129
Game over. AGI is not imminent, and LLMs are not the royal road to getting there.
(garymarcus.substack.com)
this post was submitted on 18 Oct 2025
129 points (96.4% liked)
Futurology
3399 readers
177 users here now
founded 2 years ago
MODERATORS
you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
view the rest of the comments
The chess opponent on Atari is AI - we’ve had AI systems for decades.
An asteroid impact being decades away doesn’t make it any less concerning. My worries about AGI aren’t about the timescale, but about its inevitability.
Decades is plenty of time for society to experience a collapse or major setback that prevents AGI from being discovered in the lifetime of any currently alive human. Whether that comes from war, famine, or natural phenomena induced by man-made climate change, we have plenty of opportunities as a species to take the offramp and never "discover" AGI. This comment is brought to you by optimistic existentialism