this post was submitted on 16 Jun 2025
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Image is of destruction and damage inside Israel, sourced from this article.


Iran and Israel have struck each other many times over the last few days. There has been a general focus on military facilities and headquarters by both sides, though Israel has also struck oil facilities, civilian structures and hospitals, and in return for this, Iran has struck major scientific centers and the Haifa oil facilities.

Israel appears to have three main aims. First, to collapse the Iranian state, either through shock and breakdown by killing enough senior officials, or via some sort of internal military coup. Second, to try and destroy Iranian nuclear sites and underground missile cities, or at least to paralyze them long enough to achieve the first and third goals. And third, to bring the US into a direct conflict with Iran. This is because the US better equipped to fight them than Israel is (though victory would still not be guaranteed depending on what Iran chooses to do).

Iranian nuclear facilities are hidden deep underground (800 meters), far beyond the depth range of even the most powerful bunker busters (~70 meters or so), and built such that the visible ground entrances are horizontally far away in an unknown direction from the actual underground chambers. Only an extremely competent full-scale American bombing force all simultaneously using multiple of the most powerful conventional (perhaps even nuclear) bunker busters could even hypothetically hope to breach them (and we have seen how, in practice, American bunker busters have largely failed to impair or deter Ansarallah). There are several analysts on both sides who have concluded that it is entirely impossible to physically prevent Iran from building nukes.

I fully expect the US to join the war. I believe the current ambiguity is a deliberate invention of the US while they work to move their military assets into position, and as soon as they are ready, the US will start bombing Iran. After that, Iran's leadership must - if they haven't already - harden their hearts, and strike back with no fear, or risk following the path of Libya, Syria, and Iraq, either into either surrender, occupation, or annihilation. Every day where they do not possess a nuke is a day where lives are being lost and cities are being bombed.


Last week's thread is here.
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Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] whatdoiputhere12@hexbear.net 29 points 11 hours ago* (last edited 11 hours ago)

Is the AP livestream actually live? I hear ~~sirens right now~~ (it stopped)

[–] Lisitsyn@hexbear.net 53 points 13 hours ago* (last edited 13 hours ago) (7 children)

Iran preparing to attack US bases if US joins Israeli attack, with Iraq first target: Report

Iran has positioned military gear and missiles to strike US bases in the Middle East in preparation should the US join Israel in attacking the Islamic Republic, the New York Times reported on Tuesday.

The US is already defending Israel from Iranian strikes and supplying it with military gear, but is not yet believed to be engaging directly in offensive operations.

Tehran is widely expected to retaliate to any US strikes by attacking American military bases.

The US has thousnads of troops in the Arabian Gulf, but the NYT says Iran is likely to start with attacks on Iraq.

Iraq is home to thousands of fighters who belong to pro-Iranian militias.

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[–] jackmaoist@hexbear.net 44 points 12 hours ago (4 children)

Discovered r/newiran today which is basically r/china but for iran. It's filled with the usual whiteboys from Ohio, Zionist Baby Killers and some Iranians celebrating Israel bombing them.

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[–] joaomarrom@hexbear.net 34 points 12 hours ago (3 children)

https://youtu.be/OwH780cEcEQ

I'm sure most of you know pretty much all the information in Ben Norton's latest video, but I'm really impressed by how clearly he lays out all the historical circumstances leading to this current clusterfuck.

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[–] QuillcrestFalconer@hexbear.net 33 points 12 hours ago (4 children)

Wasn't Iran Internet shutdown today at midnight? AryJeay still posting on twitter

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[–] ThomasMuentzner@hexbear.net 57 points 13 hours ago* (last edited 10 hours ago) (12 children)

okay this gives hope

Itamar Ben Gvir to Amir Bar-Lev: “Why did you provoke Iran?” Bar-Lev responds: “We didn’t realize the power of Iran’s missile capabilities.” .. angry shouting ensues ..

Edit: More Hope - Iranian State Television will brodcast stuff about the downed f-35'S soon.. Edit: IRanian State TV - you wanted to post F-35 downing footage..

[–] aanes_appreciator@hexbear.net 54 points 13 hours ago (1 children)

This is the country trying to convince the world that Iran is on the cusp of political collapse

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[–] sevenapples@lemmygrad.ml 43 points 13 hours ago (4 children)

I seriously hope people talking about US/Israel going nuclear are only dooming. I can't even begin to fathom the outcome...

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[–] QuillcrestFalconer@hexbear.net 42 points 13 hours ago (3 children)

Trump might be delivering a big speech from the white house. I don't think it's fully confirmed, just rumors. This could be his GWB moment

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[–] BigBoyKarlLiebknecht@hexbear.net 34 points 12 hours ago (1 children)

In light of the vibes tonight, I will share this evergreen video

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[–] cinnaa42@hexbear.net 42 points 13 hours ago (9 children)

Vance just left the White House towards the Pentagon.

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[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 36 points 12 hours ago (13 children)

Alright I'm late tonight. What's the general situation?

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 41 points 12 hours ago (1 children)

Not Good. Pretty much every asset the United States needs for strikes on Iran is already in place, Trump had a long meeting with the national security council, mainstream sources are reporting that it's all systems go as soon as Trump gives the green light, and it looks very likely that he will. Everybody is holding their breaths.

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[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 37 points 12 hours ago* (last edited 12 hours ago)

America is on the verge of entering the conflict, all signs point towards it, US 5th fleet is rumored to be moving out of port

Military censorship on both sides has made things much harder to follow and analyze but Israel and Iran are still hitting each other

Iran's government has taken down all connections to the wider internet except for domestic services, so all Iranian Hexbear comrades are now dark

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[–] QuillcrestFalconer@hexbear.net 32 points 12 hours ago* (last edited 12 hours ago)

Missiles over israel, several successful interceptions it seems

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