Lugh

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submitted 3 months ago by Lugh to c/futurology
 

This isn't going to shave much weight off of EV's. Typically the engine weight is only 2-5% of the total weight. But it may have a much larger effect on battery efficiency and range.

Internal combustion engine cars are now in their decline phase. We won't see any more technological innovation from them. From now on all the tech innovation is going to be in EVs, which will keep getting better and better than the old gas cars.

Core-sheath composite electric cables with highly conductive self-assembled carbon nanotube wires and flexible macroscale insulating polymers for lightweight, metal-free motors

 

Interesting that they are going the subscription route and not selling these outright. It works because the comparison with the cost of a human looks so favorable. I'd expect to see this with humanoid robots too as they take over more and more human jobs.

XRobotics’ countertop robots are cooking up 25,000 pizzas a month

 

People in Britain have historically been quite averse to ID systems; the country is one of the few in Europe without national ID cards. Something that is standard in many other European countries.

Will they take to Worldcoin? It seems to combine everything that is rapidly going out of fashion. It's touting itself as a solution to AI slop, the same problem its founder is creating. It's crypto-backed, words that mean 'red flag' and 'scam artist' to many people. Finally, it's all about putting all your trust in American Big Tech. An idea in steep decline globally, and at home in America.

Still, the investor billions are still flowing. Palantir, with similar ambitions, is now valued at $328 billion, 220 times more than its earnings.

Financial Times Article

 

The recent brouhaha about Apple saying AGI is not so imminent after all, disguises a more significant reality. Even without AGI, current AI is continuing along a revolutionary path that will utterly transform society.

Figure Robotics illustrates this. Its Helix humanoid robots are getting nearer and nearer human human-level dexterity in carrying out some common factory tasks.

We won't need AGI to develop humanoid robots capable of doing most unskilled and semi-skilled work.

Are the people obsessing over AGI, missing the revolution happening on their doorstep?

Scaling Helix: a New State of the Art in Humanoid Logistics

 

Researchers tested Large Reasoning Models on various puzzles. As the puzzles got more difficult the AIs failed more, until at a certain point they all failed completely.

Even without the ability to reason, current AI will still be revolutionary. It can get us to Level 4 self-driving, and outperform doctors, and many other professionals in their work. It should make humanoid robots capable of much physical work.

Still, this research suggests the current approach to AI will not lead to AGI, no matter how much training and scaling you try. That's a problem for the people throwing hundreds of billions of dollars at this approach, hoping it will pay off with a new AGI Tech Unicorn to rival Google or Meta in revenues.

Apple study finds "a fundamental scaling limitation" in reasoning models' thinking abilities

 

Interesting that UBI is now such a mainstream topic, and this trend will only grow from now on.

Despite what Mr. Sacks might say, the day is still coming when robots & AI will be able to do most work, and be so cheap as employees, humans won't be able to compete against them in a free market economy.

What won't change either is that our existing financial order - stocks, 410ks, property prices, taxes that pay for a military - is predicated on humans being the ones that earn the money.

Mr Sacks is part of a political force driven by blue-collar discontent with globalization. He might be against UBI, but the day is coming when his base may be clamoring for it.

Trump's AI czar says UBI-style cash payments are 'not going to happen'

 

The US President and his formerly favorite South African have had a major falling out. The WH says it may pull all of SpaceX's contracts, the South African says 'go ahead', and he's decommissioning the Dragon crew vehicle, the US's only safe method of getting to and from the ISS.

Meanwhile, half of NASA's efforts are heading for the chop too.

"L'État, c'est moi." ("I am the state.") Louis XIV, the 'Sun King' said about his absolute monarchy. The problem with having just one person in charge is that everyone suffers when they behave idiotically. Sadly, the once mighty US Space Program looks like being a casualty of that. Surely, this paves the way for China to be the world's preeminent space power.

36
Busting Unions with AI: How Amazon Uses AI to Crush Labor Movements (artificialintelligencemadesimple.substack.com)
submitted 3 months ago by Lugh to c/futurology
[–] Lugh 1 points 6 months ago

30% of global electricity was from renewables in 2024. It's already cheaper than most other sources, and keeps getting cheaper.

[–] Lugh 9 points 6 months ago (6 children)

I've always wondered, if decades in the future, a terrorist attack might occur by somebody nudging an asteroid towards Earth. I'm not the only person thinking this, it was a major plot point in the TV show 'The Expanse'.

[–] Lugh 2 points 6 months ago (6 children)

I wonder if fusion powers true usefulness will be when humans are in space? Because you are correct in saying renewables will probably be enough to supply all our needs and more by the 2030s.

[–] Lugh 3 points 7 months ago

We are used to the idea of drugs being recreationally misused, I wonder will that ever happen to tech like this?

[–] Lugh 3 points 7 months ago (1 children)

That behavior among "advanced" species has always been forward as one solution to the Fermi Paradox.

[–] Lugh 1 points 7 months ago (1 children)

I am no expert in any of this, but why do you think it couldn't work at scale? This company says their tech has advantages in cheapness and efficiency over existing solutions. What is it about what they are doing that will not scale?

[–] Lugh 11 points 7 months ago

The 'Dark Enlightenment' is a popular concept among some of America's technology elite, such as Peter Thiel and Elon Musk. It thinks democracy is a failure, and should be replaced by right-wing authoritarianism, preferably led by a dictator or monarch. For obvious reasons, it's enjoying an ascendancy.

A key idea in Dark Enlightenment thinking is the establishment of hundreds or even thousands of city-state enclaves, the equal of sovereign nations, that could then outnumber the old countries and predominate in a new world order of governance.

Prospera in Honduras is one of the first attempts at making this dream/nightmare (pick according to your political persuasion) come true. Now that the people behind Dark Enlightenment thinking have their hands on the levers of power in the US, it won't be surprising if there are expanded attempts to set up new libertarian city-states around the world.

[–] Lugh 1 points 7 months ago

Reminds me of Westworld too.

[–] Lugh 5 points 7 months ago

There's an incredible amount of groupthink in American tech. As OpenAI has been anointed the unicorn that will conquer tech, and like Microsoft & Google before it, come to be worth trillions - it must succeed.

So the narrative goes anyway.

Except every step of the way it isn't happening. Yet again, OpenAI has failed to live up to expectations, and worse, Open-Source AI does everything it does, but for free.

[–] Lugh 2 points 7 months ago (1 children)

They specifically mention the medical uses in the article, though I am far from trusting any of the big tech companies.

[–] Lugh 8 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago)

I am glad the EU is at least trying to do something. The American government looks like it has been thoroughly captured by Big Tech, nothing that will be done in the next four years to rein them in.

[–] Lugh 2 points 7 months ago (3 children)

I know they are doing this for good, I can't help feeling a little horrified. I am sure there are some very bad uses for this in future autocracies and police states.

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