Leegh

joined 3 years ago
[–] Leegh@hexbear.net 44 points 7 hours ago (7 children)

I’m conflicted, should I get the crabs out cause it’s the leader of the biggest pdf organization on the planet, or should I mourn cause he’s the most progressive pope we’ll probably ever get in our lifetimes?

[–] Leegh@hexbear.net 14 points 2 days ago (2 children)

One of the best things about the Trump Presidency is that less and less people are starting to take America's authority on "Human rights" not seriously anymore.

[–] Leegh@hexbear.net 39 points 4 days ago

To the chuds who constantly say why doesn't the DPRK spend its money helping their people whenever they see Western media only covering their military parades and nuclear missile tests, just show them this.

[–] Leegh@hexbear.net 27 points 5 days ago (1 children)

If (and that's a big if) I ever go to the USA I'd go for the beautiful scenic landmarks they have. Always wanted to see Yellowstone and the Grand Canyon as a kid.

Would probably skip all the stuff in the cities cause that's all commercial crap I can find anywhere else or Anglo colonial history which I don't care about.

[–] Leegh@hexbear.net 43 points 6 days ago

Fedposting is cancelled today

[–] Leegh@hexbear.net 19 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

My theory: tech CEOs threatened Trump to back off the tariffs and he initially caved in, BUT, then made a counter demand that tech CEOs bring all manufacturing back to America to which they immediately said bugs-no so now Trump is threatening to bring tariffs back.

There's probably a fuck load of infighting going on in the administration too, and ofc Trump's insider trading buddies who want this flip flopping to continue so they can keep doing market manipulation.

Truly America's Gorbachev era.

[–] Leegh@hexbear.net 50 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Tim Cook was not gonna let Trump cook his shiny fruit products

[–] Leegh@hexbear.net 2 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

There are a couple of key differences between Taiwan and Ukraine which may not allow them to pan out the same way in a potential war scenario.

The first is geography: Taiwan is a tiny island that has to rely wholly on ship and air transport to bring goods into the country, including military hardware. A Chinese blockade on the island would absolutely cripple their economy and fighting capacity, and would make a war of attrition very easy to win. Only a US intervention through sea and air supremacy could break this (something China is aware of and has been developing their missile tech for this reason).

On the other hand, Russia’s war of attrition dragging out for so long and Ukraine still not folding is due to Ukraine sharing a massive land border with the rest of Europe and can still easily receive military hardware and economic aid through land trade. Russia also cannot completely blockade the country due to NATO encirclement, which is why choosing to not rapidly take over the country but instead just park their troops outside Kyiv back in 2022 to pressure the government was a massive strategic mistake.

The second difference is the politics itself: Taiwanese politics is not the typical left-right continuum and is more about Reunification vs Independence. This is represented by the KMT-led pan-blue coalition, and the DPP-led Pan-green coalition. While the Pro-independence DPP is currently in power (largely due to public perceptions of KMT corruption and being more socially conservative), the idea of independence is still not popular in Taiwan based on 2024 census. Most Taiwanese are just waiting out to see how the US-China Cold War plays out while still officially being the Republic of China.

Furthermore, a Chinese invasion would likely greatly embolden the KMT and push the public towards them (they could say something like “see? This is what you get for allowing the DPP separatists to move away from Chinese reunification, we will end this war by offering a quick peace with the PRC”). It also doesn’t help that America already signalled that they are more than willing to throw Taiwan under the bus if China forces their hand by bombing their semiconductor facilities. They didn’t do the same for Ukraine (at least until this year) because muh White Western civilization being attacked by evil eastern hordes.

Finally, Zelenskyy was able to stay in power by suspending elections and banning all opposition parties that challenged his pro-war/ pro-west narrative. The DPP is in no position to do that given much of the military is still loyal to the KMT thanks to the Chiang Kai-Shek military dictatorship-era, and trying to ban the KMT (which has a different foreign policy to the DPP) would very likely cause the KMT to seize power and declare marshal law with the backing of the military instead.

[–] Leegh@hexbear.net 29 points 1 week ago (2 children)

What's the point of continually raising tariffs with China when the US can still get Chinese goods from intermediary countries like Vietnam?

Didn't the White House just LAST WEEK refuse to do any trade deals with Vietnam for this exact reason??

And even if this reduces the US trade deficit somehow (it won't because of China's counter tariffs), Trump just paused all other tariffs which signals to the US market to just keep doing what it's always been doing!

WTF is this administration doing???

[–] Leegh@hexbear.net 6 points 1 week ago

Give it a week, they'll negotiate a de-escalation or pause on their tariffs too once Trump figures out how much they still need China (yes I'm quietly seething here).

[–] Leegh@hexbear.net 1 points 1 week ago

According to The Guardian live feed the (now 125%) tariffs will not be paused on China.

 
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