doo

joined 1 year ago
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[–] doo@sh.itjust.works 2 points 2 weeks ago

I'm not saying they have easy choices. Or good choices. But they do choose. We all do. I'd even say life is all about making small, imperfect choices.

[–] doo@sh.itjust.works 20 points 2 weeks ago (3 children)

Around 100 have joined non-Russian institutes in order to continue their physics research work with Europe’s particle-physics laboratory.

Not exactly "completely out of your control", I'd say.

[–] doo@sh.itjust.works 4 points 1 month ago

In the other hand, if digging good and settling oil to India were enough, they would not need to raid their savings this hard.

So maybe it's not that critical to demotivate India from Russian oil...

[–] doo@sh.itjust.works 16 points 1 month ago

My impression is that it's exactly what Ukraine is doing by attacking oil refineries and reserves - make russia decide wether to sell or use themselves for the war.

58
sanctions work (open.substack.com)
 

2.5 years to halve the reserves, the spend cannot be linear and I also don't think they need to get to zero to have a collapse.

... The economy is being funded by the cash reserves, which increases inflation, which leads to another round of interest rate hikes to combat inflation, which makes it harder to borrow money, which is necessary for economic growth. Eventually, the cash reserves will run out. It took 2.5 years to deplete half the Russian reserves. Russia withdrew $37 billion to cover deficits in December 2022. It withdrew $20 billion to cover deficits in December 2023. It only has $54 billion left.

[–] doo@sh.itjust.works 3 points 1 month ago (1 children)

I do hope that the industry taking it will just slightly delay devaluation and boom! more inflation.

[–] doo@sh.itjust.works 3 points 1 month ago

You mean they will go for printer go brr?

Yes, please!

[–] doo@sh.itjust.works 28 points 1 month ago (7 children)

They also held 293.189 tonnes of unallocated gold, compared with 298.84 tonnes on August 1, 303.579 tonnes on July 1 and 329.795 tonnes on June 1.

So they sold almost 40 tonnes of gold in 4 months? I approve that trend.

[–] doo@sh.itjust.works 7 points 1 month ago (7 children)

It's good that they can just print more rubels to fill the gap! /S

[–] doo@sh.itjust.works 4 points 1 month ago

The facts are:

  • russia spent a lot of effort trying to ban it
  • eventually they "convinced" durov to cooperate to fight terrorism and removed the ban
  • in russia fighting terrorism is applied to anything

Yes, I don't have evidence that the messages are accessed, only that the access is given and that all of that is happening in a country with a blatant disregard to law from the government.

[–] doo@sh.itjust.works 12 points 1 month ago (4 children)

I would be surprised if it's not.

russia tried to take control over it for a while, until

On 18 June 2020, the Russian government lifted its ban on Telegram after it agreed to "help with extremism investigations". https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/telegram-russia-ban-lift-messaging-app-encryption-download-a9573181.html

Which means they have access to all messages.

[–] doo@sh.itjust.works 39 points 1 month ago (3 children)

Yes.

On 18 June 2020, the Russian government lifted its ban on Telegram after it agreed to "help with extremism investigations".

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/telegram-russia-ban-lift-messaging-app-encryption-download-a9573181.html

Which means KGB has full access to all messages.

[–] doo@sh.itjust.works 2 points 1 month ago

They didn't say which exactly human health is not threatened, so all is good and correct as I'm sure there's at least one senile psychopath who's safe from that smoke.

 

If anything, russia is showing clear signs of sunk-cost fallacy

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Escalation_of_commitment

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