Nollij

joined 1 year ago
[–] Nollij@sopuli.xyz 2 points 1 day ago

The most likely scenario is that both the presidency and vice presidency would be vacant. That means it would go to the speaker of the House, most likely to still be Mike Johnson.

But if Democrats have an unexpectedly good result, they could control the House and elect a new speaker. Similarly, Republicans could replace Johnson with someone else.

[–] Nollij@sopuli.xyz 9 points 1 day ago

SuprNova was the big one for me. Everything else was either redundant (Like RARBG) or just faded away (like my Usenet sources). I didn't have any replacement lined up when SuprNova died.

[–] Nollij@sopuli.xyz 1 points 1 day ago (2 children)

I agree. That was an additional detail that I did not cover, as I wanted to keep it relatively simple. I expect that the anti-Netanyahu Jewish voters are unlikely to switch to voting Trump, given that the latter is firmly and openly pro-genocide.

[–] Nollij@sopuli.xyz 2 points 1 day ago (1 children)

What, specifically, did I say that you disagree with?

[–] Nollij@sopuli.xyz 3 points 1 day ago

To be clear, at no point was I trying to justify any actions. My only goal was to explain the strategic path that would lead to it. And of course there are additional nuances, which I alluded to at the end.

Besides, a winning strategy is not an indicator of ethics.

[–] Nollij@sopuli.xyz -4 points 1 day ago (23 children)

It's a numbers game. There are WAY more Jewish people in the US than there are Arabs (~7.5 vs 3.5 million, according to a quick Google search).

Strategically, those Jewish voters are also more likely to switch to a Republican vote than the Arabs, regardless. It would take 2 Arabs (or any other Democratic voter) sitting out to counter a single Democratic voter switching to a Republican vote.

Granted, none of this accounts for voter locations (because only the 7 swing states matter), voter enthusiasm, claims of national security, or (most importantly of all) ethics.

[–] Nollij@sopuli.xyz 9 points 1 day ago

The difference is that with Biden, it was something new and recent. Trump's been like that for decades at least. It's hard to say that it's because of his age, but that doesn't change the end result.

[–] Nollij@sopuli.xyz 4 points 1 day ago

They both end at noon on January 20, 2025. In such a scenario, it is likely - but not guaranteed - that both would be vacant. At that point, it would go to the (new) speaker of the House

[–] Nollij@sopuli.xyz 3 points 2 days ago (4 children)

No. That's not how the system works at all.

Short of a violent coup, the president's term ends at noon on January 20, 2025. At that point, there is simply a vacancy in the presidency. It would then be filled according to the line of succession (VP, speaker of the House, etc)

[–] Nollij@sopuli.xyz 1 points 4 days ago

Don't bother pleading not guilty unless you have an attorney. It grants you (your attorney) time to negotiate with prosecutors to plead guilty to a lesser charge or similar. But an expired license is about the lowest charge you can get.

Traffic court is very routine. People get up, hear the charge, mostly plead guilty/no contest, hear their sentence (usually a fine, probably under $200 depending), and get pointed to where they can pay. You negotiate payment terms at the later office.

It will help to show how you're going to address the original issue. Even just having an appointment at the DMV, which you can probably book online.

[–] Nollij@sopuli.xyz 1 points 4 days ago

The bigger thing is to look like you put effort into your appearance. Everything clean, no wrinkles, etc. Dress as nice as you can within that. Think whatever you would wear to a job interview.

You will probably (and should) be dressed better than most of the people there. It does get noticed, and will help you out.

[–] Nollij@sopuli.xyz 7 points 5 days ago

There's a certain point where they become abandoned property, and you can just do with them whatever you want. My guess is that it's some point after the existing contract runs out, plus 30/90/365 days or whatever. Possibly requiring a court order, public notice, or something else. This will depend entirely on your jurisdiction's laws on abandoned property.

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