this post was submitted on 01 Mar 2025
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One can only hope that without the US, Ukraine can still hold out long enough for Russia to implode. One must unfortunately further hope that the US doesn't start helping Russia e.g by undoing sanctions or even sending over money and troops.
The statue of thoughts and prayers.
Just a reminder that if you're conscripted to fight on behalf of whatever stupid war the US is going to be initiating, sabotaging your troop transport on the way over is potentially a moral decision.
Trump wasn't joking about gambling with ww3 unfortunately. He indeed has the cards but is stupid enough to play it wrong.
He inherited a straight flush but threw it all away to play an 8 high card hand.
It's already started. Trump is emboldening Putin with his attempt at brokering a peace deal and making concessions from the start without involving Ukraine. His threats to encourage Russia to attack NATO countries.
He's doing Putin's political dirty work.
The US could likely have a second civil war because of Trump aligning with Putin.
The sad part is knowing millions of American troglodytes would love to die on behalf of Putin and Trump.
They're so weird
And good riddance to that lot.
Through the whole of 2024 the Russia was advancing faster than anyone expected.
During that year, they managed to occupy 0.7 % of Ukraine's territory. Which basically rounds to zero.
the Russia now works mainly without military vehicles. Even if there was a complete collapse of the Ukrainian front, the Russia would be less able to exploit it than they were able to advance in northern parts of Ukraine in spring 2022. I'd say that the best the Russia can do is to advance about ten times as much as in 2024. That is, they could maybe occupy another 7% of Ukraine's territory. USA can of course try helping by lifting the sanctions, but EU won't coΓΆperate with that.
If USA blocks Ukraine from getting air defence missiles, the Ukrainian electricity distribution will be in deep trouble. Not the end of the world right now, when it's already spring in Ukraine, but the next winter might get seriously bad even if the Russia has already lost by that point.
If the EU stays supporting Ukraine, it won't lose before the Russia does. But it might be in for its most painful year in this war π’
ππ ΠΡΠΊΡΡ, Π£ΠΊΡΠ°ΡΠ½ΠΎ! ππ
If we exclude number of nukes, because if they become the main factor of a war everyone loses, Europe (EU+UK) has more active military... everything... than Russia and China. In most metrics Europe surpasses the US, and if we include Ukraine then it surpasses the US in everything except spending.
The only thing holding Europe back is Europe. If our politicians get their shit together and put their national egos aside for a bit, then the only thing we need from the US is for them to get the fuck out of Europe.
What would happen if Europe joins the war though? Who would join Russia? China? India?
North Korea is already involved but for some reason that didn't get Europe involved and there must be a reason why.