this post was submitted on 16 Oct 2025
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178
The AI that we'll have after AI (Doctorow) (pluralistic.net)
submitted 1 day ago by Curmuffin@fedia.io to c/technology@lemmy.world
78 comments fedilink hide all child comments
 

When the AI bubble pops, what will remain? Cheap GPUs at firesale prices, skilled applied statisticians looking for work, and open source models that already do impressive things, but will grow far more impressive after being optimized:

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[–] kescusay@lemmy.world 17 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Venture capital drying up.

Here's the thing... No LLM provider's business is making a profit. None of them. Not OpenAI. Not Anthropic. Not even Google (they're profitable in other areas, obviously). OpenAI optimistically believes it might start being profitable in 2029.

What's keeping them afloat? Venture capital. And what happens when those investors decide to stop throwing good money after bad?

BOOM.

[–] very_well_lost@lemmy.world 4 points 1 day ago (2 children)

OpenAI optimistically believes it might start being profitable in 2029.

Which is absolutely buck wild when you consider they've already signed contacts to spend another trillion dollars over the next five years.

How the fuck is a company that has $5 billion in revenue today going to grow that revenue by at minimum $995 billion by 2029? There's just no fucking way, man...

[–] kescusay@lemmy.world 3 points 21 hours ago (1 children)

On top of that, there's so much AI slop all over the internet now that the training for their models is going to get worse, not better.

[–] very_well_lost@lemmy.world 2 points 20 hours ago

To an extent, I think that's already happening. ChatGPT5 released with a huge amount of hype, but when users started playing with it, it was incredibly underwhelming — and flat-out worse than 4 in many cases... all while burning though even more tokens than ever. Definitely seems like that capabilities of this technology have hit a plateau that won't be solved with more training.

[–] etherphon@piefed.world 2 points 1 day ago

I really have no idea how anyone is supposed to take this world seriously anymore.