this post was submitted on 18 Aug 2025
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I think the comparison is apt, it's not that LLM is useless, it's just that, currently, it's insanely overhyped. Just like the .com had irrational companies that evaporated but underlying tech was useful. Just like in-house servers were considered to be dead with everything being cloud hosted, now there's recognition of a trade off. Just like there was pressure to ship everything as an '.ova' and nowadays that's not really done as much.
An appropriately used level of LLM might even be nice, but when it's fuel for the grifters, it is going to be obnoxious.
LLMs may be overhyped, but the point is virtualization was not.
Virtualization as a 'platform' was a bit overhyped, hence my '.ova' comment. There was a push for a lot of applications to exclusively ship as a whole virtual machine, to create OS variants dedicated to the purpose of running single applications. For a lot of applications it was supremely awkward, because app developers ended up having to 'own' things they didn't want to own, like the customer network configuration.
Virtualization as a utility has of course persisted, but it's much more rare for a vendor to declare their 'runtime' to be vmware than it once was. Virtualization existed in IBM for a long time, vmware made it broadly more available and flexible in the PC space, and then around mind 2000s things started to go a bit crazy with 'virtualization is the runtime'.
Now mind you, compared to dot-com or 'big data' it was trivial, but it was all a bit silly for a time there.