this post was submitted on 01 Nov 2024
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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world.  About 1C of total warming.  Second chart:  about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability.  Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases.  About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

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Here's the problem: Trump is out to maximize environmental damage and the US Green Party runs as spoilers. Let's look at three scenarios:

Scenario 1:

Harris: 1001 votes

Trump: 1000 votes

Stein: 0 votes

Harris wins


Scenario 2:

Harris: 1000 votes

Trump: 1000 votes

Stein: 1 vote

Tied vote, which goes to the courts and Congress, putting Trump in power


Scenario 3:

Harris: 999 votes

Trump: 1000 votes

Stein: 2 votes

Trump wins outright


This spoiler effect makes it really imperative to actively vote for Harris if you want to see any kind of climate action going forward. Republicans know this, which is why they're the ones funding the Green Party.

And that's why the European Greens want Jill Stein to step down now — they get that what she's doing is making it easier to elect a fascist bent on environmental destruction.

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[–] kalkulat@lemmy.world 0 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)

That's good to hear.

Here in the US, I haven't seen a sign or heard a word from or about Stein this year. None. Also true in previous years. How's a GP going to get grown if it doesn't get a voice in and on the news? If the crazy right wasn't enough, I also notice that the Dems spent some time and money trying to put her down.

Looking at the GP platform, it seems solid. But, in the US, my position has NO representation in the US. If there is a GP in the US, it's been very muted. Stein is just a stale placeholder with no voice. That's not leadership. Every election for DECADES I've heard, "oh, not this time. We have to win it back" or "we have to hold on to it". OK, so when should we vote GP then? Screw that argument. We need another party, and there's only one way to get there. And that's quality, visable, vocal, energetic, leadership.

I looked at Canada's GP yesterday. They at least have -some- kind of org. in most provinces. IIUC, the GP has two seats in their congress. They got a million votes in 2019. That's better than nothing.

[–] Gradually_Adjusting@lemmy.world 3 points 3 weeks ago

I am delighted to vote green in local elections. They currently have no political machine, no elections ground game, no seats in the other branches of government... Say Stein somehow broke reality in six ways and got enough electoral college votes to win? Her and what cabinet? She'd still be at the mercy of the entire US government, who would bully her into status quo politics or worse, most likely.

Vote your conscience locally. You don't walk up to a six hour old game of Monopoly with empty hands and big demands unless you're trolling or trying to change the game, and Stein is no revolutionary.