this post was submitted on 02 Feb 2024
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I'm continually astonished how I thought grunt-work IT jobs would fade away as my generation and younger aged into the workforce becoming ever more technologically literate. Then the iPhone my rich friends bought in highschool became the new standard for interfaces.
Now I'm helping people several years younger and much older than me navigate the machines they use for their jobs.
Yeah funny, right? I thought the same thing. It'd just be the older people and the younger would be more technically literate. But companies started abstracting a lot of things now and it's both the older and younger that struggle with IT literacy.
I think thin clients with VDIs will be the future and both make this stuff even more abstracted for users and also bring in the age of subscribing to workstations. At work, it'll start by just plopping stuff in your documents folder or personal folder or whatever and/or the desktop. They'll live on a network share and the VDIs will revert to snapshots to be 'fresh' every time but the users won't really know that. Their stuff will be plopped down like it is local every time and 'follow' them from VDI to VDI.
Then I think this will push to the home market and instead of spending a lot of money up front, you just get a cheap thin client, probably eventually a small little box with USB ports and mini-DP or whatever. You'll then pay for the tiers you want. Want just a workstation to check mail on and do 'web apps' type stuff? $5 with a whole 5GB of personal space or whatever. Then there'll be "productivity tiers" with pretty much the same stuff but more CPU, RAM and a small amount of vGPU allocated and you can install programs with something like 500 GB of personal space. There'll be a "pro" version with more of everything and a "gamer" version with a lot of everything probably costing something like $30/$40 a month starting out per device.
And of course eventually, you'll be getting ads to "keep the prices increases down" and then that won't matter anymore and you'll be given the option to pay for ad-free add-ons, time on the workstation and so-on. Prices will raise nearly every year. Thin clients will turn into all-in-ones and be basically tablets where you buy based on screen sizes and probably able to wireless connect more displays.
Technology in computing will become more abstracted and IT's specialists will shrink once again because actual tech literacy will decrease.
I think the only reason it hasn't started yet is due to Internet throughput availability but that's quickly changing.
A boring dystopia indeed.
your post made me shudder, how bout we stop this?
lets burn things, at least make it an interesting dystopia
The main issue to solve is kids not having access to a computer at home, whether it be lack of incentive or money. Most people don't even own a laptop anymore, so the only computer time they get is in a school setting.
Once the majority of schools have a system in place for most homework to be done on a PC, then there may be some creative ways to incentivise more PC adoption... again. It's like we've gone back to the early 90s again where only kids who were really interested in computing knew anything about it.
I think the solutions comes not from adopting older tech, but making newer tech fairer and freer. As in not locking down phones and tablets as much as they do.
Because eventually the form factor of mobiles will replace say laptops and PCs, but they are essentially just regular computers but limited on purpose to be dumber and less open. Android is Linux ffs!
What do they have if not a laptop? How would they even do homework? What about coursework at uni? Applying for jobs?
iPad / tablet, and applying for jobs can easily be done on a phone. My wife works at a high school - half the kids can't even use a mouse properly,and don't understand minimizing a window etc.
She had to teach someone what the enter button did yesterday..... They were using space bar to get to a new line. I shit you not.
My school has a program where they lend students laptops free of charge, along with 13gb of data to use with. The generosity is kind of abused at times, but it's still really nice to have.