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Battery prices are forecast to fall 40% by 2025, and by 13% every year until 2030.
(www.goldmansachs.com)
this post was submitted on 20 Nov 2023
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Most likely, but only because there’s large swaths of America and Canada that have no charging infrastructure and get very cold. Those two things are still weak points of battery tech that will have to be over come by capacity and physical traits. We’re getting there, but I wouldn’t bet on EVs taking over by the end of the decade. Most likely mid to late 2030s is when we’ll see larger groups of electric tractor trailers and that’s when we’ll see mass adoption.
The charging infrastructure could catch up pretty quickly. It's just a matter of getting the transition rolling.
As for cold weather, it sounds like it can be worked around if there's enough charging points - and I live in the coldest populated area of the continent.
I wonder if even then hybrid might become dominant.
They’re mostly diesels which aren’t really good at the whole hybrid thing except when running as full electric generators like trains do. Theirs trad-offs with that setup style though. Personally I’m rooting for Hydrogen power. People are against it right now due to most of hydrogens sourcing being from fossil fuels, but it can be created with renewable energy, and more importantly gives us engine research for vehicles that could go off planet too. So I see it as a better investment for humanity long term.
Hybrids should have been a thing back in the early 2000 and by 2010 we should have had a ton of Chevy Volt style PHEVs. It’s amazing we never did that correctly.
mostly diesel? Are talking the same thing? Im talking like the prius. I was thinking about it though and far enough north im surprised electric would not catch on. Like deluth where folks have extension cords going anyway to their cars to run heaters on the engine block so they will start. could just as easy trickle charge overnight.