Lugh

joined 2 years ago
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Rumbling away throughout 2024 was EU threats to take action against Twitter/X for abandoning fact-checking. The EU's Digital Services Act (DSA) is clear on its requirements - so that conflict will escalate. If X won't change, presumably ultimately it will be banned from the EU.

Meta have decided they'd rather keep EU market access. Today they announced the removal of fact-checking, but only for Americans. Europeans can still benefit from the higher standards the Digital Services Act guarantees.

The next 10 years will see the power of mis/disinformation accelerate with AI. Meta itself seems to be embracing this trend by purposefully integrating fake AI profiles into its networks. From now on it looks like the main battle-ground to deal with this is going to be the EU.

 

It's hard to keep count of all the humanoid robots in development, but there seems to be about 20 different models. However, Samsung has more manufacturing heft than most, so its entry may be more significant.

It's announced a majority stake in Korean firm Rainbow Robotics, which was first spun off from a Korean academic institution. Rainbow have been around for a while, and their flagship humanoid model is the RB-Y1. It's wheeled, which marks it out from others, but that might be an advantage, as it simplifies the engineering of movement and locomotion. In terms of tasks and work with its arms it looks as capable as any other in development, and ahead of many.

Robot training in 2025 just got easier - the two leading training models are now open-sourced. This will level the playing field, but also give advantages to people like Samsung. Their expertise is in selling commercial products - maybe that is the breakthrough humanoid robotics needs now?

 

"Companies will have three months from when the guidance is finalised to carry out risk assessments and make relevant changes to safeguard users.........."Platforms are supposed to remove illegal content like promoting or facilitating suicide, self-harm, and child sexual abuse."

This is already impacting futurology.today - one of the Mods is British, and because of this law doesn't feel comfortable continuing. As they have back-end expertise with hosting, if they go, we may have to shut down the whole site.

How easy is it to block British IP addresses? Would that be enough to circumvent any legal issues, if no one else involved in running the site is British and it is hosted somewhere else in the world?

11
submitted 8 months ago by Lugh to c/futurology
 

Blue Origin is just about to launch its reusable heavy-lift 'New Glenn' rocket in a few days. Are we about to see a version of Aesop's tale of 'The Hare & the Tortoise' play out, with SpaceX playing the role of the hare?

This Sabine Hossenfelder video does a good job of laying out the argument - Jeff Bezos’ Space Plans Make More Sense Than Elon Musk's.

In summary, Blue Origin's plans are built around space stations in near earth orbit, while SpaceX's plans are for Mars colonization. It's far more likely Blue Origin's plans can be realized in the 2030s and 2040s. Apart from China, no one else will have a space station by around 2030 when the ISS goes - there will be no other choice but to look to commercial providers.

Blue Origin's plans for space stations designed as O'Neill cylinders with artificial gravity are the obvious next step on from ISS-type space stations.

[–] Lugh 7 points 1 year ago (1 children)

He perpetually over-promises. I'm more amazed they've let him lead America's space efforts for going back to the Moon. There's no way his stated timeline with StarShip will be achieved.

[–] Lugh 2 points 1 year ago

Many people will have heard of 'Havana Syndrome' - a medical condition reported primarily by U.S. diplomatic, intelligence, and military officials stationed in overseas locations. Most of the affected individuals reported an acute onset of symptoms associated with a perceived localized loud sound, followed by chronic symptoms that lasted for months, such as balance and cognitive problems, insomnia, and headaches. Some people disputed if 'Havana Syndrome' was real. However here we see the perfect mechanism for making something similar happen.

There's probably upsides to this. Medicines like Ozempic seem to profoundly change human behavior for positive outcomes. This could have the same potential.

[–] Lugh 2 points 1 year ago

Even more insane is the price. 10c per 1 km. Wow. If they were that cheap in the west who would want to spend the several hundreds of dollars/euros per month it costs to own a car.

[–] Lugh 2 points 1 year ago

Thanks, I subscribed to them.

[–] Lugh 3 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

Google logins and similar?

I've never seen that done, but I'm going to look into it, as it would be good.

trick for ordinary users is getting here with minimum clicks.

Yes, added to that the clunkiness of finding and subscribing to other instances is a huge turn off. I wish we could have "special" accounts for new users, that were already subscribed to a top 50-100 curated instances. Sadly, AFAIK You can't do that.

[–] Lugh 4 points 1 year ago (2 children)

There's 2 issues here.

  1. We want to be very selective with our use of automod & pinned posts/comments. It can easily move to accusations of spam.

  2. We've tried emphasizing the open-source, no-tracking aspect before. It doesn't seem to attract much interest.

Most Redditors are casual users there for content. Only a small minority care about the issues that motivate the fediverse. What we'd like to do is bring some of the large group here; but they will have to be motivated by something else.

We have regular posting here now, often with topics not on the sub-reddit. My hunch is that an approach like - "Like r/futurology? - come to our other site for extra content" - might work better.

[–] Lugh 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Science fiction has given us the idea of super-advanced android robots like those in 'Westworld', 'Megan', or 'Humans'. But long before that point is reached, much simpler robots will be widespread and very useful. It feels like we are on the verge of that happening. There are almost twenty humanoid robot start-ups around the world. Here we can see how many of them may soon be successful.

Multimodal AI is already here. The robot start-ups don't have to build it, they just have to integrate it into their existing products. These robots can be cheap or expensive, but that doesn't matter so much. The real power is in the AI.

[–] Lugh 5 points 1 year ago

Declining living standards, stagnant wages and Inflation is already leading to political instability around the world. The rise in support for fascism and the far right are directly linked to these factors. It seems climate change is already making these problems worse.

There's another knock-on effect from this. One of the traditional central bank responses to inflation is higher interest rates. America has so much government debt it's spending more money on the interest payments than it is on the military. Those annual interest payments are now at $1 trillion. It seems climate change will make them bigger by pushing up interest rates.

[–] Lugh 5 points 1 year ago

There are some interesting lessons to be learned here. It seems having lots of near-empty space is driving this. Solar is being built in poorer rural areas with low planning and permitting requirements. More densely populated places can't always take such an approach easily, but it points to the fact that planning authorization may be placing a bottleneck on reducing climate change damage.

[–] Lugh 4 points 1 year ago

The AI Investor hype bubble always seemed ultimately doomed. AI will be profoundly deflationary, and will likely lead us to end up dominated by a very different economic system than today, with a far smaller role for capitalism, stock markets, and investors.

This article is interesting as it neatly illustrates the schizophrenia at the heart of the AI investor worldview. On the one hand, it berates people who made claims that 300 million jobs would be automated - because they've failed to live up to that "promise" to AI investors fast enough.

What you never see is anyone joining the dots, and asking what sort of economic model society will evolve to when job automation is at that scale. (Hint: It probably won't have much room for high stock market or property prices, or prosperous investors).

[–] Lugh 10 points 1 year ago

I'm fascinated by people's tendencies to anthropomorphize AI & robotics; it's hard to see how this is truly analogous to the human mind and depression.

[–] Lugh 4 points 1 year ago

Yes. I don't think enough people realise the significances of this fact. Unlike us, AI will never peak; it will always relentlessly get better.

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