this post was submitted on 20 Aug 2025
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But west IS ramping up Ukrainian drone production, it's called "Danish model" and lots of EU countries joined it (mostly those who have no aspirations in their own MIC).
It's not 1k drones a day and I doubt it ever will be. Currently they do 500 but that's not daily, that's accumulation/discharge. And Ukraine is taking down the most of them - which still means like 10-20 hit the targets per wave.
But I mean, it's not one-sided thing and stuff burns in russia too. Ukrainian long-range capabilities are better than ever. So many events that would sound groundbreaking in 2022 are just another Friday.
I'm always sceptical of EU programs. Usually they start a few years later after all the documentation is finally approved, then the licenses and planning for a year and the first products come another year after. π Didn't know if danish model, I'll look it up.
Regarding Russia, I think they could step up production. They could get to a point where they launch 1000 a day in a year or two. It's possible, they are really into this war. And there is no internal descent.
You think it's possible to do so much damage with precision strikes, to cripple Russias drone production. They have been striking oil refineries for a while now and I didn't see any credible resources about how much effect that actually had.
Seen just recently - petroleum crisis
https://t.me/ShrikeNews/24768
https://t.me/ShrikeNews/24772
Except that, every hit like that is another cut that cripples economy. The most effective action of "Just Stop Oil" campaign by so far.
I'm just not very optimistic. To many people have predicted that Russia would crumble and they did remarkably well.