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The Israeli military think tank 'Alma' has released an infographic, claiming that Iran has successfully established new supply lines to Hezbollah. According to the think tank, which is funded by the Israeli military, Iran has found alternative routes to supply Hezbollah, including through indirect flights via Turkey, smuggling via sea, and smuggling via land.

The think tank asserts that Iran ships weapons to Sudan, smuggling them through the country and then into Libya, and from there into the Mediterranean Sea – where Hezbollah picks up the weapons caches that are 'dropped at sea'. Alma also alleges that Iran still directly supplies Hezbollah with weapons using cargo flights via Turkey and Iraq, transporting individual parts that can be used to produce the weapons, rather than delivering entire weapons, as this would not pass Lebanese inspection.

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Hee hee

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-10/china-makes-big-brazilian-soy-purchase-as-us-trade-war-worsens

https://www.reuters.com/world/xi-lula-step-up-meetings-firming-china-brazil-ties-with-eyes-trump-2025-04-11/

Wisconsin teen killed parents as part of Trump assassination plot - apnews link as well.

A newly unsealed search warrant also alleges that the suspect's phone contained material relating to a neo-Nazi group called the Order of Nine Angles and praise for Adolf Hitler.

The alleged double murder "appeared to be an effort to obtain the financial means and autonomy necessary to carrying out his plan", investigators wrote.

The trump would-be-assassins are getting crazier every time

Dumb article written by some 84 year old USian immigrant in Canada about how conscription should be brought back to Canada:
https://thetyee.ca/Opinion/2025/04/11/My-Case-Conscription-Canada/

Pavel Palisa a top ukrainian official wants women conscripted into army. "No matter how wild it sounds now, maybe we need to learn the experience of Israel in this" https://zamin.uz/en/world/147845-ukraine-may-introduce-mandatory-military-service-for-women.html

https://www.businessinsider.com/us-military-planes-flew-entire-patriot-battalion-pacific-middle-east-2025-4

The US transferred an entire Patriot SAM battalion (24-36 launchers) from INDOPACOM (near China) to CENTCOM (Middle East).

I know this is to protect against retaliation if they strike Iran, but coupled with other events it kinda feels like they are also encouraging China to move on Taiwan.

Do you think this shitshow will force the CCP to take aore overtly ideological stance as to push more for a is vs them narrative?

Thinking back to a phone call he held with Erdogan after Ahmad Al-Shaara-led jihadists took over Damascus in December, Trump said: “[…] I believe that it was Turkey [that brought down the Syrian regime]. And, I said that to him [Erdogan]. I said it. I said ‘Congratulations, you've done what nobody's been able to do in 2,000 years. You've taken over Syria’.”

“With different names, but same thing. I said ‘You've taken it over’. He's taken it over through surrogates,” the POTUS added.

“He goes ‘No, no, noo. No, no, noo. It was not meee’,” Trump mimicked Erdogan’s reply on the phone.

“I said ‘It was youu. But, that’s okay. You don’t have to say,” Trump recapped.

“‘Weeell, a sort of, maybe it was me, okay’”.

https://intellinews.com/istanbul-blog-episode-12-in-which-trump-tells-bibi-he-can-leave-turkey-to-him-375561

Lunch time in New York and the S&P 500 has already lost about half its gains from yesterday.

I wonder if the tariffs on china will cause the Cuban economy to boom. If Chinese ships have no incentive to dock in US ports for 6 months after trading with Cuba, the blockade is completely bypassed

There's bull market, bear market, and kangaroo market.

This bullshit is earthquake market lmao.

Let the markets burn, and the US Empire squirm as it dies.

Looks like Hex-Atlas (Red-Atlas now?) is getting DeepSeek integrations! Very cool, that will flesh out the non-Western content a lot, I imagine.

That said, when I visited last night it felt like it was under maintenance.

US airstrikes continue on Yemen for the 28th night in a row, multiple airstrikes on Hodeidah Governorate.

Renewed airstrikes in Sana'a and Hodeidah Governorates.

More airstrikes in Sana'a Governorate targeting mountains and valleys.

Other reliable opposition sources are reporting airstrikes in Ma'rib Governorate, along with videos in Sana'a with the distinct sound of jet engines in the background. Air defences over Sana'a have been suppressed for almost a week now with MQ-9s flying low on video, the MQ-9 that was shot down recently was shot down over Al Jawf.

Warning for potential graphic imagery of casualties during ongoing airstrikes:

Al Masirah TV twitter

Xcancel mirror

Statement from the Yemeni Armed Forces earlier today, targeting the Harry Truman and US warships in the area with cruise missiles and drones. There is another statement coming in 20 minutes time, at 19:50 UTC. The second statement is about launching two long range Yaffa/Sammad-3 drones at Israel. One of these drones fell short in Jordan. Another one was reportedly intercepted over the Dead Sea/al-Bahr al-Mayt. ~~Awaiting translation.~~

Have German Liberals taken ANY meaningful steps against the rise of the AFD or are they still doing the "Trust the Process" bs?

After a few good days for "Nothing ever happens" gang, the we're so fucked caucus rises;

*SEMICONDUCTOR, ELECTRONIC TARIFFS WILL COME IN A MONTH OR SO, LUTNICK SAYS

*PHARMACEUTICAL TARIFFS ALSO COMING IN NEXT MONTH OR TWO -LUTNICK

China has officially halted shipments of several rare earth minerals to the US.

Some good news;

TRUMP TARIFF DRAMA DEEPENS AS MUSK PUBLICLY CLASHES WITH ADVISERS, DEFIES CABINET PROTOCOL – POLITICO

Idk what to think but there are some utterly apocalyptic ideas floating from and around the administration and the surrounding hack economist and advisor sphere and they even get credible coverage and op-eds in mainstream financial publications and media in the last weeks. Especialy if things detariorate debt parameter wise , there is a Fed-administration crisis and/or the less insane Miran/Bessent plans A/B dont work or even have time to work. Stuff like the administration trying to unilateraly turn all US government bonds into 100 year bonds or taxing capital flows/capital controls. Can they be that suicidal towards the dollar hegemony?

And after all this the bond market is still doing its thing. 10 year yields up again and over 4.3%. Really started to set in on what trade war with China actualy means and the countries/investors remain shaky on if us dept is worth it. Maybe Trump did actualy break something

For the first time in 27 nights, it seems as if there will be no US air or missile strikes on Yemen. Hopefully this holds, and would be very good news for tonight.

Update: it did not hold, US airstrikes against Yemen continue.

This comes as the USS Carl Vinson Aircraft Carrier and it's Strike Group has entered the area of operations in the Middle East/South West Asia today. The Carl Vinson carries F-35C 5th generation carrier launched stealth fighter jets, in addition to it's F/A-18E/F strike fighters and EA-18G Growler Electronic Warfare (EW) and Suppression of Enemy Air Defense (SEAD) aircraft. This aircraft carrier will likely operate closer to the Persian Gulf, to the east of Yemen. The F-35Cs are a new capabilitiy that the USS Harry Truman does not have or possess.

In addition to this, a squadron of USAF F-15E strike fighters (along with mid air refueling aircraft) have made the trip to Jordan from the UK, to join the F-35As and A-10Cs already there. There are also F-35As in Saudi Arabia, and 6 B-2 Spirit stealth bombers in Diego Garcia. As well as the additional Patriot and THAAD air defence system battalions and batteries that have been transported to the region over the past week. There could also be assets we don't even know about in the region of course, but I won't speculate on that.

In his latest one hour televised speech, Abdulmalik Al-Houthi (the leader of the Ansar Allah/Houthi movement) mentioned the United States 69 times (and before I get trolled, no I'm not joking, that's the actual number). The speech was defiant and mocking of the United States, as expected, but a clear departure to a more aggressive rhetoric and tone, from what I can tell from translations. So the conflict is heating up, despite today's pause. Will a new Ansar Allah air defence system, missile or drone be revealed, as rumoured? No statements from the Yemeni Armed Forces as of yet on this, or the reported failed ballistic missile launches or weapons tests over the past few days (with the wreckage of one on video).

And obviously there's Iran. Can a US and Israeli war with Iran even be avoided at this point, and if so, what does that mean for Iran and Yemen? The negotiations in Oman this Saturday don't look highly promising. Negotiating under the current cold war conditions is almost impossible unless Iran is expected to capitulate on key issues like uranium enrichment levels and nuclear weapons, and potentially the disarmament of Hezbollah and the popular mobilisation forces in Iraq.

Indirect US-Iran negotiations have started in Oman. President Trump is willing to make concessions in order to reach a deal with Iran, per U.S. Officials

Iranian Foreign Minister, Abbas Araqchi, will ONLY discuss the issue of nuclear proliferation – not the ballistic missile program or Iran's support for regional groups. These two additional demands are a no-go for Iran, and the Supreme Leader has not authorized the Foreign Ministry to even discuss them. If the Americans push on either of these two topics, the negotiations are over.

Iranian media report that the first signs of the negotiations in Oman are 'positive'

The indirect talks between Iran and the United States in Oman will 'conclude today' and not extend into tomorrow, and there is currently no truth to a direct meeting between Witkoff and Araqchi

Immediately following the first round of negotiations in Oman, the Iranian Rial rose sharply against the US Dollar, going from 97,000 USD per Toman to 92,900 USD per Toman

'The indirect talks in Oman were constructive and held in a generally positive atmosphere, and they lasted approximately 2.5 hours. U.S. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Seyyed Abbas Araqchi talked briefly face-to-face in the presence of the Omani Foreign Minister after the end of the first round of negotiations. The talks will continue, and the exact timing and date will be announced in the near future.

We will not allow any country, including the United States, to go too far and impose unrealistic demands upon us. The Qajar and Pahlavi eras are over, and this is the era of the great Islamic Iran, which holds its head high.'

Iranian Foreign Minister, Abbas Araqchi: 'While leaving the negotiations room, we encountered the U.S. Envoy, Steve Witkoff, and exchanged greetings out of courtesy, as is customary in diplomacy. Nothing content-related was said.'

'Today we have come close to a 'basis' on which negotiations can be held – Saturday we will continue, and start the negotiation process, including the timetable'

'The discussions took place in a calm and polite atmosphere, and the American side did not issue any threats'

'Both sides want a deal in the short-term, and not fruitless negotiations that drag on for months or years, but this won't be easy

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Ecuador Election Update BREAKING: “We don’t recognize the results,” says Revolución Ciudadana candidate.

• Kawsachuan News

Helicopter crashes in Hudson River in New York City, all 6 on board killed

The helicopter was carrying a pilot, two adults and three children, according to law enforcement sources. The family members were tourists from Spain, sources said.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-11/dollar-emerges-as-latest-victim-of-this-week-s-markets-mayhem

Dollar Emerges as Latest Victim of This Week’s Markets Mayhem

I wouldn't call it a victim especially since its self-inflicted.

Lmao, apparently Trump is now calling the tariff exemption "fake news." Here's the content of his Truth Social post, which is apparently now how trade policy is being "clarified."

Monday is going to be wild.

10Y and 30Y treasury yields are spiking again. If this continues, US interest rates are going up, not down. Fed might need to cut just to stay even.

this anti drone system china is developing is interesting https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3306199/chinese-weapons-giant-develops-anti-drone-barrage-system-counter-wartime-swarm-tactics

The US Supreme Court upheld (without dissent) (most of) the lower court's order that government has to try to get the "accidentally" imprisoned Maryland guy released from the Salvadoran prison.

No real hope that this will have any material affect for the dude, ~~but I think this is the first supreme court appeal from this administration that hasn't immediately succeeded.~~(I was wrong, they overturned the foreign aid freeze in March)

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/speaker-mike-johnson-gop-budget-vote-trump-agenda-rcna200578?link_source=ta_bluesky_link&taid=67f7e1c2cbaffa0001e87634 216-214. One Democratic absence (Norcross) and two Dem vacancies due to deaths (Turner and Grijalva) proved decisive on a budget that unlocks the door for Republicans to make trillions in tax/spending changes.

China can just seize the Tesla Factories to get rid of Tariffs.

The Pennsylvania governor's house got set on fire last night, no injuries.
https://www.cnn.com/2025/04/13/us/pennsylvania-governor-josh-shapiro-arson/index.html