this post was submitted on 04 Apr 2025
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chapotraphouse
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Nah, you can't time the market. If you can afford to ride it out, try it. It might be a rough several years.
If you pull out now, and Trump reverses everything and the market rallies, you'll miss the train.
If the stock market completely collapses, the value of the dollar will too.
That said, you could pull all your investments and buy guns and ammo instead.
Note: pay zero attention to me I have never made a successful stock gamble, despite attempts.
Something that I feel isn't broadcast enough, is that every market transaction inevitably has a winner and loser. Small investors are inherently more likely to lose since we can't shape the market or control the media. The stock market functionally acts as a siphon to move money from the workers to the capitalist class--the more you play, the more opportunities to lose you're providing yourself.
Exactly. For middle class folks who still have to rely on the stock market for retirement, the best option is to just buy dumb index funds and hold them til retirement. You aren't going to be able to outsmart and out time the actual Wall Street traders who have PhDs in mathematics, access to microsecond trading, and a trading bankroll of billions. If you need to rely on the market, buy and hold is the only sane strategy. At least then you minimize the number of trades you make and the chances for the snakes to screw you over.