this post was submitted on 19 Sep 2023
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Futurology
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I've been following this issue (AI replacing jobs) for so many years, it's fascinating to see it finally go mainstream. What's especially striking to me is the bland summary at the end. It completely misses the implications of what the poll is talking about. The issue with AI and jobs is that AI as an employee will be cheaper than us. Thus, in a market-based economy we won't be able to compete with it. As we move to AGI, which presumably will be able to do all jobs - where does this leave our current economic system?
There was a claim in the 00's that outsourcing would eliminate jobs. Except there was still work to do fixing the outsourced code, and that was often higher level work than the initial task. Until we have real AGI we'll have a similar situation with AI tools.
There are already jobs that have mostly vanished to AI, and there has been no new ones to replace them, and it has been going on for a while. CGP Grey did a great video about it years before the current controversy popped up.
Yeah it sorta goes both ways. I get coders who dismiss it saying they told it to give them some sort of code and it would not even compile. Right now at least its basically an alternative to a search engine but it has no way to validate its results (just like a search engine) so it lets you search a bit faster and maybe get what you need faster but you still have to work with what you get. Once the chat ai folks realize they just need to teach the systems to validate results though and its going to get exponentially better. It might even get to the point where it can simply ask for help and one human will have to manage a team of ai that do most of the more straight forward stuff.