notcepsov

Ima be real you are embarrassing yourself there is literally a 3 page summary at the start of the rapport which is clearly what I was referencing if you actually bothered to look at the document at all which you still didn't so what evidence you are just saying nonsense we cannot argue because you didn't bother to do the minimal amount of looking. Like I'm sorry but you are being a complete ass here. You don't have an argument all you have is doomer vibes.

My friend you can copy the text and let a machine translate it. While it will mess up parts it might be able to give you a slightly better understanding than not having read it at all. What difference is between you, a person that uses marxist words to describe their vibes about a country (France) that you probably don't know anything about, not that you need to of course. And a lib on reddit that uses yank words to describe their vibes about a country (China) that they don't know anything about?

That is my point, it is not that I have a problem with the take, it is a problem I have with the quality. This isn't difficult shit I mean I guess for you it is difficult to admit that you were lazy. That people in the news mega got lazy and as a result the quality dropped. Not a single person, I'm talking not just you but all the others, didn't bother to read the 3 pages in the rapport, but everyone felt the need to give their take. Why is that so hard to admit?

You can literally find the original rapport like again if you don't bother to look that one up why bother to respond. I didn't pay for the substack subscription I just pulled up the rapport and read it.

Dawg I didn't even mean you in that specific call out but someone else that wrote something like 'I think Russia is going to throw in the towel in 2026' so I dunno stop being so prickly? Like yeah you are a doomer and I think this shit actually decreases the quality of your posts but again....

the reason I'm being kind of aggressive in my calling out here is that while yes some things suck now some people just read more like some western third world maoists that have had their brains cooked

If me calling out the quality of the posts dropping has you this agitated then maybe stop cooking your brain in this toxic doomsludge the fact that you wrote out 'I don't care about being called a doomer, a fed, NATO propagandist, or whatever nickname I'll get next week, it's happened so many times now that it doesn't matter. I try to base what I write here on factual information, and do not care for telling others what or how to think.' is some real geh facts don't care about your feelings type shit and you should look at your mental well being because your brain sounds pickeled and needs some actual praxis.

Listen if you can't see why you saying 'Well I haven't read it but xyz' and then the rest going 'Well I haven't read it but xyz' is not indicative of the quality going down then I don't know what to tell you. Like all you did was navel gaze and throw some words around like they mean anything when really nothing of value was gained.

Here's what the report says in the very first pages 'France and Europe needs to break with 'Westernism' and 'Block-logic' promoted by the American hawks to prevent being a vassal of the United States' and says that the 'Resolute atlanticism adopted by europe has drawn them into a trade war against China which is to the negative of European-Chinese relations and our economy and is doomed to fail and hurts us and our credibility.'

'We can see how the dogma of free and non -distorted competition opposes it. The axis of this report is the search for found sovereignty. It is no longer a question of passively depending on the supply chains piloted by other powers, but of finding democratic control over what we produce,'

This is all stuff that one could've gotten with a glance and there's much more in this 134 page document but just at a quick glance at the 3 pages which are the synthesis of the rapport would tell you that actually this is somewhat substantive and does call out the vassalization attempts from the US, that trade with China is desirable and that there have to be adjustments to the economic system to regain sovereignty.

Again this is the kind of quality that we should expect not saying 'well I haven't read it but the contradictions and the material reality and marxism' is 'good enough'.

As for you disagreeing that you aren't a doomer like why did you give a take that was 'Well I haven't read it but I don't think it matters' if your outlook is not pessimistic and you aren't spreading doomer shit.

It's pretty wild that I say 'The Doomer faction has completely taken over' and the most doomer poster is telling me 'honestly it's not so bad'. Like you aren't really making your point well but sure I'll bite. You are one of the most prolific doomer posters and I did appreciate your takes when it came to china because afaik you are at the very least living in china and so your perspective was closer 'to the ground'. But just recently you basically engaged in that same behaviour here, this is just an actual garbage take and you didn't bother to read anything. In fact most of the posters there didn't bother to read anything which is the larger point of me saying 'the quality has gone down'. I'm sorry but that just means that your take is just your perspective, and as someone once said 'No investigation no right to speech'.

As for the worst are the NAFO liberal spaces.... You are right this place is better than those youtube channels that go 'THIS IS HUGE' 'CHINA HAS 25 DAYS LEFT' '13 DAYS TO COLLAPSE' because our enlightened 'marxist' discussion is 'Russia has 6 months left actually.' Like I'm sorry but you are actually further proving my point here.

Alright so one thing I'll feel compelled to bring up is that since I've been doing stuff in the real world for a few months is that since I've been gone I noticed that the news mega has gone really down in quality where it seems that as long as you hit a certain amount of words your analysis is deemed 'materialist' or 'marxist' or whatever feelgood word that complete doomer nonsense is not challenged like someone writing a ton of words to explain why Russia will capitulated in 2026 because Trump said they'll send some new wunderwaffen to Ukraine something that would be mocked as liberal nonsense like a year ago is just quietly accepted.

Like it feels that there's just the constant doomer faction that has completely taken over and now it's this competition to be the most doomer with the most words and churning out the shittiest takes similar to AI slop.

And the reason I'm being kind of aggressive in my calling out here is that while yes some things suck now some people just read more like some western third world maoists that have had their brains cooked and are now unable to do anything because the empire is doing 120d chess moves that mean that whatever we do we've already lost and the western population will never do anything and yadda yadda.

I get why their brain has been pickled by being in this brine of doom juice but it really feels like some people just gotta expel those 'bad humors' by doing some good old honest praxis, to feel fucking solidarity and camaraderie in this world instead of whatever this feels like.

I mean that's just wrong what concessions has he gotten? Hell talking about the whole Japan-US trade deals the US had to very quickly walk back their demands of strengthening the Yen against the dollar because the Japanese literally came out and said

Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato mentioned in an interview, there were thinly veiled threats of using US Treasury holdings as leverage in trade talks.

Like as of right now the only thing the US is asking for globally is 'Please world make your currencies stronger, please world let us sell you our shitty crops and meat' which is a far cry from what they all asked for when they started out. Because the guys in charge are openly arguing with each other during a trade discussion with other nations.

This is compounded by the fact that the US government did stupid shit like 90 DEALS IN 90 DAYS, they got exactly one from the most servile country the UK, when trade discussions take at least a year, especially when they have to make deals with the entire world, like the earliest reasonable timewindow the US gov could actually get is by september because that's how long a serious country needs to agree on new trade policies.

It's really not, I mean I guess it's superficial because I could've listed every single other index from mexico south which guess what they all outperformed the us indices, well except Argentina but again that one has been handled extremely gently by the IMF basically they've tried their best to prop the country up. But you also misunderstand my point which I've gone over way back when I posted about this and it's about capital flow, which is why I wrote.

If capital starts to feel more welcome in these economies at a time when the US appears to be actively trying to discourage foreign capital then this stream is going to grow.

Under Trump the flow of foreign capital into the US has slowed and the flow of US capital outside has increased. As for Brazil, foreign capital likes high interest rates so like I don't know what your point even is there. Like nothing you are saying is refuting anything I've written.

What you are witnessing is basically the whitest of people. All that stuff about human rights and international law was supposed to be applied to everyone else not the germans themselves, the law wasn't supposed to bind them. Which is why the centrist journas are writing shit like this.

Yes, when it comes to Israel, to Benjamin Netanyahu and the strategically correct but inhumane hunger blockade of Gaza, or the IDF's purely defensive Iran campaign, most Germans aren't funny. The drama they then enact, accompanied by the bigoted incantation "International law! International law!", which they would never use on people like Sinwar or Ali Khamenei, has nothing to do with a civilized political debate. It's more like a self-exorcism, without a priest or a manual, and the only question is, who or what is the devil here: the guilty conscience of the perpetrator's grandson? Or the eternal grandpa and willing Wehrmacht sergeant who is forever embedded in such people? https://archive.is/bYtUH

This article was so bad and so racist and fascist that they had to delete it.

Like Lazarus I return from the dead, well less dramatic than that I've been gone for like 4 months? Mostly been touching grass maxing and doing stuff that matters.

Which is something I really recommend for people here, just like the theory of humors your leftists juices are going to be in inbalanced if all you do is posting and doomscrolling. If those juices are left imbalanced for long enough it'll pickle your brain which is not good folks. Not good at all.

With rambling and ranting done it's time to give my quick thoughts on things which you aren't allowed to answer to because it'd make this whole post even longer so in the whole Iran-Israel/US war Iran obviously won and all the people saying 'ehrm actually' sound like yanks who are trying to tell me that they didn't lose Afghanistan, Yemen or Vietnam.

Now onto what people care about capital before I left my big thing was basically saying that was looking away from the US and more towards the EU and I'm somewhat right. Capital is not running away from the US obviously but it has gradually shifted and us exceptionalism is dead at least for as long as Trump is president so where has it gone to? Well it has stayed in europe and slightly gone into Germany and one continent I haven't considered South America, one just has to see how much the IMF is bending over backwards for Argentina by not calling in its debt to make sure the country doesn't collapse under the weight of its presidents idiotic decisions. This seems to be part of a broader tactic to 'promote growth and deregulation' If capital starts to feel more welcome in these economies at a time when the US appears to be actively trying to discourage foreign capital then this stream is going to grow. Additionally Latin America has the advantage of still being part of what the US views as its sphere of influence.

An index fund of Mexican stocks is currently up 14.4%, while an index fund of Brazilian stocks is up 14.22% year to date. Compared to the Nasdaq which is up 3%.

Now the EU as a whole had less of a 'stock glow up' as Latin america with an Index only up 7.5% but and this is kinda what I was talking about but while the German economy is in the dumpster the DAX is up 18.5% year to date. Which leads me to talk about GERMANY.

That's right you didn't think I'd skip the worst country on the continent and runner up for worst country in the world.

Now I've ranted about Germany for a while now but since I've stopped talking about those things I bet you thought things didn't get worse. Wrong.

So generally germany is in fullblown Islamophobia, talking US after 9/11 levels of Islamophobia where seemingly everything that's wrong with germany is the fault of the insidious musleman.

This is paired with german journalists during the whole Iran islam war going pretty mask off now apart from Julian Reichelt, who is an outright nazi and used to be the editor for the basically the german 'The Sun', the rest are all 'respectable' and 'centrists'. Which more or less just confirms what I've been saying for years where the current center lies in germany.

But this is just ambient nazi shit I come to expect from the good ole germans no what is more concerning is Germany putting a lot more money into it's army.

The federal government intends to achieve the NATO target of 5 percent of GDP for military and other war-related spending by 2029, the army budget will increase from €52 billion in 2024 to €153 billion in 2029. That is just under 27 percent of the total budget, up from 11 percent previously. Now if we look at how this first raise was 'afforded' it was done by slashing healthcare in 2022 healthcare spending was 64.5bn in 2023 it was 24.5bn and in 2024 16.2bn. Education and Living has also have had cuts of their budget of up to 5%.

Now that alone is bad enough but there's more as always fhe federal government is cutting the funding for naval rescues in the mediterrean sea, basically the country that loudly yelled at the inhumanity of people drowning at sea during the start of the syrian civil war now is more than ok with people drowning again.

But wait there's more, obviously there's a whole bunch of 'renewed militarism'. And here's where I get going, so germanys most beloved politician, the minister of war, has time and time again brought up the topic of mandatory service, because not enough people want to die for germanys imperial ambitions for some reason. Now mandatory military service currently is only suspended so he could just declare it active again with no recourse and my guess is that over the next few years they'll bring this topic up over and over again to soften the blow when they pull the trigger. Basically if the austerity doesn't drive enough people into the army for employment they can just legally do it and the germans are the most legal minded people so doubt on any instability from this. Obviously of course austerity will also drive up fascism but I think at this point that's a given.

With this rising militarism and fascism massive spending (If germany continues to cut spending on social programs and goes for the NATO 5% 40% of its budget would be to pay for the army, I think that's unlikely but hey maybe I'm not savy about the depravity of the germans.), what we are going to see is a massively imperialist Germany that would more than likely seek to get a 'return on their investment'. The most likely targets would be the EU if they don't play ball and Africa to regain their place in the sun probably doing some evil shit with Frances coordination.

Thankfully it's not like the German left fully support this endeavour, wait I'm getting new information that the war minister is from the SPD and that the finance minister is also from the SPD well.... that's just....wait they started this whole thing under a SPD-Greens-Neoliberal government? Well you better hope that Linke will be able to do anything but it's doubtful.

TL;DR Germany is going to do fascism through huge austerity and imperialism in 2029 probably by invading Libya for the sake of 'stability'.