this post was submitted on 22 Sep 2023
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Hahaha, no. It's like MTProto in Telegram, but without being honest that it's centralized.
Every single component have 3rd party implementations or an alternative which doesn't depend on them (standard account DID lookups go through their servers but web DID is fully independent). The options he says nobody will create ALREADY EXISTS
The protocol literally doesn't allow them to be gatekeepers.
Authentication is heavily tied to their servers
You can initialize your account with your own DID key using web DID instead of the current (technically placeholder DID) and you won't be dependent on their servers for authentication. Especially in the federation sandbox that's available for 3rd parties
From what you say I can approximate how it will go. First perpetual in-dev federation, then once they get enough people, they will say "not enough interest in federation" and stop development or pull the plug completely.
Except federation is already functional with 3rd party implementations. Sure it's possible they would choose to diverge in the official implementation in a closed branch, but that would not stop the rest of the clients from working. It's like if the biggest Mastodon instance went proprietary and shut down federation, the people who care would leave.
The main things they're working on are moderation tools suitable for federation as well as scaling