Lugh

joined 2 years ago
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[–] Lugh 2 points 2 hours ago

Thanks for the reply.

[–] Lugh 4 points 3 hours ago (2 children)

Naive question probably - which of these platforms would get a new creator the biggest audience?

 

I'd guess by the end of 2025, it's almost guaranteed locally run Chinese AI models will become by far the most common and used forms of AI around the world.

So far the Chinese AIs have been using the global corpus of internet scraped data, but they are about to get a new source - Chinese public data. This raises an interesting possibility. First, that Chinese AI starts thinking in a more Chinese way, and second that this form of thinking may become the most dominant form of AI thinking globally.

[–] Lugh 6 points 4 hours ago

The new US administration has made the world more dangerous. The ethnic cleansing of the Palestinians and war with Iran both threaten to escalate to a wider Middle East war.

[–] Lugh 5 points 4 hours ago (1 children)

At present, the only available treatments for snakebites consist of polyclonal antibodies derived from the plasma of immunized animals, which have high cost and limited efficacy against 3FTxs5

Huge swathes of the world, especially India and countries in Africa, don't have access to high cost medical treatments.

[–] Lugh 10 points 6 hours ago

At least this should finally put the 'Chinese can't innovate, they can only copy' meme into retirement.

[–] Lugh 3 points 6 hours ago

Yes, & their embrace of the orange failed businessman will come back to bite them on the backside.

He's already handed China global leadership in the energy transition, likely the biggest industry in human history, that the Chinese will make trillion from in decades to come.

[–] Lugh 3 points 6 hours ago (5 children)

They are:

I could easily believe its true, though if so, I'm puzzled by their tactics.

Open-sourcing like this seems profoundly decentralizing and democratizing, not tendencies I'd associate with the CCP.

[–] Lugh 2 points 7 hours ago* (last edited 6 hours ago) (10 children)

At this point I wonder is the Chinese government executing some strategy in the background. If they are, and its to weaken America's tech lead, it's working.

Then again, why open-source everything and give its power so freely to everyone? Many people would have thought hoarding power to try and be No 1, as the US is doing, is better game play.

[–] Lugh 18 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

I'm glad this means AI's power will become more decentralized internationally. Who would have thought it was China responsible for that?

[–] Lugh 66 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (2 children)

DeepSeek buzz puts tech stocks on track for $1.2 trillion drop

Just a few months ago many American commenters thought their country was 'years ahead' of China when it came to AI dominance. That narrative has been blown out of the water.

[–] Lugh 2 points 1 day ago (2 children)

"For example, if you were to replace components made of titanium on a plane with this material, you would be looking at fuel savings of 80 liters per year for every kilogram of material you replace," adds Serles.

I'm impressed by two things here. That something so light could replace titanium, and that it was discovered by AI.

[–] Lugh 2 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

Zero / zero is mathematically undefined.

I should have been more accurate. What I meant was the economics term - zero marginal cost.

There's an excellent book by Jeremy Rifkin speculating on what an AI/robotics automation zero marginal cost society might be like.

The Zero Marginal Cost Society: The Internet of Things, the Collaborative Commons, and the Eclipse of Capitalism

 

Here's a Jan 25th 2025 quote on X/Twitter (which his firm helped Musk buy) from Marc Anderessen, head of VC firm Andreessen Horowitz/a16z.

"A world in which human wages crash from AI -- logically, necessarily -- is a world in which productivity growth goes through the roof, and prices for goods and services crash to near zero. Consumer cornucopia. Everything you need and want for pennies."

This is the world Big Tech is building for us. Given their hold over the current US administration, barring a political revolution - there's not much to stop them for the next 4 years.

If their power to create that world via AI & robotics is seemingly unstoppable, what about a counter-intuitive idea? Engage them on it seriously. At the very least the transition to this world might need the kind of emergency economic supports the Covid era had.

It seems strange Big Tech is so open about what it intends to do, yet we are still not taking it seriously, despite them saying it all out loud.

 

Throughout 2024 Open Source AI has been slowly catching up with investor-funded AI, but in the first weeks of 2025 that has dramatically accelerated. Now Open Source isn't just catching up, it is arguably better and superior to investor-funded AI.

Restrictions on chip imports seem to be driving Chinese innovation, not slowing them down. Using lesser chips, they've optimized AI to run cheaper and more efficiently, but be just as powerful. Not only that, they've open-sourced that AI.

Where does that leave the hundreds of billions poured into investor-funded AI? Who knows. But they've no product to sell that people can't get elsewhere way cheaper or for free.

This also means AI will become decentralized and democratized. Many thought it would just be in the hands of Big Tech, but the exact opposite scenario is playing out.

What are the economic implications? AI hype is keeping the US stock market afloat - how long can that last?

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