Lugh

joined 2 years ago
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A 2024 article talks about their strategy: they believe in a radical 'rebirth' of the U.S. through a major financial crisis—one that would force a debt default, eliminate the Federal Reserve, and replace the system with a libertarian model centered on cryptocurrency.

These ideas may have sounded like conspiracy theories in the past, but in 2025, they seem more plausible. The current administration thrives on chaos as a distraction, yet its policies increasingly align with this vision of engineered collapse. Is this what’s actually happening?

 

Bringing manufacturing jobs home has been in the news lately, but it's not the 1950s or even the 1980s anymore. Today's factories need far less humans. Global car sales were 78,000,000 in 2024 and the global automotive workforce was 2,500,000. However, if the global workforce was as efficient as this Honda factory, it could build those cars with only 20% of that workforce.

If something can be done for 20% of the cost, that is probably the direction of travel. Bear in mind too, factories will get even more automated and efficient than today's 2025 Honda factory.

It's not improbable within a few years we will have 100% robot-staffed factories that need no humans at all. Who'll have the money to buy all the cars they make is another question entirely.

Details of the new Honda factory.

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submitted 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) by Lugh to c/futurology
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Right-Sizing Robotaxi Fleets (www.changinglanesnewsletter.com)
submitted 7 months ago by Lugh to c/avs
[–] Lugh 2 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

I'm trying to keep an open mind about these kind of efforts, though I have suspicions about some of them being green washing. However if solar power becomes ultra cheap in the 2030s, and can power efforts like this, it is possible they may make a significant difference.

[–] Lugh 2 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (3 children)

Tesla ~~is at~~ may soon be at level 4 autonomous driving. It seems to me a taxi business could easily be made out of cars that can do that. Level 4 means they can drive fixed routes, that they know well and have mapped. When you think of a city and it's top 100 destinations, most taxi journeys are some combination of going between those. Going from the airport to downtown, and so on. Am I missing something? It seems if level 4 driving could handle those journeys, then perhaps it can handle most urban taxi journeys.

Even a taxi service that could just go to the top 50 destinations in a city from the airport, if rolled out across the world, could make serious money.

[–] Lugh 3 points 1 year ago

I should have been more specific, I was just referring to the storm surge flooded areas.

[–] Lugh 3 points 1 year ago (1 children)

AR/VR always seems on the cusp of taking off, yet never seems to actually do so.

[–] Lugh 9 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (4 children)

I'm surprised there isn't more movement to just completely ban building in these areas. Getting everyone else to cover the cost of their predictable destruction seems very unfair.

[–] Lugh 14 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (6 children)

I am aware that they have a state insurer in Florida. They are going to need it. I can't see a single private insurance company wanting to touch anything to do with rebuilding in areas affected by this. They know climate change is getting worse, and this is only going to happen soon again.

[–] Lugh 7 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

You circumvented their TOS, by using an alt account to evade a ban on a subreddit. That's why they banned you from Reddit itself.

[–] Lugh 1 points 1 year ago

There are a few other new heavy lift rockets in development around the world. Some people think Spacex's Starship will make them obsolete, but it doesn't seem like it will be ready anytime soon.

[–] Lugh 2 points 1 year ago

If someone can build robotic systems that are entirely made up of 3D printed components, that seems very possible.

[–] Lugh 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

A lot like Uber, in other words. But replicating a ride-hailing network with a 14-year head start will be no easy feat, especially considering the scale Uber has achieved.

I don't get the logic here. If you have The fleet of robotaxis, it seems the software to run them it's the easy part. Loads of competitors to Uber have equally good software. The bottle neck here is the supply of robo-taxis. The journalist writing this has also ignored the fact cheap Chinese cars will probably be what will dominate this space ultimately.

[–] Lugh -3 points 1 year ago

I've been familiar with his ideas for years, even though intellectually I could see they were true, emotionally I always felt they were science-fiction. Now this is starting to look like science-fact.

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