this post was submitted on 25 Sep 2025
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Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.

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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world.  About 1C of total warming.  Second chart:  about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability.  Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases.  About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

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[–] jj4211@lemmy.world 3 points 3 days ago (1 children)

Probably because while change over time is important, it's a trickier metric to cross compare.

For example, at the beginning of the century, their per capita emissions were low and also, nearly half of the population was in extreme poverty. So while we can balk at the tripling, it seems unfair since the competition was already high and mostly due to people living it up.

To say China is doing worse than the US because they went up while the US went down, well the per capita for US is still 50% higher than China in absolute terms. Now the UK can claim that in absolute and relative terms they are doing better.

Though even then you have some hiccups. UK emissions per capita are down and are really low compared to China numbers, fantastic. How much, however, is due to outsourcing the ecologically inconvenient manufacturing to nations like China? If the contribution of imports added to things, how does the picture shift?

On the flip side, the focus on per-capita in the name of fairness also unreasonably gives a pass to huge polluters in China. If a heavily polluting endeavor sets up shop in china, no big deal, they get to just divide their impact by 1.4 billion to not seem so bad, even if the portion of population pertinent to their stuff rounds to zero. So I wonder how much of that ecology impact is actually concentrated among a lot less rosy small population rather than just the consequence of improved quality of life for an average person in the nation.

[–] egrets@lemmy.world 1 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (1 children)

Solid response, thanks. FWIW, I wasn't trying to suggest that the US is doing well in this regard, just that someone could read the headline and assume that China could reasonably be considered a green country (so to speak).

Regarding the UK, it's certainly true that domestic manufacture has nearly vanished in the last 50 years, so while a reduced dependency on coal, stricter rules on vehicles, and other similar factors are probably important, I agree that they're also likely not the only type of change that affects this – and if so, that really represents the carbon pollution moving elsewhere, as you've mentioned.

[–] jj4211@lemmy.world 3 points 3 days ago

Yeah, it's just all a big complicated mess when trying to play a lot of comparative games. You can make China look great or look bad and each angle has a fair point to be made. So folks end up highlighting their point and get reasonable agreement and offense all at the same time...