this post was submitted on 20 Aug 2025
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Oh absolutely, do another year or two. Russia has used pretty much everything in the tank at this point. Once they are defeated militarily, they will never come back for more.
As counterintuitive as it seems, it will save lives in the end. Russia won't stop until they are beaten so badly that they can't get back up. Imagine if Germany had been stopped at the Sudetenland because all of Europe and the US came in and fought for Czechia. No WWII.
It would actually be an affront to everyone who gave their lives defending Ukraine just to capitulate right when they are on the verge of turning the tides.
I'm genuinely curious if you have sources to back this, because I want it to be true, but I also feel like I've been hearing it for two years. Makes me feel bleak about the truth of the statement. I would love to see a light at the end of the tunnel, if you have one.
Russia had large reserves of money at the start of the war which allowed them to ride out the initial sanctions. They also massively pivoted their econony to produce military equipment because of the amount of equipment they were losing. Neither of those are sustainable for long and the only cards they have left are (greatly discounted) oil sales to China and India, and conscription (which would be incredibly unpopular) which is why they have been using North Korean soldiers.
All of this is like a hole in Russia's fuel tank, which would be ok if they could finish the war quickly, but their advance has been so slow that the frontlines are mere kilometers from where they were two years ago and if this doesn't change they will run out of steam and be unable to continue.
It won't surprise me when the Russian line collapses or Putin is suddenly dead. When, not if.