Futurology Today

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submitted 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) by schizoidman@lemmy.zip to c/avs
 
 

https://archive.is/LGKUO

Lyft and Baidu plan to start service early next year, joining Uber and Momenta in using electric cars from China, which are the least expensive even with tariffs.

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"We study subliminal learning, a surprising phenomenon where language models transmit behavioral traits via semantically unrelated data. In our main experiments, a "teacher" model with some trait T (such as liking owls or being misaligned) generates a dataset consisting solely of number sequences. Remarkably, a "student" model trained on this dataset learns T. This occurs even when the data is filtered to remove references to T."

This effect is only observed when an AI model trains one that is nearly identical, so it doesn't work across unrelated models. However, that is enough of a problem. The current stage of AI development is for AI Agents - billions of copies of an original, all trained to be slightly different with specialized skills.

Some people might worry most about the AI going rogue, but I worry far more about people. Say you're the kind of person who might want to end democracy, and institute a fascist state with you at the top of the pile - now you have a new tool to help you. Bonus points if you managed to stop any regulation or oversight that prevents you from carrying out such plans. Remind you of anywhere?

Original Research Paper - Subliminal Learning: Language models transmit behavioral traits via hidden signals in data

Commentary Article - We Just Discovered a Trojan Horse in AI

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It's still early days, and the test was only on 53 people, but a new drug called Trontinemab almost completely eliminated the brain plaques indicative of Alzheimer's in 91% of them. Wider trials on 1,800 people will take place later this year. Fingers crossed. Alzheimer's is dreaded by many people; a cure or near-cure would have a major impact.

Roche’s New Alzheimer’s Drug Trontinemab Nearly Eliminates Brain Plaques

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Form Energy in the US is also developing this technology, though they haven't deployed to the grid yet.

As electricity grids get nearer to being 100% renewables, they need to account for <5% of times both solar & wind don't meet peak electricity demand. Lithium-Ion batteries, which only store electricity for a few hours, aren't much use here, but Iron-Air batteries will be.

They can store days worth of electricity, and not only that, they are stable and non-flammable. The only chemical reaction taking place is iron oxidizing (rusting).

Ore Energy connects world’s first grid-connected iron-air battery in Delft

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"We're not planting our flag and leaving. We’re going to stay, learn, and then go to Mars. There’s critical real estate on the Moon. We want to claim that real estate for ourselves and our partners, which is going to be critical to being successful in that mission."

Sean Duffy interviewed this morning on NASA+.

The Outer Space Treaty, which 117 countries, including the US, are signatories to, prohibits Earth nations from claiming lunar territory. The trouble with saying you can break any international law you want, by say, invading Greenland, or claiming the Moon, is that then anyone else can. By say, invading Taiwan, or claiming the Moon, also.

What do you do then, especially when they (China) get all the good bits of the lunar South pole first? Chinese plans for their International Lunar Research Station are far more advanced than anything NASA has. There's every likelihood they'll be the ones able to claim best the lunar real estate first.

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Interesting article McKinsey’s thesis is that foundation models (think vision‑language‑action brainpower) let robots recognize objects, follow spoken commands, and behave flexibly. Imitation learning and behavioral cloning let them watch humans and learn movements without explicit programming.

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submitted 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) by Lugh to c/futurology
 
 

Chinese startup Z.ai (formerly Zhipu) just released GLM-4.5, an open-source agentic AI model family that undercuts DeepSeek's pricing while nearing the performance of leading models across reasoning, coding, and autonomous tasks.

Alibaba's Tongyi Lab just launched Wan2.2, a new open-source video model that brings advanced cinematic capabilities and high-quality motion for both text-to-video and image-to-video generations.

This is an interesting commentary on how China & the US are approaching AI development very differently. China and the US are Running a Different AI Race End of the day, business strategies are market-driven

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submitted 1 month ago by Lugh to c/futurology
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This is genuinely embarrassing.

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Unitree's older G1 robot was $16,000 - it will be interesting to see if the R1 has its capabilities. It should be noted that the full spec R1 costs $16,000, but the lowest spec one is $5,900. This has been primarily designed as a research, development, and demonstration platform. The G1 achieved some remarkable success in that. The G1 model has been used in teleoperated medical procedures e.g., ultrasound‑guided injections, emergency ventilation, palpation.

If Chinese manufacturing can build limited test models at this price, then economies of scale suggest that in a few years, it can mass produce them much cheaper. The future will likely be filled with humanoid robots that cost a small fraction of even the cheapest car.

People think of future economies as dominated by UBI & corporate feudalism. But what if it's a world filled with people owning several robot workers each, and bartering and trading the products of their work?

China’s Unitree Offers a Humanoid Robot for Under $6,000

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Alongside the terrible price in human suffering and death, the two world wars spurred aviation, and with Germany's V2 rocket, started the space age. Hopefully, this time around, we can get some of the technological benefits while keeping the war to a stand-off with no fighting.

Much of this money will be spent in Europe. Germany is passing a law to restrict bidders for new projects to EU-based, and the EU may soon move to ban much of American AI.

Historically, small to medium-sized firms have been the backbone of European industry, and Germany has excelled under this model. Will it be the same for whatever new tech comes out of these developments?

Spy cockroaches and AI robots: Germany plots the future of warfare

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"In early June, TSMC Chairperson C.C. Wei confirmed that demand for chips used in humanoid robots is growing rapidly. As per the Economic Daily News, TSMC projects that by 2030, 1.3 billion AI robots will be deployed, creating a market worth $35 billion. This number is expected to surge to 4 billion by 2050, including 650 million humanoid robots, the report adds."

Robotics is advancing so rapidly I think these projections may be possible. If anything, the 2050 figure for 650 million humanoids underestimates their numbers. I am sure there will be a vast, perhaps bigger, market of knock-off cheaper Chinese models that won't be as good as top quality producers, but often good enough for the price. That's the way it is with many other products today.

Needless to say, none of these people seem to anticipate any economic problems ahead with all the hundreds of millions of human jobs being replaced.

Million-unit AI robot army no longer a dream: Analyzing Foxconn's three-pronged strategy

TSMC Reportedly Eyes 10-Year Boom from Humanoids, Backed by NVIDIA Jetson and Tesla’s Chips

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The transition from The Fossil Fuel Age to the Renewables Age continues apace. It's worth noting solar, wind and batteries have years more price falls ahead. In the 2030s, country after country will have near 100% renewables powered grids.

World on brink of climate breakthrough as fossil fuels ‘run out of road’, UN chief says

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