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If trump internal polling showed the same lead, there's no way he would show up to try to eat away a slice of the libertarians puny 2-3% of the vote.
I think the numbers look way worse for Trump than national pollsters show and I think their polling indicates Trump loses in a landslide if he's convicted in any of his cases.
That it should require a conviction is still batshit insane. That's still way too damning of a good portion of the American public.
TBF, A or B Polling won't show any votes for C, but with how third party is more popular than in the past for both major parties this year in the wake of the Gaza Genocide it could negatively impact either candidate. That doesn't mean the polling is meaningless.
Trump is polling with a lead even as closing arguments are heard in his hush money trial today, and he has suspended his ~~insurrection~~ classified documents criminal trial indefinitely with help from a Judge Cannon that he appointed during his term.
We don't have to like it but we have to accept the facts here, Trump is popular and that threatens the future of US Democracy and NATO.
EDIT: His insurrection trials are held up over some other BS.
Slight correction: the insurrection case is held up by the Supreme Court sitting on their hands. The classified document case is held up by Cannon.
No, it had a date set for May 20th and Judge Cannon postponed it with no new date set. She made the decision on May 7th, less than 2 weeks before the trial.
Trump's criminal insurrection trial would have already started if Cannon didn't postpone it.
No, the insurrection trial is held up by the scotus. It always would have been, with or without Cannon.
The Trial
Would Be
Happening Right Now
Unless Judge Cannon Postponed It
Cannon isn't in charge of the insurrection challenge.
Ah you're right, it's his other other criminal trial, the classified documents hoarded at Mara Lago. It's kind of hard to keep track of his felonies at this rate.