no, I really do not. his polling is so far in the negatives; but more importantly, the labour right are a bunch of back stabbing freaks who have many times in the history of the party absolutely eaten one another alive, and will do so again. remember, britain is not a presidential republic, all you need to be PM is leader of the largest party; you can absolutely launch a coup from whin your own party and assume PMship without an election of any kind, the tories did this so many times in the past few years. so no, I do not see Starmer as PM in August 2029 come the next GE

[–] Saeculum@hexbear.net 3 points 20 hours ago

Polling doesn't matter when you have such a large majority. Labour could lose a Theresa May level of seats every year through by-elections and still not have to call an election until 2029.

Without Brexit as a dividing issue or an organisation like the ERG, we're not going to see a mirror of the Tory's leadership contests, and the mechanism for changing party leader is completely different as well.

A lot can happen in five years, but I'll buy a hat and subsequently eat it if Kier isn't PM in 2029.

[–] O__O@hexbear.net 9 points 1 day ago

It’ll be streeting next, and the public hate him even more than starmer.