this post was submitted on 09 Jun 2025
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Image is Israeli interceptors trying and failing to intercept missiles over their cities.


Israel just carried out a widespread bombing of Iran, which has killed a number of senior officials inside Iran (though it seems the leadership is more-or-less intact) as well as a number of civilians. Important facilities have been targeted, but the amount of damage is unknown so far (note that many important Iranian facilities are deep underground, making them both hard to damage but also hard to determine if they are damaged from just satellite imagery, so reports of damage will be he-said-she-said).

It appears the attack took Iran by surprise, given that a residential block was targeted that contained some senior officials - if one saw an attack coming, one would imagine they'd be in bunkers. Nonetheless, like the rest of the Resistance Axis, I suspect that Iran has adapted their military structures to be resistant to decapitation strikes by ensuring that replacement figures are ready to take the place of killed officials.

Iran has delivered a massive missile barrage in response to Israeli aggression, even though Israel is continuing to bomb Iran. Iran is now aware of the location of many important Israeli sites, including secret nuclear sites, due to their recent intelligence haul, giving them a distinct edge.


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Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
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Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 56 points 3 days ago (4 children)

The collapse of the modern air defense system topwar.ru

It turned out that it is possible to deliver carriers point-blank. And there is nothing complicated about it, although many on our side allowed themselves to squeal about the fact that the special services do not catch flies, but all this is completely pointless: blocking roads in such a huge country as Russia or the USA is simply unrealistic. A country where tens of thousands of trucks and wagons go out on the roads every day will never be able to organize total control.

Or as it was in the Irkutsk region. After "Web" there was a lot of noise there too, they started stopping and checking all the trucks, and so what? And, naturally, except for kilometer-long traffic jams - nothing. In three days, all the special services, who were on edge, were exhausted, and in a week it would have been possible to send the next batch of trucks.

Only a very small country can afford total control over transport. So one can dream of an "iron curtain", but dreams are not obliged to come true.

Now let's talk about air defense. More precisely, about the collapse of the entire existing air defense system.

The strategic bombers targeted by Ukraine were protected by defense systems designed to detect and intercept traditional aerial threats. These systems were helpless against swarms of small quadcopters flying at low altitude and launched from hidden positions just a few kilometers from their targets.

Drone operators controlled the drones in real time, directing their weapon on aircraft, and, it is worth noting, they achieved some success. Their work showed the vulnerability of Russian aircraft, regardless of where they were located. But today we are not talking only about Russia.

Hamilton believes (and it's hard to disagree) that this vulnerability extends far beyond Russia. American military installations, from Ramstein Air Base in Germany to Pearl Harbor in Hawaii, are equally vulnerable. And what about those important installations located on U.S. soil?

Unfortunately, modern radar systems have a hard time distinguishing small drones from birds or atmospheric interference. America's multimillion-dollar missile defense systems, designed to intercept intercontinental ballistic missiles and cruise missiles, provide no protection against a $600 quadcopter carrying explosives. It's a paradox, but it's true. Goliath has found another David.

The implications for American security are sobering. More than 350 drone incursions were recorded over U.S. military bases in 2024, and it is not certain that all of them were for entertainment. Events in Russia demonstrate the catastrophic potential of what we might call simple surveillance or amateur curiosity.

The United States has more than 220 operational bases scattered around the world.

From facilities in Africa and the Middle East to major command centers in allied countries, American forces operate from facilities designed for previous generations of military hardware. American aircraft, by the way, like Russian ones, sit on runways protected only by fencing and guards trained to repel attacks by humans, not swarms of drones launched from hidden positions at short range.

The first sign of this was the attack on Tower 22 in Jordan in 2024, which killed three American soldiers. An Iraqi drone shadowed a US aircraft as it prepared to land, then struck the base. That attack involved a single drone targeting a remote outpost. Operation Spider’s Web demonstrated the potential for coordinated drone swarms to attack multiple high-value targets simultaneously.

China is aware of these vulnerabilities and is taking action. Beijing protects its aircraft with more than 3000 hardened shelters, recognizing that the era of unprotected military installations is over.

Maybe all the “drone sightings” across the US last year that made a lot of fanfare was a test run for Spider Web?

[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 34 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

This is very true, and the US and Chinese solution is to forward deploy strategic assets on remote islands to close off the quadcopter drone attack vector. Diego Garcia, Woody Island, etc.

With regards to the current conflict in Iran, it's undeniable that there's been Mossad assets launching quadcopter drones. However, a lot of people are confusing footage from man in the loop/TV guided cruise missiles and glide bombs launched from Israeli aircraft, with quadcopter drone footage.

[–] OnceUponATimeInWeHo@hexbear.net 24 points 3 days ago (1 children)

Hope yall got a lot of marksmen

[–] la_tasalana_intissari_mata@hexbear.net 9 points 3 days ago (1 children)

I think the world finally has a reasonto make a fully automatic shotgun gattling gun

That's just a flak cannon

[–] CoolerOpposide@hexbear.net 23 points 3 days ago

Flak is so back baby

[–] iie@hexbear.net 16 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (1 children)

Events in Russia demonstrate the catastrophic potential of what we might call simple surveillance or amateur curiosity.

What happened? I'm out of the loop

*This? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Spider%27s_Web

[–] john_brown@hexbear.net 21 points 3 days ago (1 children)

Done attacks deep inside Russia on strategic nuclear bombers launched from secret compartments in trucks

[–] iie@hexbear.net 11 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (1 children)

Why? Was Russia using long-range planes against Ukraine? Or was this just a "we're still capable of fighting, please keep sending us aid" thing?

*or maybe a negotiating tactic? Proving they can hurt Russia in a way that's hard to prevent?

[–] john_brown@hexbear.net 12 points 3 days ago (1 children)

Russia has been using the tupolevs to launch missiles from Russian airspace, but they didn't damage enough of them to put a slowdown on that. Imo this is a CIA/mi6 plot to damage in any way Russia's nuclear triad

[–] iie@hexbear.net 9 points 3 days ago (2 children)

you think maybe it's related to the Israel-Iran situation?

[–] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 16 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

At the very least it is keeping Russia’s air defense assets fully occupied, and that it will be very difficult for Russia to supply Iran with air defense capabilities.

Before that, Ukraine mostly launches drones from within the Ukrainian borders. Around October 2023, they have increasingly launched their drones from the Baltic borders and stretches the air defense placements required to cover the vast stretch of possible incursion points. Now it’s coming from inside the Russian borders, and there is very little Russia can do except to maximize the utilization of whatever assets it has to stand on high alert.

This is where Ukraine is still “useful” for the Western imperialist regimes. They don’t care about Ukraine winning or losing, but sapping Russia of their military armaments and preventing their supplying of neighboring countries is still a strategic objective for them to achieve their goals in the Middle East. I don’t believe that the Spider Web attack a couple weeks prior to the Israeli-Iran war was just a coincidence.

Iran needs advanced anti-air capabilities to deny Israeli air superiority, and we are no longer talking about one or two S-400 batteries which can be taken out with coordinated strikes. It needs an entire networked air defense system to repel Israeli air sorties. @MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net can maybe expand upon this.

[–] john_brown@hexbear.net 11 points 3 days ago

No, I'm pretty sure that attack was about trying to weaken Russia, no connection to Iran or Israel