if that day is coming.

Don't think this will happen? Road traffic injuries are the leading cause of death for children and young adults aged 5-29 years. Approximately 1.3 million people die each year as a result of road traffic crashes.

[–] Lugh 5 points 1 year ago

If there is simple life on Titan and Enceladus, there is every possibility it could have been seeded from Earth. Plenty of asteroid collisions have been big enough to eject material from Earth's surface into space over the last few billion years. Though that idea suggests something else. Maybe Earth's life was seeded from elsewhere. Such ejecta dust also travels all around the galaxy from other stars and their planetary systems.

[–] Lugh 30 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (7 children)

The study is carried out by the University of Exeter and University College London, and funded by the British government. So its not the solar industry saying this.

[–] Lugh 13 points 1 year ago (1 children)

It's amazing how regularly people in tech companies think "big government" is unnecessary until it directly affects their interests - and then they want that part to be well-funded and efficient.

That said, even NASA's Inspector General is attacking the US government's role in space development as wasteful and inefficient. He put his name to a damning recent report on the SLS space launch system that said it should be scrapped by NASA in favor of commercial alternatives.

I'm not sure I can accept SpaceX's claims at face value. They appear to be blaming the FAA for their own failures, yet they are owned by a person notorious for consistently over-promising and under-delivering.

[–] Lugh 4 points 1 year ago

If you haven't seen any of the classic late 60s/early 70s horror movies, they are worth checking out. 'Rosemary's Baby', 'The Exorcist, 'Don't Look Now', or 'The Omen' are all fantastic.

[–] Lugh 4 points 1 year ago

When they think of the vast deluge of AI-generated SEO spam to come, there must be people in Google who feel like people after an earthquake when a tsunami has started to arrive,, and they realize they've left it too late to get to higher ground.

[–] Lugh 4 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Tech companies often boast of how technology is revolutionizing our world. Yet for all the gain, technology fails us on so many levels. Basic necessities like housing, health & education seem to get ever more expensive and difficult to access for many.

If ever there was a sector that could do with a tech revolution, it's housing. 3D printing & robotics promise much but never seem to take off. Perhaps a new approach is needed to jump-start them. Renewable energy markets didn't take off until governments intervened to support them. Maybe the same should happen for ultra-cheap housing via robots & 3D printing.

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