Futurology

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An AI has achieved 8th place in the Metaculus Cup, a leading competition to forecast near-future events. In 2024 AI only ranked at 300th place. (self.futurology)

submitted 1 month ago by Lugh to c/futurology

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This is interesting, but I don't know if it's all that significant. The swing towards right-wing authoritarianism makes a lot of the political questions very predictable to answer. Some relating to weather events, I would expect AI to be best at, as they're data crunching exercises.

Metaculus Cup Summer 2025

British AI startup beats humans in international forecasting competition: ManticAI ranked eighth in the Metaculus Cup, leaving some believing bots’ prediction skills could soon overtake experts

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