TrippyFocus

Commenting because I love the emojis and am interested in where to download

I don’t think it will in the short term since Russia needs allies and the West has made it clear they will never be allies with Russia. Russia doesn’t gain anything by splitting with China now or in the short term.

Much longer term it was always bound to happen. Russia only gets critical support around here because it’s going against the West in this specific conflict. It’s still a capitalist country with reactionary views on a lot of things.

That’s going to eventually put it at odds with China and other AES countries unless there’s a change in power in Russia.

Thank you!

Does anyone have any sources for the different thresholds?

If you ever want to see an Elk close up I would definitely recommend visiting Estes Park during Rutt (spelling?) season.

Lived in Denver for a couple years and my wife and I would always drive up there to see them!

Glad to see the Elk showing solidarity!

If you have a degree you could do online tutoring.

I did it on the side a few years ago to help save for my wedding and while it doesn’t pay the greatest unless it’s for high demand subjects, you do get to set your hours and it’s pretty chill.

Feel like this is way more important than the spend.

U.S. depletes 15-20% of THAAD defending Israel from Iran.

Some back of the napkin math based on the article:

$800M at ~$15M each is ~53 interceptors. If that’s 15% of the global stockpile that means the total was around 353 and they’re down to about 300 and the article mentions Lockheed Martin can only produce 50-60/year.

It took Iran only a week to use up a years worth of interceptors. Not to mention the cost difference between the interceptors and the missiles fired at it.

This is not going to be an effective defense against any sort of prolonged engagement with a country like China or Russia.

I get the hesitation since in US politics they often get conflated and I can’t say I’ve followed him very closely but someone else shared this. I know he’s also advocating for city owned grocery stores.

Looks like Iran was bluffing

What’s your opinion on why Israel is agreeing to a ceasefire if Iran has limited options for missile strikes?

Is it that Iran does have enough that they could still use despite how far Israeli aircraft can penetrate and Israel is getting pressure from citizens exhausted from the sirens and sitting in bunkers?

My thought is why not continue to push Israel then if that’s the case?

~~But I guess it’s not relevant since it looks like the ceasefire was a fabrication from trump which isn’t surprising given it didn’t make sense at this point.~~

~~I expect Iran to continue to launch the 20-30 rockets a day that Israel will be forced to expend its limited and expensive interceptors. The war of attrition favors them and hopefully means the US won’t get involved anymore.~~

~~From there it’ll come down to if the US will look to restock them and what Irans response will be if they do.~~

Ceasefire confirmed, I’d expect Iran pushes for nuclear weapons at this point since this isn't the last of aggression they’ll face from Israel.

As others have said not going to buy this until Israel fulfills their side of it.

The only way I can see that is 1. They were really feeling the pressure from their citizens given the constant strikes from Iran and their economy was at risk of collapse and/or 2. They believe the bombing critically set back Irans ability to acquire nuclear weapons.

I’m a bit surprised Iran went for it given they can’t really trust Israel/US and that it seemed the US wouldn’t get involved more if they just kept the pace of rocket attacks steady without escalating to blocking the strait or something similar.

Either the attacks had a major impact or they would rather take the deal to get the US out of the picture while they push to actually make a nuclear weapon now given that’s the only defense guarantee they can count on.