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Anything android based will be affected. Any hardware targeted to run Android is going to become increasingly locked down and non-viable for people that want to customize.
The best option is to invest in libre hardware and open source software. If someone could come up with two or three-year-old flagship hardware that was unlocked. Which I could run, plasma touch, or some other similar Linux touch-based environment. I would be set.
I have an old 10 inch chrome tablet that I put post-market OS on. If all the hardware on it worked and it had more than four gigabytes of memory, the thing would be perfect.But even with all the flaws it currently has, it's still excellent.
Is it safe to say that Google gets away with that sideloading restrictions? Will the EU have a word here or can they just decide it like that?
Google won't be violating the law, because they are just doing the same thing that Apple does. They do technically allow third party stores, but the devs have to get Google/Apple to sign their keys.
Epic games will be allowed, because they have money to sue. Your average volunteer dev isn't gonna have the money, nor time, to sue.
I think most devs are just gonna publish in F-Droid and let F-droid handle it. F-droid will sign all the apps under their banner, but if Google sees a Youtube alternatibe client in there, I'm guessing they're gonna revoke the signature. And I don't think F-Droid has the money to file a lawsuit. (Do they?)
I think it will take some adapting of the legislation. IIRC it was a very apple specific decision. Though I don't really know as I'm not European. So take this all with a grain of salt. The fact google is thinking about doing this means they think they will get away with it. They have plenty of lawyers to suss it out for them. Likely they will try to use the fact that they aren't the only manufacturer of android phones etc. Unlike apple and iPhone. Also there technically are alternatives so again not technically a monopoly. All bulshit. But possibly legal bullshit.
The main takeaway is that these companies don't want customers. So we shouldn't give them our business.