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A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like "in Minecraft") and comments containing it will be removed.

Image is a map of the Western Sahara, sourced from this article in the Middle East Eye. Much of the information in the preamble also came from there, as well as this article.


November 6th marked the 50th anniversary of Morocco, under King Hassan II, beginning the invasion and occupation of much of the territory of the Western Sahara. Today, approximately 80% of the territory of the Western Sahara is controlled by Morocco, with the Polisario Front - the government of the Sahrawis - controlling the rest, hugging the border of Mauritania. Between them lies one of the longest walls and one of the largest minefields on the planet, of which construction began in the 1980s.

The legitimacy of Morocco's control over the Western Sahara is one of those long-lasting diplomatic issues which ultimately doesn't seem to matter very much in terms of on-the-ground realities, and reveals the eternal uselessness of the United Nations especially in regard to actually helping oppressed people. Up until about 2020, the US and certain other Western countries did not formally recognize Morocco as having sovereignty over the whole territory, but in terms of providing genuine opposition to Morocco, it seems that Algeria is the major player in the region. While American, European, and Moroccan corporations exploit the fisheries and phosphate minerals of the region, protected by their minefields (and claims of merely advancing the cause of renewable energy development, AKA greenwashing), Algeria provides what aid they can to support the displaced Sahrawi people, many of whom have been forced to live in refugee camps.

On October 31st, the US put forward a resolution in the UN Security Council which was adopted (Russia and China abstained) and provided major support to Morocco, urging the Polisario Front to adopt the 2007 "autonomy plan", which would, despite its name, be synonymous with an end to their independence movement. Such a plan was met with much jubilation in Morocco, with King Mohammed VI remarking "From now on, there will be a before and an after October 31, 2025.” Such a date was also the catalyst for the PF intensifying their guerilla struggle against Morocco, as legal avenues for autonomy and basic human rights are running out as the imperialists grow more desperate.


Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] carpoftruth@hexbear.net 60 points 3 days ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

All Posters are Beautiful, but not all posts are effort posts. DM me to feature effort posts in the newsmega/newscomm here (including your own posts)

@jack@hexbear.net on Venezuelan communes as actually existing socialism and a book by Chris Gilbert

Subthread on Chinese tourism in Japan between @Leegh@hexbear.net, @xiaohongshu@hexbear.net and several others.

Previous: Oct 27 | Nov 3 | Nov 10

[–] Goblinmancer@hexbear.net 18 points 3 hours ago (1 children)

Trump is first pro life president

[–] carpoftruth@hexbear.net 9 points 4 hours ago

https://www.intellinews.com/macro-advisory-will-dark-water-take-the-shine-off-kyrgyzstan-s-golden-growth-412521/

archive: https://archive.is/bENzO

bne intellinews on how Kyrgyzstan's rapid economic growth is linked to energy availability, the vast majority of which comes from hydroelectric power off of the Toktogul reservoir. water level in the reservoir is directly linked to how much electricity can be generated, and this reservoir is stressed by general resource management challenges as well as climate change. I wonder how much chinese solar could help here. Reservoirs plus hydropower work great as batteries by using pump back systems and could be coupled to intermittent solar/wind generation.

spoiler

Over 90% of the country’s electricity is produced from Hydro Power Plants (HPPs). The main problem is the Toktogul Reservoir, the country’s largest. It feeds five major HPPs that generate around 97% of the country’s hydroelectricity. That includes the Toktogul Hydropower Plant, which alone generates up to 40% of the country’s power. The reservoir can hold about 19.5 cubic kilometres of water, but below about 5.5 cubic kilometres, the hydroelectric cascade that depends on it cannot operate. Currently, the volume is close to 9.5 cubic kilometres. In 2008, the only time in recent memory that Toktogul’s September water level was lower than this year, it triggered an energy crisis, which saw GDP growth decline from 8.4% to a 0.5% contraction in 2009.

But the country plans even more water-dependent HPPs. President Japarov has pledged that the country will overcome its winter power shortage difficulties and has made a very ambitious declaration that the country will become energy independent within two and a half years. He means to achieve this with the completion of almost 40 new HPPs and a new coal-fired power station (at the Kara-Keche deposit).

Water is also an issue of concern to the country’s “downstream neighbours.” Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan rely on water from Kyrgyzstan, so if there is a reduced flow in the rivers or a major expansion in the HPPs/Dams cut the downstream volume, this will intensify existing water supply problems in some regions of these countries. The Kyrgyz Government is now proposing that the downstream neighbours pay considerably more for water in order to help fund remedial actions.

[–] Tervell@hexbear.net 21 points 5 hours ago

critical support to the United States Air Force in its valiant effort to demilitarize the empire by crashing all their planes stonks-down https://archive.ph/Gw7ig

Military aircraft crashes skyrocketed from 2020 to 2024, new data shows

Possible causes include stagnating budgets and increased operations, experts said.

more

Pentagon data shows that deadly and costly military aircraft mishaps skyrocketed 55 percent over the past four years, alarming lawmakers, defense analysts, and aviation safety experts. The number of Class A mishaps—the deadliest and costliest category—per 100,000 flight hours rose from 1.3 in fiscal 2020 to 2.02 in fiscal 2024, according to data provided to Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass. Defense One reviewed the data, which Warren received in January after requesting it last year. “This loss of life due to mishaps poses an unacceptable risk to service members, their families, and military readiness,” Warren said in a Wednesday news release. Across 4,280 total mishaps between full budget years 2020 through 2023 and part of 2024, those incidents led to 90 deaths, just shy of 90 aircraft destroyed, and upwards of $9 billion in damages, the data showed. Warren’s office said the rise in deadly mishaps supports a push to include provisions in this year’s defense policy bill asking the Pentagon to share summaries of internal military safety reports for the last three years with Congress.

Safety advocates and defense experts said the alarming trends are accompanied by declining transparency, increased operations, and stagnating budgets. Each service except the Navy saw the rate of Class A mishaps per 100,000 flight hours hit a four-year high in 2024. In the Marines, the rate nearly doubled from 1.33 to 3.91. The Army’s rate rose from 0.76 to 2.02; the Air Force’s edged up from 1.72 to 1.9; and the Navy’s went from 1.12 and 1.76 after peaking at 1.98 in 2022. A Pentagon official, responding to those figures being released by Warren’s office, said in an emailed statement that the Defense Department's safety oversight council regularly reviews incidents to “reduce safety risks” to the services. "We underscore the importance of safety and readiness at every level of the Department, ensuring that we invest in and adopt leading safety practices and foster a strong culture of safety throughout the organization,” the official said. The Pentagon data included the Class A mishap rates of its 10 most-used aircraft. The list was topped by the H-60 helicopter, which was involved in 23 total incidents per four years worth of flight hours. It was followed by the F-18 fighter jet and C-17 transport plane, both with 21 total incidents per four years worth of flight hours.

More than one-fifth of the 90 deaths mentioned in the Pentagon report occurred in variants of the V-22 Osprey, which has seen four crashes resulting in 20 servicemember deaths since 2022. One widow who lost a loved one in a 2022 crash said the alarming trend of deadly incidents is made worse by a lack of transparency. Many survivors are still waiting on findings in Naval Air Systems Command and Government Accountability investigations probing the tiltrotor aircraft. “The trends we’re seeing remain incredibly concerning, and answers aren’t only owed to the families whose loved ones are represented in these numbers. They’re owed to the service members still flying in these aircraft and to their loved ones,” the widow said. “We deserve complete answers and real accountability. We still don’t have either.”

Some services, such as the Air Force, have taken public-facing measures addressing the alarming rise in deadly mishaps. Before he retired as Air Force chief of staff earlier this year, then-Gen. David Allvin announced a safety and standards campaign in January, stating in a video the service lost 47 airmen and $1.5 billion in weapons due to preventable incidents. His replacement, Gen. David Wilsbach, told Congress during his confirmation hearing, and airmen in a letter this month, that his priority is to fix aging aircraft and increase readiness. J.F. Joseph, a retired Marine Corps pilot who is an aviation consultant and expert witness, said reversing the trends will require pilots to get enough flight hours. That involves consistently funding and staffing maintenance efforts so aviators can get more experience. “The aircraft have to be supported by the maintainers and they have to have the parts, the components, to maintain those aircraft properly,” Joseph said. “If you don’t staff these aircraft squadrons properly with maintainers, even if you have the parts sitting on the shelf, you can’t fix the airplanes. The cost of doing aviation safely is expensive, it simply is. It’s even more expensive when you’re doing it properly, but it’s a lot more expensive when you’re not.”

This year alone, the Navy lost four F/A-18Fs, according to Warren’s office, and the deadliest mishap in recent aviation history took place near Washington, D.C., in January when an Army Black Hawk helicopter collided in midair with a commercial airliner, killing all 67 aboard the two aircraft. Mackenzie Eaglen, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, said prior administrations’ defense budgets “did not keep pace with inflation while the military op-tempo was high,” adding that several services have had to take drastic measures to keep aircraft usable–such as the Air Force resurrecting retired B-1 Lancer bombers and returning them to service. “Shockingly, military aviation units in separate branches in the armed services are currently cannibalizing aircraft parts to get planes flying,” Eaglen said. “The decade-long budget control act, followed by sequestration, followed by budgets that did not keep pace with generational record-high inflation mean there is a lot of time, work, and money needed to reverse these trends.” In a Tuesday letter to Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, Warren’s office is now asking for Class A-mishap data for the rest of 2024 and 2025 as well as broader information on “mishaps, fatalities, destroyed aircraft, and estimated costs across each service for each aircraft” in the past five years. The senator asked for the Pentagon to provide the information no later than Dec. 2. “In the face of increasing rates of costly and deadly aviation mishaps, it is critical that Congress and DoD take all necessary action to address this problem,” Warren wrote.

[–] Parra@hexbear.net 29 points 7 hours ago (4 children)

By Reuters

China is spawing infinite civilian ships to use in a invasion on Taiwan "D-day style babyyyyy"

https://www.reuters.com/graphics/USA-CHINA/TAIWAN-INVASION/zjpqdekmlvx/

based and ship pilled

[–] miz@hexbear.net 23 points 6 hours ago* (last edited 6 hours ago)

"does anyone else think it's unfair that material forces drive history?" —some liberal

[–] coolusername@hexbear.net 16 points 6 hours ago (1 children)

I live in Taiwan. does that mean i wont have to pay taxes and i get free shipping from taobao?

[–] oscardejarjayes@hexbear.net 3 points 2 hours ago

Do you actually? What's it like there right now?

[–] NephewAlphaBravo@hexbear.net 18 points 7 hours ago* (last edited 7 hours ago) (1 children)

china is using console commands to give themselves infinite population and ore for ships

intelligence suggests they'er about to use the flying rainbow hippo command

[–] BobDole@hexbear.net 11 points 5 hours ago

howdoyouturnthisthingon

Russian forces have fully liberated the Kharkov oblast city of Kupyansk:

Russian servicemen have liberated the city of Kupyansk in the Kharkov Region, Chief of the Russian General Staff Valery Gerasimov reported to President Vladimir Putin.

"Units of the Battlegroup West have liberated the city of Kupyansk and continue to destroy Ukrainian formations encircled on the left bank of the Oskol River," Gerasimov said.

https://tass.com/defense/2046545

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 32 points 11 hours ago* (last edited 9 hours ago)

A whole bunch of US military aircraft decided to turn on their transponders all at once while operating off of the coast of Venezuela, including fighter jets and reconnaissance aircraft. Not all aircraft operating have turned on their transponders, but quite a few. B-52H Stratofortress bombers are suspected to be operating with transponders off.

The aircraft with the "LION" and "FELIX" callsigns are fighter jets, indicated ground speed of between 620-640 knots.

These operations have been happening for quite some time now, though the US has a lot more fighter jets close by in recent days with the arrival of the USS Gerald R Ford aircraft carrier.

Update: the aircraft are showing up as F/A-18E/F Super Hornets from the USS Gerald R Ford aircraft carrier now. A B-52H Stratofortress bomber showed up off of the coast of Suriname.

Source

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 34 points 12 hours ago* (last edited 11 hours ago) (2 children)

The 28 point Ukraine - Russia peace plan has leaked apparently. A journalist from "The Insider" has posted an English translation of all 28 points.

The plan, ignore hyperbole outside of 28 points

The original leaked screenshots:

Now for some of the weirder oddities in the plan, why is there a clause that voids security guarantees if Ukraine launches a munition at Moscow or St. Petersburg? Why not all of Russia, or just omit that clause entirely? That one has an explanation, lots of Russian air defence assets, from Pantsir to Buk to S-400, are holed up protecting those cities, in particular Moscow. Hundreds of systems. Russia is desperate to more evenly distribute these air defence systems across the country, but can't, as Ukraine has the capability to hold Moscow at risk via one way attack drones and cruise missiles. While these Ukrainian attacks are unsuccessful in damaging Moscow, they help shape the battlefield. With all these systems held up in Moscow, it enables Ukrainian attacks on other parts of Russia currently, in particular energy infrastructure (oil, natural gas, power stations) and port facilities. So via outlawing attacks on these cities, Russia could redistribute it's ground based air defence more evenly.

600 000 standing troop limit on the Ukrainian military is a simple one, Russia wants to maintain a numerical advantage.

[–] FortifiedAttack@hexbear.net 10 points 6 hours ago (2 children)

Point 14 seems like an absolute non-starter for both Russia and Europe:

  1. Frozen funds will be used as follows:

$100 billion in frozen Russian assets will be invested in US-led efforts to rebuild and invest in Ukraine. The US will receive 50% of the profits from this venture. Europe will add $100 billion to increase the amount of investment available for Ukraine's reconstruction. Frozen European funds will be unfrozen. The remainder of the frozen Russian funds will be invested in a separate US-Russian investment vehicle that will implement joint projects in specific areas. This fund will be aimed at strengthening relations and increasing common interests to create a strong incentive not to return to conflict.

The US trying to cash out.

In general I've seen both sides dislike this proposal, which is really funny.

[–] darkcalling@hexbear.net 4 points 4 hours ago

$100 billion to pay off Trump so he can spin it as a win and "look at all the great handsome money we got from this" is not strategically a bad deal (compared to the cost of continued military operations) if the rest of deal were okay and it actually bought Russia peace but I doubt how long this peace is actually intended to last.

But the full $300 billion just looks bad, it's Russia consenting to the theft of their money and legitimizing and legalizing an illegal move of a rogue state and its vassals in Europe and sanctioning such use not only continuing but expanding against other actors and possibly Russia again in the future when not long ago it was repeating the mantra that it would destroy confidence in the dollar, the euro, SWIFT, the entire western financial stranglehold if they did that. It's just insulting to take both the hundred billion in the US plus one hundred billion from Europe and give them essentially to Ukraine as a kind of loan or buyout of assets that the west then gets to profit off using such a spectacularly corrupt country to divert much of it back to themselves or into the pockets of corrupt officials they'll then control from then on to exercise control of Ukraine. The last hundred billion being locked into a US-Russian investment vehicle that Russia cannot freely withdraw from and which is restricted to specific joint projects likely designed to try and increase Russian reliance on the west and pry-bar them away from China is just hilarious.

[–] CleverOleg@hexbear.net 5 points 5 hours ago

The remainder of the frozen Russian funds will be invested in a separate US-Russian investment vehicle that will implement joint projects in specific areas. This fund will be aimed at strengthening relations and increasing common interests to create a strong incentive not to return to conflict.

I may be reading far too much into this, but I noticed that nowhere here does it specify that this remainder - I think very roughly $500 billion or so - must be invested in Ukraine. If so, this sounds like what Trump is trying to do with Japan; get a commitment from a foreign government to commit to investing in the US. But again, I am likely reading too much into this, even if it means investment in Ukraine this is a nonstarter for Russia. But it does have Trump and Witkoff’s grubby little fingerprints all over it.

[–] companero@hexbear.net 27 points 11 hours ago* (last edited 11 hours ago) (4 children)

Still smells like Minsk 3 with more tasty bait sprinkled on top to me. It technically fulfills Russia's war goals of demilitarization, denazification, protection of ethnic Russians etc, but it leaves the door wide open for a resumption of the conflict once Europe has a chance to rearm.

The stench of Strategic Sequencing and Division of Labor is difficult to ignore.

I mean, European leaders are currently screaming about preparing for imminent war within a few years, while boosting their military spending to new heights. They are not "sabotaging the peace deal." The US wants them to eventually take over the proxy war in Ukraine.

[–] Stylistillusional@hexbear.net 5 points 3 hours ago

When it comes to rearming Europe, most of it has been plegdes to do so. Even if they actually succeed in securing funding, it could easily take a decade plus to produce and integrate new weapons and personnel.

So much could change in those years. Trump will be gone and who knows what the state of the US will be afterwards. Cuts to social safety nets to fund defense is going to cause massive and constant political instability in the EU.

Even if you assume that a resumption of conflict is inevitable, it wouldn't be the worst thing to freeze it for a few years if you're Russia. Neither the EU nor the US is likely to become much more of an effective actor in those years.

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 17 points 11 hours ago* (last edited 11 hours ago) (1 children)

The terms are very favourable for Russia though at this point in time. If anything, I don't see how Europe accepts this. Europe and Ukraine will absolutely hate this plan.

Honestly Russia not being able to take control of Ukraine in a few weeks has, paradoxically, been terrible for Europe. The United States do not see Russia as a threat conventionally. From the US perspective, Europe should be able to take care of things on it's own, as the foe is not as formidable as previously thought. So that the US can focus on China.

[–] companero@hexbear.net 21 points 10 hours ago

US bombs will hit Venezuelan soil before the ink dries. Best thing for the collective multipolarity movement is to not allow the US the privilege of Strategic Sequencing.

[–] Kieselguhr@hexbear.net 13 points 10 hours ago* (last edited 10 hours ago) (2 children)

Still smells like Minsk 3 with more tasty bait sprinkled on top to me. It technically fulfills Russia's war goals of demilitarization, denazification, protection of ethnic Russians etc, but it leaves the door wide open for a resumption of the conflict once Europe has a chance to rearm.

Okay, so what is a W for Russia? Plausibly? Where is the off-ramp?

If this is signed Zelensky will become a political pariah. So there would be a new government, definitely . Unless you think its plausible for Russia to install a puppet as Ukrainian president.

edit:

Also it's not clear to me whether this new proposal is where they start the negotiation, or was this written after backchannel negotiation

[–] darkcalling@hexbear.net 15 points 9 hours ago* (last edited 9 hours ago) (1 children)

I'll agree the plausible off-ramp is hard to see but I think at this point given the situation on the ground Russia really should demand stronger terms and bigger concessions.

So many loopholes and Russia really is facing down the fact Europe/NATO is going to go to war with it by 2030 after rebuilding their arms production capacity. This may even be part of a hail-mary push by western capital as part of a larger war with China to destroy their enemies and assure their dominance over the world for the rest of the century.

Zelensky becoming a pariah within Ukraine is not really a big victory for Russia. He's just a figurehead, not the cause, he'll be replaced by some politically convenient and relatively clean Nazi instead and Zelensky will go around the west doing speaking tours for fees of half a million dollars while promoting a ghost written book or something and buying up properties around the west to live in, speculate on, etc. Revisionism of the origins of the conflict, Nazism, human rights abuses, etc will continue at a feverish pace throughout the west and he will be very useful for stirring up hatred with lurid made up tales of Ukrainian heroism and Russian depravity.

If Ukraine launches a missile at Moscow or St. Petersburg without cause, the security guarantee will be deemed invalid.

This point in particular, the "without cause" is worrisome to me because they can just invent a cause. They can do a false flag, the same thing they've been doing for years. Russia will deny it was them, say false flag, Europe and US and western media will obediently parrot "nuh uh, was totally you" and there you go they have cause. Russia then responds, NATO says you violated it, pours across the Ukraine border, quickly starts arming up and increasing Ukraine army size while protecting Ukraine with NATO assets and saying its all for self-defense and how hostile and aggressive Russia is. Alternatively Russia sees they'll do this and does nothing and Ukraine gets to conduct a terror attack on Moscow and get off scott-free. It should be more nailed down, how not sure, the weapons inspector organizations unfortunately have been totally captured by the EU and NATO and are not impartial at all so they can't be counted on. Perhaps this is one of those cases where you can't hope for perfect but it leaves me uneasy.

All parties involved in this conflict will receive full amnesty for their actions during the war and agree not to make any claims or consider any complaints in the future.

This is also sickening because it means the Nazi war criminals in Ukraine who committed horrendous war crimes (including mass SA, torture, murder, etc) against their own people and against Russian soldiers, will walk free without punishment among society continuing to spread their ideology and perhaps commit crimes and indeed to be recruited as soldiers of fortune by the west for use in proxy conflicts, coups, etc against anti-imperialist forces around the world. Their sadism will be praised and exported.

In particular Ukraine has specialized in intelligence operation assassinations and terror attacks within Russia. This plan includes no specific proviso for preventing them from continuing to do that and then just disavowing or indeed from the west just recruiting from Ukrainian intelligence and their Nazis and running such ops themselves through a covert cover network that technically doesn't have the hands of the government.

Right now it sounds very much like a freeze with some territory concessions that on paper offers Russia its demands but doesn't create real conditions for lasting peace after the betrayals of Minsk 1-2.

Ukraine gets to keep all their fascist Nazi intelligence officers trained by the CIA and keep them at work, they get to keep all their drone operators, even those sent back to civilian work can be called up with their expertise at a moment's notice, they get to keep all the important infrastructure minus a standing force which can be spun up quickly with new bus-ification, all the important knowledge gleaned, all the expertise, all the important lessons learned.

~~CRITICALLY. It just caps their army size, it puts no limits on the technology they can possess or build for military purposes. It caps no weapons or weapons systems. They can go on and build 200,000 ATACMS equivalent missiles and cover their country in advanced missile defense systems, just so long as they keep enlisted numbers under a magic number. It doesn't stop them from forward deploying advanced interception capabilities plus offensive capabilities on the very front lines of the new borders. If I were Russia I would push HARD for at least a demilitarized buffer area within which Ukraine cannot deploy beyond certain established low numbers of offensive and defensive capabilities. Really they should push hard for a cap on certain offensive weapons such as missiles and offensive drones that Ukraine can build, buy, or possess at any one time. A real disarmament needs removal of arms entirely from the possession of Ukraine, not just taking them out of the hands of soldiers and putting them in boxes while continuing to build more and more advanced versions at a frantic pace all while saying how you're only building them to sell to NATO or for export or to defend yourself, etc.~~ (Edit: Apparently it may cap certain weaponry? Okay deal in that case though still not a great moral victory)

Russia might very well go for this. But I can say that war will likely return for them at the hands of Europe and even more likely as soon as the ink is dried Ukrainian intelligence, Ukrainian Nazi terror units, etc will be turned on and used against Venezuela, against AES in Africa, against partner nations too close to China for the US liking in Asia, Africa, etc. So while Russians might have reason to cheer, as anti-imperialists I don't think we have reason to cheer as this is just the empire regrouping on favorable terms for them. Very dangerous times ahead.

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 1 points 49 minutes ago* (last edited 42 minutes ago)

However, despite all that, overall the terms of this 28 point plan are so favourable to Russia that I'm of the opinion Russia (in particular Dmitriev) leaked this plan to Axios through the Israeli intelligence linked, and White House friendly journalist Barak Ravid, during a moment of political weakness for Trump (Epstein) and Zelenskyy (Yermak), to remind the western world of Russia's core demands and apply pressure with their preferred narrative getting out first. It also makes Witkoff look like an incompetent bafooon (which he is) for his involvement in this. I mean, point 1 is about ratifying the sovereignty of Ukraine, and the next 27 points all undermine that, which is very typical of how Russia discusses Ukraine. That's why I see very little chance of this actually working, I cannot see Ukraine or Europe accepting these terms.

[–] companero@hexbear.net 14 points 10 hours ago* (last edited 10 hours ago)

Okay, so what is a W for Russia? Plausibly? Where is the off-ramp?

It's a tough question, but certainly not the acceptance of a bad faith peace deal offered up by the US.

Even if Russia has a decisive victory on the battlefield and Ukrainian lines totally collapse, there are still many question marks about what should happen next.

[–] P1d40n3@hexbear.net 12 points 11 hours ago (2 children)

Couldn't you make that argument with any peace deal? What enforcement would you like to see?

[–] companero@hexbear.net 15 points 11 hours ago

Frankly I don't think such a negotiated compromise peace deal will work at all to permanently resolve this conflict. The US, the ultimate puppet master of Europe and Ukraine, is not operating in good faith.

[–] Formerlyfarman@hexbear.net 11 points 10 hours ago

Regime change.

[–] Kieselguhr@hexbear.net 57 points 15 hours ago (1 children)

Nicolas Guillou, French ICC judge sanctioned by the US: 'You are effectively blacklisted by much of the world's banking system'

tweet

article

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 32 points 13 hours ago (1 children)

Iirc they tried to do this with some Brazilian Supreme Court justice bc they had taken down Twitter and arrested Bolsonaro and some of his allies. The Goverment ignored the sanctions and continue to pay the justices.

[–] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 40 points 13 hours ago (2 children)

Yea, the EU could just ignore this. But they are more likely to do what they did with that German journalist, I forget his name. The EU Parliament (or EU Commission?) charged him with doing "pro Russia propaganda" and they made him an unperson. He can't open a bank account, receive money (even in paper form), he can't leave the country etc. He wasn't even charged with anything, he was just made an unperson.

[–] VILenin@hexbear.net 8 points 8 hours ago

In bad gommulism country,,,

[–] vovchik_ilich@hexbear.net 22 points 13 hours ago

I believe the journalist you refer to is Hüseyin Dogru.

[–] sisatici@hexbear.net 30 points 13 hours ago

Trump has approved Saudi Arabias weapon purchase. At least everything inside f 35 is as good as open source now.

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