this post was submitted on 11 Dec 2023
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Such a train would be a massive win for the world. Imagine being able to get from Amsterdam to Barcelona in this train in +-3 hours (including stops, probably). Making it affordable would completely destroy European flights, which is a good thing.
The equatorial circumference of the Earth is about 40,000km. That means this train will theoretically be able to travel from any point on the Earth's surface to any other point in under 24 hours as long as there's track. This will be an absolute game changer for building connections across Eurasia, Africa, and the Middle East going forward. It's going to completely eliminate the need for air travel and largely make shipping obsolete I expect.
I don't think cargo ships are going to be obseleted by trains even in a scenario where all fossil fuels are banned or otherwise unavailable, because ships can take advantage of wind power (sails).
Obsoleted was perhaps too strong a word. As I mentioned in another reply, it's more about facilitating trade across land routes that are too far from shipping centres to be viable currently.
Longest single train route is the Trans-Siberian, 6300km, 876 stops.
Longest theoretically possible train trip is from Lagos to Singapore, 18,755km - if you don't miss any train and every one arrive on time, it would take 21 days.
that's one long ass trip :)
On a side note, i would love to see Russia getting agreement with China to modernise T-S and maybe even expand it. That would be immense boost to Eurasiatic trade and development of Siberia.
that would be pretty amazing
Maybe not shipping, the size of those shipping barges is incomprehensible with the sheer amount of tonnage they can carry, and dealing with tariffs, taxes, border inspections, and crossing land borders is a whole hassle in and of itself that a lot of countries and companies won’t want to deal with.
Plus, North America, South America, Oceania, and massive economies such as Japan are still separated from the rest of the world and inaccessible to rail.
Fair, I don't expect shipping to go away entirely. It's worth noting though that you still have to get goods on and off the ship, which is done by land. So, the bottlenecks end up being in moving things to and from the port, hence why we tend to see big economic centres close to the ports with a fall off as you get fruther from the port. On the other hand, trains have the potential to connect a lot of areas that aren't close to the water, and kick start economic development in places where it wasn't cost effective previously.
And of course, in the context of US trying to contain China, it makes a lot of sense for China to focus on creating economic routes through land where US can't interfere with them.