sodium_nitride

joined 4 weeks ago

I'm going to be real. Arguing about a hyperbolic statement is not something I have the time or energy to do. I'll simply retract my statement and disengage. And honestly, I should also be logging off social media for a while.

The problem for Iran is that

  1. The US wants to invade them ASAP
  2. No member of the imperialist bloc will conceivably help Iran in the near future

At best, you might have a back and forth of missle exchanges between Turkey and Israel that the imperialist bloc works to de-escalate (just like it did with Iran last year)

[–] sodium_nitride@hexbear.net 11 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (2 children)

Letting the US make the first strike against the EU or Canada (by acting on their annexation fantasies) would certainly be the correct option. The Chinese strategy here is correct to try to pry the EU away from the US.

However, why would this apply to Iran? What greater level of aggression does Israel have to display before the middle eastern comprador states somehow decide to side with Iran against the west?

In fact, the comprador states going to war with Iran to defend Israel would be a catastrophic error for them on a political level. It would be the PR equivalent of the EU deciding to help Russia in their campaign against Ukraine.

Furthermore, the US is actively gearing up to go to war with Iran, which places a severe time constraint on this strategy.

That's a pretty good position ngl

[–] sodium_nitride@hexbear.net 41 points 2 days ago

Trump is not reviving economic planning or industrial policy with his tariffs. Just because the US needed to re-industrialise, and just because protectionism would have been part of any re-industrialisation policy does not mean that Trump's policy is not phenomenally short sighted.

The simple fact is that without imposition of

  1. Maximum import quotas (differentiated by good)
  2. Capital export controls
  3. A strong welfare program
  4. An expansionary fiscal budget
  5. Nationalisation of key industries

It is practically impossible for the US to re-industrialise. And each of these policies is critical because

  1. Import quotas can directly limit the quantity of goods coming in unlike tariffs which have huge distortions effects and have a difficult to predict outcome
  2. Preventing the outflow of dollars prevents people from cheating Import quotas or tariffs. Preventing the outflow of machinery allows that to be invested in your country.
  3. This is needed to create a workforce that is actually healthy and smart enough to fix the economy.
  4. This is needed to run your economy to its physical limits rather than artificially created financial ones.
  5. This is needed because re-industrialisation requires the bourgeois class yo give up on a lot of profits, so you need to take control of industries away from them.
[–] sodium_nitride@hexbear.net 25 points 2 days ago

If the US wanted to, they could go into Iranian airspace

The US should learn how to win against geurellas in the third world before trying to fight against actual militaries.

[–] sodium_nitride@hexbear.net 10 points 2 days ago

People use it to make fun of edgelords by posting them with this image. Although I've never heard anyone make fun of the image itself.

[–] sodium_nitride@hexbear.net 46 points 2 days ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (36 children)

Firstly, America is not nazi Germany 2.0, nazi Germany was America 2.0.

Secondly, Who will declare war on America?

China? They already are preparing for WW3 scenarios and Trump's statements do nothing to change the timeline of preparations

Russia? They are already at (proxy) war with the US

Iran or North korea? They have enough defensive capabilities to have a good chance of defeating a US invasion (which appears to be a matter of when not if). But no real offensive capabilities against the US (discounting US satelites).

India or NATO minus the US? Their ideological conviction would lead them to siding with American fascism rather than against it. Like, why would they invade the heartland of world-historical fascism when they themselves are fascist?

We just gonna sit around and let Nazi Germany 2.0 happen?

~~Modern america doesn't a tenth the (relative to the rest of the world) military or economic power that Nazi Germany did. And that's because~~ other countries haven't been sitting on their asses all this time. They've been struggling for decades to create the multipolar world.

[–] sodium_nitride@hexbear.net 1 points 3 days ago

call me, we can talk, I am lonely too

hyperflush

We can chat via text. I can barely handle calls with people I know.

[–] sodium_nitride@hexbear.net 2 points 4 days ago (1 children)

Sixth 5 year plan completed

illuminating inequality

vote socialist

What the hell has this fictional "CPA" been doing for 30 years if inequality still needs to be illuminated and elections need to be fought sicko-no

 

So uh, I've been girlmodding for 2 months now (or is it 3? I forget), but I've been pretty lazy about it. Haven't bought a bra (I had a sports bra, but it was so uncomfortable to wear. Now going outside is getting uncomfortable because of chaffing), Haven't gotten proper clothes, or waxxed or any of that shit.

But, that stuff can be fixed relatively easily. The big thing I need is voice training. Unfortunately, I am like the worst person in the world for keeping my focus on things (I am 90% sure i have at least mild adhd). Plus, I have no idea how to actually voice train. So my question to you all is if there is some voice training app I can download.

I need something

  1. That works on android
  2. Tells me what to do
  3. Doesn't collect my data (I am not doing the legal route of transitioning)
  4. Is preferably just an apk file I can download and run on my phone.

Now this might seem like overly specific requirements, but I figured that it's 2025, there should be something out there.

If there isn't, I would be fine with just some tips and a guide. I will make my own bash scripts to keep me on track (idk how much of a joke this is).

*I know I could probably google this stuff but I am so godawfuly lonely I am willing to talk about anything.

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submitted 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago) by sodium_nitride@hexbear.net to c/chapotraphouse@hexbear.net
 

This is a real big update to my simulation and reworks the entire logic of it. Though doing so allows me to investigate even more stuff. Check out the post on the old sim if you haven't seen it.

At this point, the sim has become so complex, I don't think I can explain it in as much depth as the previous one.

So I'll keep it simple and show you my assumptions, results, and code. There are 10 sectors in the economy this time (so the visualization has changed)

As always, "economic reproduction" is the condition where nobody in the economy gains or looses money by the end of the production period.

The code and pictures are in the comments.

Also, I'd like /u/Sebrof and /u/pancake@lemmygrad.ml to see this post.

Assumptions:

  1. There are no banks, governments, population growth or technological changes. None of these things are modeled yet since they distract from the point of the model, which is to see how labor prices and economic reproduction are related.

My next model will try to model these things to see if the relationship between labor prices and economic reproduction still holds

  1. The logic of this model is inverted to the last one. In the previous model, we started with a net output (sold to consumers) then calculated how much gross output would be needed (sold to consumers and to factories) to maintain this. This time, I randomly generate a gross output then compute a net output.

  2. I randomly generate 100,000 economies, each with its own technological level (the 10x10 A matrix), a set of prices (10x1 column vector), and employment in industries (10x1 vector). I assume everyone is employed. Also, this time, there is only 1 price vector per economy.

  3. For each economy, I randomly generate a "basket of consumption", which is the amount of products that its people will consume. I scale the basket so that it could be produced by half the labor of the economy, and keep the basket constant for all time.

  4. This time, there is foreign trade. If the economy produces more of a product than what is required for the basket, that's exports. Otherwise it imports.

  5. I simulate 100 time steps for each economy. Every time step, the sectors of the economy will update their prices and employment. There were many possible rules for choosing how these updates happened. I made it so that the sectors hire workers in proportion to how much money they have (divided by how much it costs to hire workers). Prices are scaled down as a sector grows (due to competition)

  6. Then I compute all the financial data (like revenues, wages, incomes, costs, trade imbalances, profits, etc) and plot it.

The important accounting identities are:

National income = Wages + trade balance

National income = Revenues of industry - Costs of industry (not including wages)

 

In fantasy: Whozha! I cast fireball qin-shi-huangdi-fireball

In reality: I have been tinkering with the runes (circuit symbols) in this spell (electrical circuit) for 12 hours straight with tears in my eyes and despair in my heart angry-hex

 

Here is the lemmygrad post I made it at (don't wanna have to copy everything over).

Please give the post lots of heart-sickle, the post would really appreciate it

Don't be afraid to ask questions.

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