politics
Welcome to the discussion of US Politics!
Rules:
- Post only links to articles, Title must fairly describe link contents. If your title differs from the site’s, it should only be to add context or be more descriptive. Do not post entire articles in the body or in the comments.
Links must be to the original source, not an aggregator like Google Amp, MSN, or Yahoo.
Example:
- Articles must be relevant to politics. Links must be to quality and original content. Articles should be worth reading. Clickbait, stub articles, and rehosted or stolen content are not allowed. Check your source for Reliability and Bias here.
- Be civil, No violations of TOS. It’s OK to say the subject of an article is behaving like a (pejorative, pejorative). It’s NOT OK to say another USER is (pejorative). Strong language is fine, just not directed at other members. Engage in good-faith and with respect! This includes accusing another user of being a bot or paid actor. Trolling is uncivil and is grounds for removal and/or a community ban.
- No memes, trolling, or low-effort comments. Reposts, misinformation, off-topic, trolling, or offensive. Similarly, if you see posts along these lines, do not engage. Report them, block them, and live a happier life than they do. We see too many slapfights that boil down to "Mom! He's bugging me!" and "I'm not touching you!" Going forward, slapfights will result in removed comments and temp bans to cool off.
- Vote based on comment quality, not agreement. This community aims to foster discussion; please reward people for putting effort into articulating their viewpoint, even if you disagree with it.
- No hate speech, slurs, celebrating death, advocating violence, or abusive language. This will result in a ban. Usernames containing racist, or inappropriate slurs will be banned without warning
We ask that the users report any comment or post that violate the rules, to use critical thinking when reading, posting or commenting. Users that post off-topic spam, advocate violence, have multiple comments or posts removed, weaponize reports or violate the code of conduct will be banned.
All posts and comments will be reviewed on a case-by-case basis. This means that some content that violates the rules may be allowed, while other content that does not violate the rules may be removed. The moderators retain the right to remove any content and ban users.
That's all the rules!
Civic Links
• Congressional Awards Program
• Library of Congress Legislative Resources
• U.S. House of Representatives
Partnered Communities:
• News
view the rest of the comments
I wish this was cause for hope, but polls are still showing Trump neck and neck usually with a 2% lead over Biden. It's really going to come down to at least two, probably three, swing states. Given that some of them allow the EC vote to be split, there is even a possibility of a Tie.
The last couple of elections have shown the polls to be unreliable with a distinct bias favoring Republicans in appearance. Last I heard the popular theory was boomers are more likely to answer random calls and have time for a bunch of questions.
No. The polls do swing about 4% but it’s in a random direction in every election no matter what.
Almost no polls use landline random digit dialing exclusively anymore. Some call cell phones, some do online surveys or in person surveys, and some do focus groups.
Yes; that's entirely consistent with what I said. I wasn't even considering that some polls might be calling landlines when I made my comment.
Okay but the Trump "victory" of 2016 was shocking to most analysts.
I'm talking about data within the past 4 years. 2016 was 8 years ago.
Right so the last 3 elections but not the election 4 ago specifically, okay.
Not even going to include midterm elections for Congress?
Including the midterm election is how I got a grand total of 2.
1 presidential 4 years ago.
1 midterm 2 years ago.
1+1=2.
2 elections.
Get it yet?
Please consider taking the time to think instead of immediately jumping to a knee-jerk response.
Ah you right, you said 4 years but I kept going with the 8 years line of thinking.
It's late for me, so I get it. Sorry for the condescending tone I took at the end.
Whatever happens will happen. We don't have control over the outcome only our efforts. Do what you can now to fight for what you believe. Stressing over polls doesn't help.
The best possible choices come from having access to all possible information.
Sure, about the candidates and their stances. All the candidates manipulate the polls to make it look like their ahead and they are just used to pressure people to vote for one of the major parties. Vote for who you want in office. And if you are inclined then try to sway others. But this bandwagon appeal isn't the way.
How long does your little segway take to get to the part about the lizard people?
There is no need for personal attacks. If you are implying I subscribe to conspiracy theories then you are not correct.
No no, not conspiracy theories, just that the candidates respectively each own the media as a whole and that all polls are made up numbers.
If trump internal polling showed the same lead, there's no way he would show up to try to eat away a slice of the libertarians puny 2-3% of the vote.
I think the numbers look way worse for Trump than national pollsters show and I think their polling indicates Trump loses in a landslide if he's convicted in any of his cases.
That it should require a conviction is still batshit insane. That's still way too damning of a good portion of the American public.
TBF, A or B Polling won't show any votes for C, but with how third party is more popular than in the past for both major parties this year in the wake of the Gaza Genocide it could negatively impact either candidate. That doesn't mean the polling is meaningless.
Trump is polling with a lead even as closing arguments are heard in his hush money trial today, and he has suspended his ~~insurrection~~ classified documents criminal trial indefinitely with help from a Judge Cannon that he appointed during his term.
We don't have to like it but we have to accept the facts here, Trump is popular and that threatens the future of US Democracy and NATO.
EDIT: His insurrection trials are held up over some other BS.
Slight correction: the insurrection case is held up by the Supreme Court sitting on their hands. The classified document case is held up by Cannon.
No, it had a date set for May 20th and Judge Cannon postponed it with no new date set. She made the decision on May 7th, less than 2 weeks before the trial.
Trump's criminal insurrection trial would have already started if Cannon didn't postpone it.
No, the insurrection trial is held up by the scotus. It always would have been, with or without Cannon.
The Trial
Would Be
Happening Right Now
Unless Judge Cannon Postponed It
Cannon isn't in charge of the insurrection challenge.
Ah you're right, it's his other other criminal trial, the classified documents hoarded at Mara Lago. It's kind of hard to keep track of his felonies at this rate.