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Adventurism, I agree, probably not a great tactic or strategy. If for no other reason that, an adventurist that has relatives or close friends, there won't be a militant support network that can offer some physical protection against retaliatory violence.
But this guy didn't trigger the right wing pogroms against people who happen to be transgender. That's already been going on, and it wouldn't be less of a pogrom against the transgender community as whole or individuals specifically if he didn't end Charlie Kirk's life.
Any act of resistance to the pogroms, whether adventurist violence or attempts at peaceful non-violent education of the masses, are pretty much always categorized as an existential threat to the right wing project and given the same "its the end of the world!" treatment by the fascists.
And the simple ... beauty... of the situation is that all the fascists have to do is wait a bit for any push back against them to happen. I don't think its an issue of "not thinking it through for a second." When the right wing keeps doing really bad things long enough and somebody, somewhere, is going to think, "Welp, I guess I'm supposed to do something and I've got access to a gun and a member of the fascists is going to be sitting out in a public place in a week... so... I guess that's something I could do."