this post was submitted on 23 Sep 2025
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It is a general rule of thumb in warfare that to engage in an offensive that gains ground, you should outnumber your enemy by at least 3:1.
In practice, this means that the level of force needed to mount a viable attack is nearly 10 times as large as the level of force needed to mount a viable defense.
Ukraine has repeatedly demonstrated that it does not have a sufficient force to mount a viable defense.
not to suggest that Ukraine is in any position to pull off a large scale offensive at this point but this is not true at all