this post was submitted on 24 Nov 2024
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Now that we have final numbers. It appears that Harris had all the white & black support she needed for an EC victory. But Trump outright flipping Latino men and making huge gains with Latino women seems to have made all the difference.

What do you think?

First image is 2024, second is 2020.

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[–] shoulderoforion@fedia.io 129 points 2 days ago (3 children)

After Donald Trump called every stripe of Latino, rapists and murderers, publicly, often and loudly, More Latinos voted for Donald Trump in this past election than have ever voted for any Republican candidate in any American election ever. Spin it any way you like.

[–] Lost_My_Mind@lemmy.world 42 points 2 days ago

I used to joke that America is a terrible place, full of narcisists, liars, and assholes.

Trump isn't the cause of this. He's just exposed how much those jokes are based on reality, and are no longer jokes.

He's brought to the forefront our worst qualities, and confirmed the fact that no matter how much progress America has made, we're all still just a bunch of racists and assholes. And this time it's not a joke. It's confirmed.

[–] BadmanDan@lemmy.world 19 points 2 days ago (7 children)

It appears that’s what won him the election. Yes turnout was down, but the demo percentages from 2020 to 2024 are not that much different outside of Latino voters.

And I must ask? How did Trump pull this off? And would Kamala have won without the Latino rightward shift?

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[–] ___@lemm.ee 3 points 2 days ago (1 children)

People keep claiming this without any context. He said a subset of those who enter illegally are the worst Mexico can throw at us. He never claimed all Latinos. This is hyperbole on repeat, and the left wonders why the right ignores everything they say about Trump.

It’s basically frustration based propaganda at this point. Don’t know if you recognize it.

"When Mexico sends its people, they’re not sending their best. They’re not sending you. They’re not sending you. They’re sending people that have lots of problems, and they’re bringing those problems with us. They’re bringing drugs. They’re bringing crime. They’re rapists. And some, I assume, are good people." - Dementia Felon trump

I guess it's OK what he said because, hey, they aren't all bad...

[–] 3dogsinatrenchcoat@slrpnk.net 38 points 2 days ago (2 children)

White people are so obsessed with blaming an optgroup like what about all the white guys that voted for him

[–] Flocklesscrow@lemm.ee 14 points 2 days ago

What about all the white women who voted for Trump? Benefitting from structural racism is a helluva drug

[–] Rozz@lemmy.sdf.org 3 points 2 days ago

... but he'll make my racist life better, he told me! /s

[–] enbyecho@lemmy.world 11 points 2 days ago (15 children)

I know! Let's blame EVERYBODY. That way nobody is left out and we can just admit we ALL fucked up so next time we can constructively work together to NOT fuck up instead of slinging mud at each other for the next four years.

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[–] ramenshaman@lemmy.world 75 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Don't forget all the people who voted for Biden in 2020 and didn't fucking vote in 2024

[–] Jake_Farm@sopuli.xyz 19 points 2 days ago (1 children)

15 million of them. That is a staggering number.

[–] would_be_appreciated@lemmy.ml 27 points 2 days ago (1 children)

15 million of them. That is a staggering number.

It's also not an accurate number. The official count for Biden in 2020 was about 81.3 million (found many places online, but the official one is a good choice) and the unofficial count for Harris by AP so far is about 74.3 million. That's about 7 million, which is less than half of what you claimed.

People have got to stop just posting straight up false information. If you don't know, don't post.

[–] Jake_Farm@sopuli.xyz 19 points 2 days ago (4 children)

It would be more appropriate to say outdated. https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/factcheck/2024/11/13/20-million-votes-election-harris-trump-fact-check/76136743007/ As of November 6th 16 million less votes than the year before had been counted.

[–] njm1314@lemmy.world 9 points 2 days ago (2 children)

No, if you said it a week ago it would be outdated. The fact that you're still saying it is what makes it false. As you point it out new information is available. You're just using old information still.

By comparison if I wrote a book in the 1600s about the medical necessity of leaching, that would be outdated today. If I wrote a book about the medical necessity of leaching in 2024 that would just be false.

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[–] deegeese@sopuli.xyz 81 points 2 days ago (4 children)

I think white men and white women bear more of the blame here purely by population size.

[–] pennomi@lemmy.world 22 points 2 days ago (1 children)

With how thin our election margins are, I wonder if literally just misogynists can swing the election. Would 1 in 100 Americans refuse to vote for a woman for president? I think maybe yes.

[–] FourPacketsOfPeanuts@lemmy.world 21 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

It's hard to separate out the factors. Would a man have also struggled with a campaign starting so late (and doing so poorly in a previous primary). Would a white women? How can we separate out the influence of race, sex and the less than ideal running circumstances.

Given who she is, and running when she had to, she actually did pretty damn well.

Tbh looking for blame beyond Biden seems pointless to me. She has every sign of having been able to win over more people had she been prepped as the nominee from the start..

[–] hendrik@palaver.p3x.de 22 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (3 children)

Agreed. Despite all the nuances (which are important, too)... Judging by this table, the biggest total blame is on white men, followed by white women and latino men, though there aren't that many of them. But I feel i need to say this doesn't have anything to do with ethnicity. You could also make a chart of city vs rural areas or several other factors and you'd probably also find interesting correlations and shifts in opinion.

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[–] orcrist@lemm.ee 26 points 2 days ago

Please be careful whenever you ask these questions. It's so easy to blame one single minority group for a widespread failure. Of course analysis of individual voting groups is legitimate, as long as you properly frame what you're doing.

This is a serious issue both because of the connection with racism (i.e., it's the Latinos' fault) and abdication of responsibility (i.e., we bear no responsibility).

[–] redline23@lemmy.world 1 points 1 day ago

Latino women, I'm available y puedo hablar un poco de español!

😂 ^^ What I took away from the post.

[–] sygnius@lemmy.world 26 points 2 days ago

As a data analyst, the way the two graphs are setup terribly. There's really not enough information to come up with any conclusions from the charts.

Also, first, there's not enough information from the graphs to determine the situation since it's only by percentages and not population. Second, our system is based on the winners of each state and used by the electoral votes. So overall popular vote isn't going to determine who got elected, even if the chart showed all blue for all demographics.

[–] Jackthelad@lemmy.world 39 points 2 days ago

"Are we out of touch with our core voters?"

"No, it's the voters who are wrong".

This will probably be how the Democrats regroup after the loss.

[–] ShellMonkey@lemmy.socdojo.com 40 points 2 days ago (4 children)

Need some titles on those columns. I'm guessing red/blue are the usual party colors, but what is the 3rd?

The biggest factor really is disengagement. There where millions who where involved in 2020 that just skipped out this time.

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[–] El_guapazo@lemmy.world 30 points 2 days ago (2 children)

The fact that any group aside from white men voted for trumpism is the issue. The disconnect was the complicit main stream media sane washing the craziness. They put racism/homophobia/fascism on the same level as Harris' policies.

[–] zbyte64@awful.systems 30 points 2 days ago

Idk, white folks voting for Trump is an issue if you ask me, a white guy. Too many white folks sane washing his shit. Morning Joe went from "he's a fascist" to "let's put out differences aside". Other whities need to realize this is a grift that will likely kill your own.

[–] NaibofTabr@infosec.pub 23 points 2 days ago (1 children)

I object!

White men voting for trumpism is also the issue.

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[–] spaghetti_hitchens@fedia.io 20 points 2 days ago

White Dude for Harris here. I am sad face

[–] Krono@lemmy.today 17 points 2 days ago (11 children)

Your narrative is that Latinos "shifted right" but I think this is a false framing- it was the Biden/Harris administration that shifted hard right on its proposed immigration policies and it left many Latino voters feeling politically abandoned.

Look at the Democrats' 2024 immigration bill- it is deportations, immigration quotas, and building the wall - while including nothing "left of center" such as amnesty. It is literally a Trump 2016 wishlist.

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[–] edgemaster72@lemmy.world 17 points 2 days ago

To actually answer the post title you'd have to go state by state in the swing states to see if she could flip enough of them to make a difference. I suspect the bigger problem is still lack of turnout rather than any specific demographic.

[–] ZombiFrancis@sh.itjust.works 8 points 2 days ago

A functional, coherent working class policy would've ticked some of those numbers in the campaign's favor across the board without even having to divide by race or gender.

[–] GeorgimusPrime@lemmy.world 5 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Someone pointed out that a lot of Latinos are effectively white, like Cruz and Rubio.

[–] No_Ones_Slick_Like_Gaston@lemmy.world 7 points 2 days ago (2 children)

Miami Cubans are absolutely convinced they're white and not immigrants. Source : 20+ years in Miami

[–] Maeve@kbin.earth 2 points 1 day ago

My Cuban ex fling used to say exactly the same thing. I wonder where he is now, and if he's changed his mind? I hope he's doing well and hasn't.

[–] CiderApplenTea@lemmy.world 3 points 2 days ago (1 children)

So at what point do they become locals? Caucasian people were also immigrants at some point

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[–] Modern_medicine_isnt@lemmy.world 6 points 2 days ago (2 children)

If that lasr column is population, latino men are 1/7 compared to white men. So the larger difference is much smaller than it appears. And how did there get to be so many more latino women than men.

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