this post was submitted on 31 Mar 2025
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Archive: https://archive.is/2025.03.31-041639/https://www.ft.com/content/72e04ce4-e54a-4ccc-bf36-4be61eebbabb

A surge in Eurozone government borrowing costs as a result of Germany’s planned defence spending spree will intensify debt pressures on other countries in the bloc and could make it harder for them to mount borrowing campaigns of their own, investors have warned. 

The shift by the region’s biggest economy away from its historic reluctance to borrow — which in the past has led to a scarcity of Bunds and sub-zero yields — to a “whatever it takes” plan for military and infrastructure spending is being felt across the bloc’s financial markets. 

Ten-year Bund yields have risen to close to 3 per cent this month for the first time since a global bond sell-off in 2023. That has pushed other government borrowing costs higher, thanks to German debt’s role as the de facto benchmark for the bloc’s market, prompting warnings about the impact on the finances of more heavily-indebted economies.

“The rise in yields could eclipse fiscal space for an increase in defence spending outside of Germany,” in particular in France and Italy, said Sören Radde, head of European economic research at hedge fund Point72.

French 10-year yields have risen above 3.6 per cent this month, their highest in more than a decade and topping levels reached at the height of its political crisis last year. Italy’s yields touched 4 per cent for the first time since last July.

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