this post was submitted on 16 Jul 2025
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This Russia can't defeat Ukraine because of all of the assistance that Ukraine has been receiving from the US in particular, but other NATO and EU countries in general. If we truly ceased all military aid, and the EU countries didn't pick up the slack, yeah, Russia would eventually roll over Ukraine. TBH, as far as the US is concerned, we've managed to bleed an enormous adversary almost dry, all without any American soldiers every being shot at (well, except for the people that had the guts and convictions to go to Ukraine and volunteer; I wish I didn't have responsibilities...).
Without aid, the war would have been over in a year; Ukraine has the will, but they didn't have the tanks, the anti-air defense systems, and so on. And on the other side of that, if the US had given them everything that they wanted up front, instead of slow-rolling 'offensive' weapons systems, Ukraine could have wrecked Russia in a year.