Lugh

joined 2 years ago
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One of the most persistent biases in commentary on AI is many people's assumption that Silicon Valley VC-funded efforts are its main driver. But all the evidence points to something bigger than them - Open-Source.

Alibaba, the Chinese company that developed QwenLong-L1 isn't making their AI open-source out of the goodness of their heart. They get the benefit of lots of free workers improving it, and they also get to undermine their competitors. Many of the open-source AI are Chinese. It's possible China may be coordinating their efforts on a national scale, as a tit-for-tat retaliation measure responding to the US trying to weaken Chinese AI.

The global effect is the decentralized dispersion of AI technology with no one company or country dominating it - in the long run that will be its biggest outcome.

QwenLong-L1 solves long-context reasoning challenge that stumps current LLMs

 

Canada is heating up at twice the global average thanks to climate change. The fire seasons of 2023 and 2024 were the worst two years for wildfires in Canadian history - now 2025 looks set to beat their record.

Canadian wildfire smoke carries PM2.5 particles that can travel far into the U.S., worsening air quality in the Midwest, Northeast, and Great Lakes regions. These fine particles penetrate lungs and bloodstream, causing inflammation, lung damage, and higher infection risks. Children, the elderly, pregnant individuals, and those with heart or lung conditions are most vulnerable. Long-term exposure can worsen asthma, heart disease, and increase premature death risk.

Tough luck for Americans that they're living in the age of 'drill baby, drill' when the fossil fuel industry comes first, not them. As Lord Farquaad would say "Some of you may die, but it's a sacrifice I am willing to make".

Article - More than 90 wildfires are out of control in Canada

 

The rocket is quoted as having a cargo capacity of ten tonnes. How much do they think each launch will cost? If it's $1 million, then that is $100 per kg. Is there anyone willing to pay that much money for same day delivery?

There are four other Chinese companies who say they are close to launching reusable rockets too, and expect to launch in 2025/26 - iSpace, LandSpace, Deep Blue Aerospace, Galactic Energy - though the last is only talking about a reusable booster.

Also interesting - the publicly disclosed funding for this company is less than $100 million. I'm assuming they had more they did not disclose. If they managed to do this for $100 million, that seems very impressive.

China completes first sea-based vertical landing of reusable rocket

The startup's wikipedia page

China's Taobao working with startup on deliveries by reusable rocket

[–] Lugh 6 points 8 months ago (3 children)

I wonder what effect this will have on the resale value of second-hand electric vehicles?

So far they have not been performing as well as ICE cars. EV cars from even three years ago are seen as technologically behind today's models, particularly when it comes to battery technology.

Theoretically the second hand EV market should be vibrant in future. EVs have much simpler engines, require much less maintenance when they are older, and should hold their value longer than ICE cars.

[–] Lugh 27 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago) (13 children)

It’s still very early on, but a theme discussed in the video is worth repeating here: if the Fediverse is so great (ethical, devoid of advertising or toxic, addictive algorithms, with the goal of genuinely connecting people) why is it that the general public has not heard of it?

The futurology.today instance I'm an admin/mod of has the added benefit of being a direct sibling of r/futurology on Reddit which has 21 million users (I, and the other Mods also mod it).

Despite over a year promoting it on the subreddit, 3/4 of the instances users are from the fediverse, not Reddit.

Maybe the fediverse needs some breakthrough with usability, discovery and appeal?

Its bizarre that finding and subscribing to other instances is still so painful and backwards.

Why can't we have new account types already subscribed to a 'top 100 instances' ? Instant improvement.

[–] Lugh 8 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago) (3 children)

I think the issue is that although it's early days, if nobody builds the guardrails in at this point in time, will they ever? Do the people in charge of building AI even care? Their leadership seems much more interested in deregulation and rolling back safety oversight.

[–] Lugh 152 points 8 months ago (7 children)

So the same people who have no problem about using other people's copyrighted work, are now crying when the Chinese do the same to them? Find me a nano-scale violin so I can play a really sad song.

[–] Lugh 4 points 8 months ago

Thanks for the reply.

[–] Lugh 7 points 8 months ago (2 children)

Naive question probably - which of these platforms would get a new creator the biggest audience?

[–] Lugh 6 points 8 months ago

The new US administration has made the world more dangerous. The ethnic cleansing of the Palestinians and war with Iran both threaten to escalate to a wider Middle East war.

[–] Lugh 5 points 8 months ago (1 children)

At present, the only available treatments for snakebites consist of polyclonal antibodies derived from the plasma of immunized animals, which have high cost and limited efficacy against 3FTxs5

Huge swathes of the world, especially India and countries in Africa, don't have access to high cost medical treatments.

[–] Lugh 16 points 8 months ago

At least this should finally put the 'Chinese can't innovate, they can only copy' meme into retirement.

[–] Lugh 5 points 8 months ago (1 children)

Yes, & their embrace of the orange failed businessman will come back to bite them on the backside.

He's already handed China global leadership in the energy transition, likely the biggest industry in human history, that the Chinese will make trillion from in decades to come.

[–] Lugh 3 points 8 months ago (7 children)

They are:

I could easily believe its true, though if so, I'm puzzled by their tactics.

Open-sourcing like this seems profoundly decentralizing and democratizing, not tendencies I'd associate with the CCP.

[–] Lugh 4 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago) (13 children)

At this point I wonder is the Chinese government executing some strategy in the background. If they are, and its to weaken America's tech lead, it's working.

Then again, why open-source everything and give its power so freely to everyone? Many people would have thought hoarding power to try and be No 1, as the US is doing, is better game play.

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