Lugh

joined 1 year ago
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[–] Lugh 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

The other country that is going to suffer as the oil age comes to an end is Russia. The Saudis look like they are far more on top of preparing for this.

[–] Lugh 18 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

I'm glad the EU is acting to combat this, but there's a deeper problem. The amount of people who lack basic critical thinking skills, and can't figure out the truth of facts for themselves. The amount of people who've become convinced vaccines are dangerous, being just one recent example of this.

[–] Lugh 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Current AI models could be as conscious as many ‘lower order’ living things

I find a lot of the assumptions people make about AI consciousness very puzzling.

A frequent assumption is that because consciousness has emerged from animal brain architecture, therefore it follows that it will do so from electronic circuitry. However, it's entirely possible an AGI thousands of times more capable than an average human brain could have no consciousness at all.

Consciousness might be some unusual quirk that only arises in very specific types of circumstances, and biological brains, by chance, were one of those. Who knows? As no one understands how consciousness arises, we can't say.

The stronger the claims people make about AI consciousness, the less I have confidence in them.

[–] Lugh 2 points 1 year ago

mmm, but as no one has a theory for how consciousness arises and ChatGPT has no independent reasoning ability & is just stuck with the existing corpus of human knowledge ........

[–] Lugh 1 points 1 year ago

To me, its not so much about getting there now. Its that JWST (and the space telescopes soon to follow) should be able to analyze their atmosphere's for life. If we can survey 1,000's of exoplanets, we should finally know how common simple single cell life is in the universe.

[–] Lugh 1 points 1 year ago (2 children)

I would tend to take the opposite point of view. Self-driving cars are here already - they are operating as taxis without human drivers in Chinese and American cities. AI is on an exponential growth path. I think its reasonable to think recursive self-improving AGI will be with us by the 2030s. Once that happens …. all bets are off for all the rest of the stuff you mentioned.

[–] Lugh 5 points 1 year ago (3 children)

I don't know that they've gone anywhere else, although it did prompt some of us to create a fediverse instance for the subreddit.

[–] Lugh 11 points 1 year ago (6 children)

I help moderate one of the larger subreddits (r/futurology) & its striking how much the recent issues have demoralized people. We track inactive Mods monthly, where there used to be 5 or so a month, for the last two months its 25 or so, which is the majority of the mods on that subreddit.

[–] Lugh 4 points 1 year ago (3 children)

I'd love to have more Mastodon stuff in my lemmy feed. Shame its virtually impossible as far as I can see. Do you have any idea when lemmy devs might change this?

[–] Lugh 2 points 1 year ago

Tokyo keeps growing, no? Are people migrating there from rural Japan?

Its the same when any country becomes dominated by one large city. Same with Paris & France & London & Britain.

[–] Lugh 1 points 1 year ago

People are treating it like artificial general intelligence

Yes, its definitely been over-hyped (by some) in that regard.

That said, next-gen LLMs that have greatly reduced the hallucination problem are on the horizon, and I would say will be much more successful.

The medical AI the Microsoft employee talks about here (and other peoples versions of it) is almost sure to be a huge global success.

[–] Lugh 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Also - humanity can do multiple things at once. Fixing climate change is a political/tech issue, not a lack of resources issue.

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