this post was submitted on 09 Jan 2025
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chapotraphouse
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Polling doesn't matter when you have such a large majority. Labour could lose a Theresa May level of seats every year through by-elections and still not have to call an election until 2029.
Without Brexit as a dividing issue or an organisation like the ERG, we're not going to see a mirror of the Tory's leadership contests, and the mechanism for changing party leader is completely different as well.
A lot can happen in five years, but I'll buy a hat and subsequently eat it if Kier isn't PM in 2029.