Lugh

joined 2 years ago
MODERATOR OF
 

January 2025 has seen two significant events for Big Tech. Their moves to further enable authoritarianism, and the neo-nazi far right & their loss of the AI arms race to a tiny Chinese upstart.

Meta embraced the trend of using open-source to weaken its competitors 18 months ago, and since then open-source AI from places as diverse as France and China have been using the same tactic. That culminated in recent weeks in DeepSeek - the open-source AI that has become the world's most powerful.

So it seems the power of AI, or even AGI when it comes, may not be in the hands of a few Silicon Valley billionaires, but instead decentralized and democratized around the world. As those billionaires embrace ever darker and more fascistic visions of the future, maybe we should be relieved they are all hobbling and weakening each other via open-source AI.

[–] Lugh 4 points 1 year ago (2 children)

There's 2 issues here.

  1. We want to be very selective with our use of automod & pinned posts/comments. It can easily move to accusations of spam.

  2. We've tried emphasizing the open-source, no-tracking aspect before. It doesn't seem to attract much interest.

Most Redditors are casual users there for content. Only a small minority care about the issues that motivate the fediverse. What we'd like to do is bring some of the large group here; but they will have to be motivated by something else.

We have regular posting here now, often with topics not on the sub-reddit. My hunch is that an approach like - "Like r/futurology? - come to our other site for extra content" - might work better.

[–] Lugh 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Science fiction has given us the idea of super-advanced android robots like those in 'Westworld', 'Megan', or 'Humans'. But long before that point is reached, much simpler robots will be widespread and very useful. It feels like we are on the verge of that happening. There are almost twenty humanoid robot start-ups around the world. Here we can see how many of them may soon be successful.

Multimodal AI is already here. The robot start-ups don't have to build it, they just have to integrate it into their existing products. These robots can be cheap or expensive, but that doesn't matter so much. The real power is in the AI.

[–] Lugh 5 points 1 year ago

Declining living standards, stagnant wages and Inflation is already leading to political instability around the world. The rise in support for fascism and the far right are directly linked to these factors. It seems climate change is already making these problems worse.

There's another knock-on effect from this. One of the traditional central bank responses to inflation is higher interest rates. America has so much government debt it's spending more money on the interest payments than it is on the military. Those annual interest payments are now at $1 trillion. It seems climate change will make them bigger by pushing up interest rates.

[–] Lugh 5 points 1 year ago

There are some interesting lessons to be learned here. It seems having lots of near-empty space is driving this. Solar is being built in poorer rural areas with low planning and permitting requirements. More densely populated places can't always take such an approach easily, but it points to the fact that planning authorization may be placing a bottleneck on reducing climate change damage.

[–] Lugh 4 points 1 year ago

The AI Investor hype bubble always seemed ultimately doomed. AI will be profoundly deflationary, and will likely lead us to end up dominated by a very different economic system than today, with a far smaller role for capitalism, stock markets, and investors.

This article is interesting as it neatly illustrates the schizophrenia at the heart of the AI investor worldview. On the one hand, it berates people who made claims that 300 million jobs would be automated - because they've failed to live up to that "promise" to AI investors fast enough.

What you never see is anyone joining the dots, and asking what sort of economic model society will evolve to when job automation is at that scale. (Hint: It probably won't have much room for high stock market or property prices, or prosperous investors).

[–] Lugh 10 points 1 year ago

I'm fascinated by people's tendencies to anthropomorphize AI & robotics; it's hard to see how this is truly analogous to the human mind and depression.

[–] Lugh 4 points 1 year ago

Yes. I don't think enough people realise the significances of this fact. Unlike us, AI will never peak; it will always relentlessly get better.

[–] Lugh 5 points 1 year ago

One of the difficulties with ending the fossil fuel age is transitioning workers and economic activity. Geothermal energy like Fervo, apart from all its other benefits, might help solve that problem. There's a large cross-over in terms of skills between them and the oil and gas industry. They even sometimes use sites of former fossil fuel extraction for geothermal plants. Now they seem to have successfully demonstrated proof-of-concept it's frustrating things aren't moving faster with this energy source.

[–] Lugh 3 points 1 year ago (1 children)

It makes sense China dominates manufacturing standards; it's the world's biggest manufacturer. It seems an odd thing for the article writer to get worked up over.

[–] Lugh 6 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Robots-as-a-Service (RaaS) is very similar to human contractors getting paid by the hour.

[–] Lugh 3 points 1 year ago

As this allows for clearer image resolution of smaller planets around the nearest stars, I wonder will it do the same for their atmospheric composition? It seems that will be the key to first detecting alien life elsewhere in the universe. I've a sneaking suspicion that if any life (or its remains) are found on Mars or Europa, it will have been seeded from Earth, and not have arisen independently.

[–] Lugh 11 points 1 year ago (1 children)

The usual caveats apply to results from testing in mice; it might not be safe in humans, and it's generally years of clinical trials before any human treatment becomes available.

That said, I wonder why humanity doesn't put much more effort into research like this. The birth rate is rapidly diminishing in most Western countries. The 21st century will be, for the first time in human history, the century of the old. Historically that has meant burden, but it needn't be if research like this leads to the results it promises.

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